WxUSAF
-
Posts
27,150 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by WxUSAF
-
12z mesos look dicey on central Md cloud cover. Better for NoVA and southern MD.
-
Not sure international returns? Think you have to take that absurd contraption back to the cattle call customs line.
-
Non-political post here…I have never agreed more with “Trump officials”
-
Norfolk reported 0.2” of snow officially yesterday??
-
Stronger CME should hit today sometime. So have to see how timing works out with darkness and cloud cover.
-
Not as bright as before for me but clouds have cleared a bit and showing up faintly in my phone
-
Clouds now but I think that previous substorm is over for the moment.
-
Clouds moved in
-
Maybe in the faint edge of naked eye
-
Maybe something here besides normal suburban sky glow?
-
39/50 is impressive.
-
Middle school formalwear
-
Straight baller
-
Pretty uniform temp distribution west of the Bay. Shows that this cold was advection-driven with the wind, rather than a more typical radiation-driven morning low.
-
29 as the low so far. Was hoping for colder.
-
I certainly hope we get some period of productivity in January. A lot of the Ninas during the last ~10 years have had good January periods. I’m not enthusiastic on snowfall if our best patterns are early December and March.
-
Yes
-
Interesting that you have a sorta different subseasonal cycle than a lot of the other forecasts. But still end up in the typical Nina dud for snowfall (which I tend to agree).
-
The stratosphere is much more predictable than the troposphere, so the long range ensembles do have “skill” beyond the typical 8-10 day sensible weather prediction limit. I want to say there is skill to 30-40 days?? It seems guidance often tries to predict these strat warming events a little too quickly and there are can kicks, but that’s my anecdotal observation.
-
6z gfs right where we want it??
-
This rain seems heavier and more widespread than what guidance was suggesting. And I’m still getting screwed.
-
Freaking November and I’m still getting fringed with storms
-
@CAPE enjoying this ravens O line performance?
-
Fair point. The IOD and Nina are going to favor phases 5-6.
-
Great thread from @griteater on the weakening early season Strat vortex and connections to a -NAO in December-ish. His two closest analogs are December 1981 and early January 1982 and December 2000. December-January 81/82 was a very cold and snowy period for our area, especially January. December 2000 was quite cold, but fairly dry without much snow.
- 224 replies
-
- 13
-
