Way out there but euro ai has had a number of runs recently that spin up a big storm in the D11-13 range and brings in cold air behind it. Probably would be first freeze chance for IAD and NW burbs if something like that happens.
02-03 winter in state college was epic and made up (mostly) for the dismal first 3 winters I had there. We had snow for Halloween 2002 and winter kept going until Easter 2003.
Yeah it really likes the overnight Friday Into Saturday rain. Kinda the only model showing that. Not even AI is as enthusiastic.
Yeah it really led the way on the nor’easter.