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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. I get what you’re feeling @mitchnick, but more often than not since early August the trend has been the other way.
  2. I didn’t say it was a lot of digital blue
  3. Aleet aleet…digital blue on 18z euro for this weekend
  4. GFSAI also really cold at the end. Not a great run snow wise but less horrific to look at.
  5. Still a goofy ass evolution. Until proven otherwise, probably best to assume that trough doesn’t dig to Mexico City.
  6. Current ob: quite cold out. 29 with a wind chill of 22
  7. Euro weeklies were really good allegedly if you're up for grasping those straws
  8. Looks like a top 3 snow event of the season for MBY!
  9. Visualized. NAO weakens and Pac trough crashes in pushing a ridge east. Still lots of time for this to switch back thought.
  10. Maybe it flips back, but we had been looking at a -NAO dominated pattern for mid-late next week that gave us a chance at a storm. Last 2-3 cycles have diminished that by both weakening the NAO a bit and bringing that big PAC trough on shore (I think @Ralph Wiggumalluded to this?). After that we evolve into a PNA/EPO ridge pattern after the 10th and that seems more or less the same as it looked yesterday and the days prior.
  11. Euro and euroai were also dog shit but less stinky
  12. Dog shit 12z suite so far. Need the euro to save it
  13. Yeah if we get a major EPO ridge as advertised, we want a flat SE ridge to keep the storm track nearby.
  14. EPS still evolves a good pattern after D10, but has a western trough pump a brief eastern ridge around the 9th. Better look for a coastal is around the 7-8th and then again around the 12-13th. And that 7-8th setup doesn’t look as robust as the 9th did yesterday. We’ll see if we flip back today.
  15. Overnight runs were a turd in the punch bowl after good 12 and 18z yesterday
  16. 2 of the top 3 in the first analog list…
  17. Any of those radar returns reaching the ground?
  18. @EastCoast NPZ catching strays from Twitter randos
  19. Weenies need a 24” hit of straight unfiltered digital blue every 6 hours or they go into painful withdrawal
  20. EPS retrogrades the NAO ridge throughout the second week of January as it builds the PNA/EPO domain ridging. As the NAO fades, that would be another classic window for a coastal storm around the 12-13th.
  21. Ha, just saw the euro AI. Those surface temps are a joke. Hr 252 is particularly comedic.
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