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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    JB2 going snowiest Nina since 95-96?
  2. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    Per Webb, HM is very bullish on January. But not sure where he’s getting that from. Everyone seems onboard with a cold December. I’m still not sold on a snowy December though.
  3. GGEM has that upper low thing as well, but farther south so brings the "snow" through NC and southern VA. On a different note, all the 12z ops have completely punted any real warmup for mid-month. Have to see if ensembles agree.
  4. Placeholder for now. BWI: 9.8” DCA: 6.4” IAD: 11.3” RIC: 5.1” SBY: 7.8”
  5. Looks good to me as well based on my memory...
  6. I’ve got plenty of other shit going on my life than your principled stand in a weather forum. If you want to leave, stop posting.
  7. Can we not do this martyr thing again?
  8. Ok that’s all of that
  9. Euro and GFS both have a second cold push late next week now. Could be a pretty chilly week overall with multiple double digit BN days. Still looks like a warm up mid-month.
  10. Dunno about snow outside the upslope areas, but next Monday-Tuesday looks legit cold right now. Highs in the 40s and lows AOB freezing for most outside the UHIs.
  11. Damn. I’m not sure my mental state could survive if the orioles went through what the jays did…
  12. Would she like to be my new best friend??
  13. Hi everyone. As it's November, I'd like to remind everyone that the next major holiday is Thanksgiving! A great American holiday that has nothing to do with Christmas!
  14. Despite (impressively) having 3 BN months in a row for much of the area, seems like we could be modestly behind schedule for first freeze for the inner burbs and cities if we don’t sneak one in over the next few days. Euro says next Friday morning should be in play.
  15. Happy November! 40F for the first morning low.
  16. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    Webb becoming increasingly bullish on Dec-Jan at least
  17. That seems like a tough assignment! How are you going to see a CB in November?? But agree with folks above that lenticular is probably impossible for all intents and purposes.
  18. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    Way better than Thanksgiving week
  19. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    The torch period in the 20-31 December period is pretty wildly consistent for like 15 years+. Even the few times we've had a chilly Xmas, we've had a really warm day or two the following or preceding week. But yes, I'll take any snow I can get. But some perfect track frontal wave on December 3 is more likely 2" of slop for me, 8" for PSU, and rain for DC whereas 2 weeks later it could be all snow for nearly everyone except DCA.
  20. Nice. I was going to guesstimate about 1.5” based on nearby PWSs. Right around NBM consensus.
  21. CFS isn’t even worth the electrons for single runs
  22. WxUSAF

    Winter 2025-26

    Not that it counts for anything, but I’ll again reiterate my preference that we delay any droolworthy pattern until Dec 15 or later. Climo improves so much through the first few weeks of winter. Shoveling feet of pattern for Thanksgiving just helps keep the leftovers chilled on the front porch.
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