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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Blocking and a big PNA spike open the window to some sort of strong slow moving system just before Halloween.
  2. 6 IP with 10 Ks and he hit 3 homers!
  3. Euro totally crapped the bed for Sunday
  4. Low of 37 IMBY. A handful of mesonet stations had their first freeze.
  5. @wxmeddler or @Eskimo Joe, DM @dendrite to answer a question or 2
  6. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    NOAA seasonal forecasters are almost always ENSO copy-pasted
  7. First 30s of the season IMBY
  8. ^busy season coming up for you
  9. Maybe chill on this until we get fantasy GFS snow
  10. Hopefully enough for widespread first freeze at least.
  11. Probably something like 0.3" for a storm total. ~0.55" for October. Excited for another 0.2" this weekend!
  12. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    Oh my mistake. That definitely changes the sensible outcomes.
  13. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    The way that plot is made, doesn’t Dec-Jan 2001 mean Dec 2001-Jan 2002??
  14. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    ^a lot of those +QBO/Ninos are great winters for us. Maybe it’s the difference between the SE and our area. The longwave pattern looks good in the -QBO map (with some small quibbles), but it doesn’t seem to work out for our area too well.
  15. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    This looks really good, but 2 of these recent or fairly recent Nina analogs were really shitty winters. And Dec 2006-Jan 2007 was awful, although Feb 2007 was cold and fairly snowy.
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