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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Don’t see any tropical stuff, but end of next week does look rainy on the guidance. Precisely when is tbd.
  2. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    Just saw an all-brown wooly bear caterpillar. Torch winter inbound?
  3. Just under 0.9” for the event and almost exactly 2” for September.
  4. Rain band finally starting to sag SEward. Wonder if it will just die or actually give me some more on its way by?
  5. The Stephen’s city saguaros are going to outperform me for this event at the rate it’s going today
  6. 0.8” so far. Huge win for Euro AI. Locked in from 7-8 days out and didn’t waver. Took the physics based models to the woodshed.
  7. About 0.25” so far. Good start.
  8. Borderline pouring in Greenbelt. Hoping that big orange blob holds together for Columbia.
  9. Anyone know when LWX radar will be back up?
  10. Hugging the euro suite. It’s been a rock while everything else (maybe not GGEM) has been bouncing all over. 18z NAM 3k vs 12z is whiplash.
  11. Highly recommend the movie Listers on YouTube. It’s about birdwatching, but it’s hilarious.
  12. And spread out over 24-48 hours. Not much consistency on when it’s raining for the metro areas.
  13. Euro AI been locked in with it. Also pretty steady with a rainy pattern after that coastal. 4” for DC next 2 weeks on the 12z run.
  14. Euro AI been very consistent with a coastal low next week giving us rain Wednesday-Thursday. Traditional models have been hinting at it, but a lot more inconsistent. Seems after that we may get into a relatively wetter pattern.
  15. Yeah maybe although lanternflies don’t exactly fly gracefully to my eye lol
  16. Lanternflies must have amazing radar reflective properties. When the cicadas did this, you’d see hordes flying around. Certainly there are lots of lanternflies, but nothing like the cicadas…at least where I travel and live.
  17. Over 0.5” last night! That was completely unexpected.
  18. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    Yeah 13-14 has some things going for it. 14-15 was a Nino. Neither had the water near Japan as boiling as it is this year however.
  19. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    Not sure I agree here for a variety of reasons, but this is hopium I’d hit
  20. Posted a request in the mod forum but that place is a ghost town. @dendrite can you help?
  21. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    I would disagree with several points here
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