WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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My very casual looking the last couple days suggests next chance might be a clipper or some snow along an arctic front around NYD.
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Merry Christmas everyone. I hope we get a 12z euro fantasy range blizzard in our stockings.
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Overnight ensembles all show the PAC jet finally extending again early in January. This kills the Aleutian ridge and starts to develop a nice +PNA. -NAO also persists. I’m not punting the next couple weeks by any means, but if that look in the pacific sector is durable, we could get a very favorable pattern going into peak climo around Jan 10.
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Always a good sign when an event thread devolves into discussion about model usage philosophy
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I wasn’t awake then to post about it
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State College NWS has issued watches for all their counties along the M/D line
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lol @ at the very concept of “last minute mid Atlantic victory”
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RRFS says I’m getting 3” of sleet lol
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#SleetCounts #NoIPLeftBehind
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The back doorings will continue until morale improves
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I want the full trifecta of my favorite sports teams in 2025: Hyde, Franklin, and Harbaugh. Burn it all down and salt the ashes.
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We’re on a Christmas/graduation trip for my daughter right now. Goes by damn fast.
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Even our brief Nino a couple years ago didn’t seem to really get the STJ going for any amount of time. Hopefully next year’s will
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Years
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If this trend continues, by Christmas the EPS will have 512” forecast!!
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Aggressive trade. That’s an impressive prospect haul plus a draft pick. But Baz is a solid get for several seasons. Could have #2-3 caliber stuff
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Line did a nice split around you @MN Transplant
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Ha yah that fits
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Seems like very little rain so far IMBY. 0.15”?
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Today will presumably break the streak of 21 days/3 weeks of below normal temps. That’s an impressive run. When was the last time we had a streak that long? I thought Feb-Mar 2015, but that didn’t have that many consecutive BN days. Nov-Dec 1989 had 32 days!
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Yeah both the low and high pressure are weaker and the low is really slow coming east.
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Fun and wacky things can happen with major blocks. Note that in those GFS charts @CAPEposted, the PAC side still isn’t great but it’s not total trash. Trough only extends down to Seattle or so and has a tilt toward the SW offshore. Allows a little ridging at a good longitude for us. So you can couple a C- Pac side with an A+ Atlantic side and that absolutely can work.
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Weeklies saying we have to wait doesn’t mean I was waiting
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That dark red that pops up over Baffin Island on last nights EPS is quite appealing.
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If all you wanted for christmas or Hanukkah was one more global weather model, you got it! AIGFS is now on tropical tidbits. I think this is the “hybrid” AIGFS and not the graph cast GFS? @high risk?
