^a lot of those +QBO/Ninos are great winters for us. Maybe it’s the difference between the SE and our area. The longwave pattern looks good in the -QBO map (with some small quibbles), but it doesn’t seem to work out for our area too well.
This looks really good, but 2 of these recent or fairly recent Nina analogs were really shitty winters. And Dec 2006-Jan 2007 was awful, although Feb 2007 was cold and fairly snowy.