WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Why do we have howling winds yet again!?
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About 1” or more. Nearby PWSs have a range, have to see CoCoRAHS.
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Reverse fall line gradient yet again
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Southwest edge now clearly moving N and W so the brutal edge on I66 and I95 should push through in the next couple hours
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MBY riding the line but on the happy side so far. 0.5” and counting.
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NW edge has retreated lately lol. 0.35” at home in Columbia.
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Rain has started in Greenbelt
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Hugging the gfs. I already hate this storm.
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12z hrrr looks good fwiw (probably not much). 3k and FV3 pretty solid as well.
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6z euro says we don’t get there. Icon from earlier this week is going to be “wrong”, but guidance partially moved toward it for sure.
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Radar depiction of this first band is WAY more impressive than ground truth. Maybe some bright banding aloft?
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26 so far. I’m impressed. No freeze at DCA so far.
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Euro and gfs hold overnight. Euro favors I81 corridor, GFS the metro areas. GGEM lost it and went to the icon solution where the new low scoots out to sea…still about 0.5-1.25” though.
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Been awhile since we had a 24hour type soaking like what’s being advertised.
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Tony Pann reporting flurries in Cockeysville
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34.8 for the low. CWG says flurries reported in western loudoun this morning.
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Initial O/U for MBY: 0.6”
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4” 48hr bullseye on 495 late this week per 12z euro
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About 0.25”. Well below guidance.
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Doesn’t seem like it! Friday’s event is on deck! What could go wrong about a late developing cutoff coastal low!?
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So far just missing forecast totals by an order of magnitude…
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Yeesh. Euro has a brutal gradient though Loudon/MoCo/HoCo/Baltimore.
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Yeah tonight still looks on track although I95 and points south look most favored. Bust from potential 1.5-2” is lack of storms yesterday and morning rain today.
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@high risk mesos like our backyards for the evening storms. Fingers crossed…
