weathermedic

I'm checking the Kingsborough College (foot of Jamaica Bay on the eastern end of Manhattan Beach Brooklyn) Davis weather station data and they only have a high gust to 38 mph. Don't know how delayed that is though.

These cells are literally racing nnw at 75-95 mph!

One cell just off the NJ coast south of Brooklyn/Queens moving at 94 mph according to radar

Storm has quite a robust tail to it. If it stays together, that will hit NYC and Long Island later.

Tornado watch issued for NYC and surrounding suburbs through 4pm

On radar it looks like it’s just about (or already did) to make landfall on the NC/SC border at the Atlantic Ocean

Radar looks like convection (or at least rain) is slowly trying to wrap around the center of circulation.

OKX mentioned PRE in their AFD this afternoon Airmass will be slightly drier Monday with dewpoints getting more into the 60s before increasing Monday night again. Dewpoints Monday night will return to upper 60s to lower 70s for much of the region. Layer precipitable waters increase again towards 2 inches late Monday night. Heavy rain will be possible at times late Monday night for locations north and west of NYC with potential Airmass will be slightly drier Monday with dewpoints getting more into the 60s before increasing Monday night again. Dewpoints Monday night will return to upper 60s to lower 70s for much of the region. Layer precipitable waters increase again towards 2 inches late Monday night. Heavy rain will be possible at times late Monday night for locations north and west of NYC with potential predecessor rainfall event (PRE). Tropical moisture will be moving in with that weak lingering frontal boundary within the region. Tropical moisture will be moving in with that weak lingering frontal boundary within the region.

That map has us under a tropical storm watch

83/78 here...brutal

From SPC: Mesoscale Discussion 1376 < Previous MD Mesoscale Discussion 1376 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0553 AM CDT Sun Aug 02 2020 Areas affected...eastern Pennsylvania...northern New Jersey...southern New York Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 021053Z - 021330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Locally severe wind gusts are possible over northeast Pennsylvania into northern New Jersey this morning. A brief tornado is possible if the storm cluster continues to intensify. DISCUSSION...Storms over eastern PA have gradually intensified over the past hour, acquiring broad rotation as they translate east/northeast along the lifting warm front. Surface analysis shows 72 to 74 F dewpoints which is contributing to around 1000 J/kg SBCAPE. Area VWPs and objective analysis show 0-1 SRH between 100-150 m2/s2, which is typically sufficient for a low-end tornado risk. Damaging wind gusts appear possible with this isolated storm cluster. Should the system continue to get better organized, further tightening of the circulation may occur, with a brief tornado possible. However, this would appear most likely later today when heating occurs and boundary layer lapse rates become more favorable.

Tornado warning to our southwest in Berks and Lehigh Counties of se PA. Sign of things to come around here later?

From OKX AFD: Potential for strong to severe thunderstorms along the cold front late this afternoon into the evening shows. Areas not impacted by the showers earlier in the day could be primed for vigorous convection with the boundary. Elevated CAPE values persist between 1500-2000 J/kg providing enough instability for strong thunderstorms and DCAPE values between 500-1000 J/kg hint at strong downdraft gusts. Moreover, the 0-6km shear values around 30-40kts increases the possibility for severe storms. The primary threats remain heavy rain and damaging winds though 0-3 km helicity values 150-200 m^2/s^2 between 21-03Z shows that directional shear will exist within the warm sector of the low. Overall a tornadic threat can not be ruled out particularly over the Lower Hudson Valley. SPC has included much of our northwestern counties within a Slight Risk of severe weather where the severe threat is most likely.

Lots of lightning and very heavy rain here. Rain rate of 8 in/hr. Picked up 1.12 inches so far.

83/78 here

92/74/103 at my station

87/68 with a light westerly breeze at my station at 9:50 pm.

1.10 inches this morning at my station

Looks like a couple of lines of storms/showers trying to form over northeast PA, SE NY and extreme NW NJ

Seeing reports of several downed trees throughout Nassau County

Got 0.83 inches of rain here. Still raining lightly.

87/69 HI 91 at my station as of 10:27am

87/78 HI 100

82/77 HI of 92 here in Sheepshead Bay. Made it up to 91 before the sea breeze kicked in around noon.

...and just like that, temp 89 DP up to 73 as winds more s-se now