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WxUSAF

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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Euro mid range bias and all that, but still. I can’t do this anymore.
  2. WxUSAF
    Tiny wedge of slight risk of storms for north central MD tomorrow
  3. WxUSAF
    I was curious about this and went back to check. Fall 2015 was actually dry in the area. Not drastically, but modestly BN each month. So I looked at Fall 1997 and 1982 also. Sept 97 was pretty dry and it got wetter as fall progressed with a wet November. 82 was more of a mixed bag with some variation between the airports but you could say average-ish regionally. For more modest ninos, fall 2018 was a deluge. Fall 2014 slightly dry, fall 2009 mixed month by month, and fall 2002 was wet. So maybe the nino=wet fall correlation is mostly in our heads from more typical ninos. With the tiny sample size of strong/super ninos, a dry September at least would be in-family.
  4. WxUSAF
    Unfortunately next week is looking hot p.s. After a morning like today I really don’t want to go back…
  5. WxUSAF
    Uncanny
  6. WxUSAF
    Cicadas are out and fairly loud today. Maybe the dry start to summer delayed them?
  7. WxUSAF
    Euros been on that too
  8. WxUSAF
    Keep thinking about what could have been if they had someone like Pete in 23 and 24
  9. WxUSAF
    Euro has a brutal cutoff. 1” for Annapolis and DCA. 0.01” for Ellicott city and Westminster.
  10. WxUSAF
    Well 12z mesos have mostly switched back to pretty rainy. NAM nest is a deluge in the afternoon for the metros.
  11. WxUSAF
    Overnight guidance really pulled the rug on tonight and tomorrows rain unless you’re on the lower eastern shore
  12. WxUSAF
    1.25” today
  13. WxUSAF
    My son is going to the concert tonight at Nats Park. Supposed to start at 615. I have no idea what they do for those in rain and storms.
  14. WxUSAF
    Complaining always works unless you live near I81
  15. WxUSAF
    Over 1” in like 20 mins
  16. WxUSAF
    Yeah it’s a car wash out there. Deluge. But not much else outside some thunder
  17. WxUSAF
    Danny Pinter, one of the ravens centers, will miss the whole season
  18. WxUSAF
    Yeah, I’m not impressed for more than a breezy shower for MBY Has a nice hook for the moment…
  19. WxUSAF
    Thankfully the parched ecosystem of Frederick county is getting tropical rains @dailylurker
  20. WxUSAF
    Now the TOR watch comes out
  21. WxUSAF
    Hrrr has been insistent that the Loudoun-Frederick cluster is the entire show for areas north of DC
  22. WxUSAF
    0.01” shower to kick off the day
  23. WxUSAF
    They are aggressively mediocre
  24. WxUSAF
    Slight risk added for basically 95 and points east for tomorrow
  25. WxUSAF
    Certainly has felt like that. This time there seems to be some synoptic differences driving the variance. Stormier solutions seem farther south with the low.
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