This is what I’m talking about when I say I don’t want our best pattern in early December though. Yeah, 4” in the first 3 weeks of December is above climo, but it still isn’t that much!
Per Webb, HM is very bullish on January. But not sure where he’s getting that from. Everyone seems onboard with a cold December. I’m still not sold on a snowy December though.
GGEM has that upper low thing as well, but farther south so brings the "snow" through NC and southern VA.
On a different note, all the 12z ops have completely punted any real warmup for mid-month. Have to see if ensembles agree.
Euro and GFS both have a second cold push late next week now. Could be a pretty chilly week overall with multiple double digit BN days. Still looks like a warm up mid-month.
Dunno about snow outside the upslope areas, but next Monday-Tuesday looks legit cold right now. Highs in the 40s and lows AOB freezing for most outside the UHIs.
Hi everyone. As it's November, I'd like to remind everyone that the next major holiday is Thanksgiving! A great American holiday that has nothing to do with Christmas!
Despite (impressively) having 3 BN months in a row for much of the area, seems like we could be modestly behind schedule for first freeze for the inner burbs and cities if we don’t sneak one in over the next few days. Euro says next Friday morning should be in play.
That seems like a tough assignment! How are you going to see a CB in November?? But agree with folks above that lenticular is probably impossible for all intents and purposes.