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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    It’s sort of settled into a physics model vs ai model split now? Physics models slow it down and end up rainier. AI keeps it moving.
  2. WxUSAF
    Euro ai hinting at it
  3. WxUSAF
    Pretty low consensus on what this ULL is going to do Sunday though next week. Euro AI been pretty consistent on it being progressive. Physics models flip flopping between a similar solution and stalling it. 0z euro stalls it to our west.
  4. WxUSAF
    The generally NN/BN weather this month after the mega torch to start has almost erased the AN anomalies for the month at the 3 airports. +0.7 BWI +0.9 DCA +1.7 IAD As of yesterday
  5. WxUSAF
    I said they needed to go 6-3 in the 9 games before the deadline. 2-3 so far
  6. WxUSAF
    Pretty garden variety for MBY, but I’ll take a bit over 0.5” of rain
  7. WxUSAF
    And it’s tornado warned
  8. WxUSAF
    Baltimore and Harford county part of the line is bowing out
  9. WxUSAF
    Thunder in the distance. Hoping I can grill my brats before the storm starts lol
  10. WxUSAF
    Need to watch that junction point for tornado risk
  11. WxUSAF
    Certainly my mental radar extrapolation is we’re going to get a broad QLCS through the metro areas
  12. WxUSAF
    Already storms popping in Loudoun and WV panhandle
  13. WxUSAF
    Hi, I’m the guy it took 2 hours to notice the COD radar hadn’t updated in 6 hours
  14. WxUSAF
    Sky is dark from that warned cell over south Baltimore
  15. WxUSAF
    It’s Oregon smoke now. Different terroir
  16. WxUSAF
    Smokey skies again?
  17. WxUSAF
    Yeah they are a good sign
  18. WxUSAF
    It’s just that it’s still convective season. I want to see some big synoptic rainers starting.
  19. WxUSAF
    I’m not yet convinced we’ve turned the corner on the long term drought and that giga-Nino is kicking in precip-wise…but the evidence is building. I’ll have to see what august looks like. I’m feeling pretty sure that by mid/late September we’ll have turned the corner for good. At least until our next multi year Nina which starts next fall lol
  20. WxUSAF
    It’s gonna be a torch December. Like 80F on Xmas sorta torch.
  21. WxUSAF
    I think their trade deadline strategy hinges or should hinge on these next 3 series. Really need 6-3 or better in it to look like a contender. 0-1 so far.
  22. WxUSAF
    Was just about to post this. Don’t expect this, although NAM had this on and off the other day. My friend might be pissed since we left his boat out without the cover…
  23. WxUSAF
    There’s some around my neighborhood but I would say fewer than usual. Huh…wonder why.
  24. WxUSAF
    10/10 day for late July
  25. WxUSAF
    We’re going to OCMD tomorrow evening. Could be a little chilly for a beach weekend lol
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