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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. For reference, it’s colder than 0z, but still has AN temps most of that week. Just keeps the ridge axis more in the center of the country vs over us. But maybe a step toward again muting west coast troughing and an east coast warmup.
  2. 12z eps with notable colder shift in second week vs 0z
  3. Bases on the euro’s depiction, it’s pretty clear how only 1 of the 2 can really work out. The shortwaves are just close together. So a stronger Sunday shortwave prevents Friday from amplifying. Confluence on 12z is actually better than 0z for Friday.
  4. Dew points really crashing up here in frozen mud land
  5. We got some time unlike whatever small north trend happened on today’s VA storm
  6. Baby step toward euro. Sharper vort and less confluence. Has some light precip west of the mountains.
  7. Just one run of course, but 6z gefs never gets the ridge to roll over all the way to the east coast. And now has another well defined trough swing through around the 18-19th. EPS has that trough around the 18th also, but not as deep and focused a little to our west. If the WPO ridge shifts west and weakens, I would make sense for us to go more zonal, but that can keeps getting kicked.
  8. Start a thread. This is a legit event for our sub forum.
  9. If Likely had done that and gone out of bounds it would have been a TD. But since he was still in bounds it wasn’t a TD. So freaking dumb. And right after that Rogers debacle
  10. I’m going to keep being skeptical of SE ridges past D5-7. Maybe it happens this time just in time for Santa.
  11. Now just need a real model to show things that far north
  12. @Bob Chillgonna be above climo by December 15 while Mt @psuhoffmanand Mt @mappywait on their first inch
  13. 3 great chances on the GFS and a strikeout for MBY
  14. If the MJO stays in phase 8 as predicted, I’m going to keep selling on the SE ridge trying to appear. That said, the later we get into December the more ways we can snow with near normal temps.
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