WxUSAF
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Most nearby PWSs down to 35 now in east Columbia. Still mostly rain. Maybe 50/50 snow and rain in heavier bursts.
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First mangled flakes in Columbia
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Temp has dropped a bit with the heavier rain but no snow flakes in sight despite my intense squints out the window
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Question is does it just sort of flip from N/W to S/E and then stay all snow (even if non-accumulating for awhile), or does it pulse back and forth and be rate dependent during the middle of the day before a flip to snow for good mid-late afternoon?
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Ah right, I got it backwards with the elevation scans.
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Euro has been low for DE coastline relative to all the other guidance for awhile?
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This is a day where correlation coefficient rare is our friend. Looks to me that is showing rain almost everywhere but the highest elevation scans (closest to IAD) are snow. So snow is melting as it falls, as we’d expect. But the highest DBZ returns south of DC right now are maybe also mixing with snow at the ground.
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Final call/guess: BWI: 4.9” IAD: 4.2” DCA: 2.3” my yard: 4.6” Norrisville: 14.7”
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36/33. Just a little rain so far.
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Temp down near freezing. Can’t hurt. I feel weirdly zen about this storm, maybe I’m channeling @Bob Chillin my middle age. Let’s see what happens!
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@Maestrobjwa make an obs thread
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lol damn it GFS kuchie hates me
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I’ve been solid on 2-6” for MBY so far. Think I’ve seen enough to bump that to 3-7” but I’m still cautious for us. But I feel good about the floor. Seems most bust potential on the high end? Someone probably will get screwed. DCA is always the best odds.
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Swoon
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Grilling in short sleeves. 52/27. Sunny. Feels like snow?
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Euro and GGEM do big west jumps and get the metro areas some coastal love as gfs shits the bed. That figures.
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Yeah, not Feb 5. Feb 9-10.
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47/28 wooooo snow!
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Nobody mentioned ggem? Notable west jump vs 0z. Very nice for most of our sub.
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I think this is a pretty good map, except there will be a narrow IVT jackpot zone somewhere in our area
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Guess I’ll stick with 2-6” for MBY lol
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Gfs is about identical for Delmarva and points NE. Naso identical for the rest of us lol
