WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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The For You algorithm has me down pat
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Visualized. NAO weakens and Pac trough crashes in pushing a ridge east. Still lots of time for this to switch back thought.
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Maybe it flips back, but we had been looking at a -NAO dominated pattern for mid-late next week that gave us a chance at a storm. Last 2-3 cycles have diminished that by both weakening the NAO a bit and bringing that big PAC trough on shore (I think @Ralph Wiggumalluded to this?). After that we evolve into a PNA/EPO ridge pattern after the 10th and that seems more or less the same as it looked yesterday and the days prior.
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Euro and euroai were also dog shit but less stinky
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Dog shit 12z suite so far. Need the euro to save it
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Are we looking at the same run??
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Yeah if we get a major EPO ridge as advertised, we want a flat SE ridge to keep the storm track nearby.
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EPS still evolves a good pattern after D10, but has a western trough pump a brief eastern ridge around the 9th. Better look for a coastal is around the 7-8th and then again around the 12-13th. And that 7-8th setup doesn’t look as robust as the 9th did yesterday. We’ll see if we flip back today.
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Overnight runs were a turd in the punch bowl after good 12 and 18z yesterday
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2 of the top 3 in the first analog list…
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Ssssssnnnnnnnnooooooooorrrrrrrttttttt
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Any of those radar returns reaching the ground?
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@EastCoast NPZ catching strays from Twitter randos
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Weenies need a 24” hit of straight unfiltered digital blue every 6 hours or they go into painful withdrawal
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EPS retrogrades the NAO ridge throughout the second week of January as it builds the PNA/EPO domain ridging. As the NAO fades, that would be another classic window for a coastal storm around the 12-13th.
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Ha, just saw the euro AI. Those surface temps are a joke. Hr 252 is particularly comedic.
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0z EPS has a very nice look for Jan 9 and lo and behold the GFS just misses a big phasing coastal at that time and the GGEM is about to go full Jan 2016 on our asses at the same time.
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As the Aleutian ridge dies and the jet extends, western Canada’s major cold pool will get eroded. But once the EPO ridge establishes cross polar flow, it will rebuild quickly. We’re not getting some super charged PAC jet blasting into Alberta and totally torching the continent.
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Tomer has a NYC January snowfall poll on Twitter and says his vote is 20-29”. That would bode quite well for us since he also thinks the pattern favors areas south of NYC…
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Ha browns did it
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MSLP anomalies show a low passing to our south around the 4th and then a storm developing along the coast on the 6th/7th, then another around the 9th. Lots of spread obviously, but I think the H5 look is mostly due to the troughs developing when they hit the water.
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0z euro was best look yet for the NYD light event. EPS really looks loaded.
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Packers receivers are consistently so open you don’t see a raven DB in the camera shot. What on earth are they doing!?!
