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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. First week too based on 12z ensembles. You’d think we’d be able to get widespread freezes with that look…
  2. Not surprising given it’s still D8+, but next weeks big storm still has a ton of uncertainty. 0z euro and 6z gfs skip over us entirely. Euro-AI gets us pretty good still though and EPS more or less agrees.
  3. NoVA lost 200” of snow at 0z. Poor @Ji
  4. 12z euro is biblical rains late next week
  5. Looks like it will be a fun 7-12 minutes lol
  6. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    Yeah I’d take 21-22 again for sure as Ninas go. The odds of dead ratter are just baked in with a Nina. And outside the eastern shore, the ceiling is like 80% of climo.
  7. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    Yeah I think so. March was the snowiest month of the season.
  8. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    17-18 getting some love on twitter recently as an analog. Webb likes it too. December and January were BN, but January was very dry overall so not much snow. February was a torch. That winter had the equinox snow in March in response to the late winter SSW. https://x.com/justinwx/status/1979664917369364740?s=46&t=JYOHM881b6groqc0-RqtxA
  9. Definitely lake effect or upslope behind a strong cold front if not synoptic
  10. Blocking and a big PNA spike open the window to some sort of strong slow moving system just before Halloween.
  11. 6 IP with 10 Ks and he hit 3 homers!
  12. Euro totally crapped the bed for Sunday
  13. Low of 37 IMBY. A handful of mesonet stations had their first freeze.
  14. @wxmeddler or @Eskimo Joe, DM @dendrite to answer a question or 2
  15. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    NOAA seasonal forecasters are almost always ENSO copy-pasted
  16. First 30s of the season IMBY
  17. ^busy season coming up for you
  18. Maybe chill on this until we get fantasy GFS snow
  19. Hopefully enough for widespread first freeze at least.
  20. Probably something like 0.3" for a storm total. ~0.55" for October. Excited for another 0.2" this weekend!
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