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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Mid-long range precip forecasts have taken a notable dive. Starting with Thursday’s rain.
  2. Haven’t even seen a daffodil bloom yet although some will likely in the next couple days. Trees have a LONG way to go. My non-native saucer magnolia, which always blooms absurdly early (and then the blooms often die when we get a freeze), still hasn’t even really started having the buds grow. Hoping it doesn’t get too far this week before we get some hard freezes again.
  3. Going to hit 70+ in most places today
  4. Waiting for you in mid April
  5. Still a big model battle for wedge-cast tomorrow. Op euro seems alone in busting the wedge by midday tomorrow. AIFS and most other guidance keeps the wedge until close to midnight as @high risk alluded to.
  6. If we were fog weenies, this week would be like Feb 2010
  7. Reality was sort of a blend? Wedge wasn’t as strong as the NAM suggested, but euro was too aggressive eroding it.
  8. Pretty amazing short term forecast differences. 6z euro gets much of NoVA and southern MD into the low 70s this afternoon!! 12z 3k NAM is 15-20F colder!
  9. Puts this winters cold into perspective!
  10. GFS and GGEM not too aggressive with the BDCF late this week. NAM does look aggressive, but at the end of range obviously.
  11. 3/2: 1.0” 17.5” season total. Think that puts me just above median snowfall since I’ve been in Columbia (starting 09-10 winter).
  12. BWI reported 1”! How did IAD only have 0.4”??
  13. Temp around 30 and sounds like rain on my roof and windows
  14. Had 3 perfect track phasing bomb 40F rainstorms that winter. If Nino is moderate to strong I’d feel pretty optimistic. If it’s a super Nino, back your umbrella
  15. 1.0” spotter report submitted! Still snizzling
  16. Just got home to Columbia. 0.9” on the board! Interesting variations in accumulation along my drive. Greenbelt around 1” since they got that heavy band. Almost nothing through laurel and then some snow again near Jessup and north Laurel and then notable jump crossing 95 and the fall line.
  17. Damn a 3.3” spotter report from Loudoun near Round Hill!
  18. Sun angle doing Sun angle stuff. Snow on the cars outside my work window has mostly melted after the heaviest snow passed.
  19. My son is at outdoor baseball tryouts right now lol
  20. I’d guess about 0.5” in Greenbelt, all in the last 40 mins.
  21. Dude we’re getting a 97-98 redux lol
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