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weathermedic

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Everything posted by weathermedic

  1. 91/66 HI 95. Was stuck in the upper 80s but winds have swung around to more w-wsw component so temp rose and dp lowered a bit. I’m about 7 blocks north of the actual bay of Sheepshead Bay.
  2. 87/72 HI 93 at my station. Cicada bugs heard here as well.
  3. 90/64 at my station. Amazing how much more comfortable 10 degrees off the dew point feels.
  4. JFK gusted to 45 mph. 2.31 in the bucket IMBY.
  5. 1.60 inches at my station so far in Sheepshead Bay.
  6. Looks like the westerly shear has dissipated a bit and the system is getting slightly better organized.
  7. Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion: #0451 (Issued at 1133 AM EDT Wed Jul 08 2020 ) MPD Selection Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0451 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 1133 AM EDT Wed Jul 08 2020 Areas affected...Eastern PA...Northern NJ...Southern NY Concerning...Heavy rainfall...Flash flooding possible Valid 081533Z - 082133Z Summary...Convection developing late this morning will be capable of producing rain rates 1-2"/hr across eastern PA, northern NJ, and southern NY. Localized flash flooding will be possible. Discussion...Along a higher moisture axis characterized by PWs in the 1.7 to 1.9" range and an instability pool (upwards of 3000 J/kg SBCAPE as of 15Z), scattered convection has developed across portions of eastern PA and southern NY per latest GOES-E IR imagery and radar returns. This activity is developing within weak but persistent warm advection and likely initiating off old outflow boundaries from earlier convection. Through 21Z, the uncapped environment and weak mean flow should allow for continued development of storms with pulse to loosely organized modes driven by cell mergers and boundary interactions that will drift east. After 17Z, the RAP suggests an increase in low level inflow to 25 kts along with increasing CAPE values to above 2000 J/kg MUCAPE. This will support higher rain rates that could approach 1.5-2.0"/hr - the 12Z HREF probabilities for exceeding 1" are in the 60-80 percent range and around 20-30 percent for 2"/hr. Through 21Z, total amounts of 2-3" are possible with some isolated amounts 3-4" possible (supported by the 6-hr probs for 3"+ around 40 percent). Antecedent conditions vary across the outlook area with some portions having seen recent heavy rainfall and 7-day preip departures up to 300 percent of normal. The hi-res guidance does favor the drier areas which could limit the flash flood potential, but the intense near-term rain rates would overcome poor drainage, the highly urban corridor, and other low-lying ares and may lead to flash flooding into the afternoon hours. Taylor ATTN...WFO...ALY...BGM...CTP...OKX...PHI... ATTN...RFC...MARFC...NERFC...NWC...
  8. 84/73 RH 70% at my station in Sheepshead Bay. Topped out at 90 before the sea breeze. 0.14 in the bucket from this morning’s convection. 0.51 for the month to date.
  9. BDF through here. Temp down to 77 with an easterly wind
  10. Pretty impressive temps along the south shore of Brooklyn and Queens with a light southerly flow.
  11. 85 degrees at 10pm here. Probably end up with 77-78 degrees for the overnight low.
  12. Nice outflow with the storms over the lower Hudson Valley.
  13. Numerous trees and wires down throughout western and southern Brooklyn
  14. Very windy now here in Sheepshead Bay. Lights just flickered. Heavy windswept downpour.
  15. .50 inches with the downpour that just ended here in Sheepshead Bay. Not much wind.
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