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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Yes. Probably @high risk can update us on that timeline but I thought it was like the end of August at one point?
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Maybe it’s correct but the NAM has been awful this warm season
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It was close. Got a brief sprinkle.
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Once again the NAM looks like crap before a precip event. But hrrr is really rainy for the metro areas tomorrow.
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Gonna miss him when Cade Povich gets the ball every 5 days
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He’s been a reliable (and cheap) fifth starter for several years. Will occasionally throw a gem, occasionally a major clunker. He’s been pretty rough lately though.
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^having the Canadian ridging extending all the way to the west coast is a subtle difference but a key one. If the Aleutian low goes giga (which is what I’d lean toward), that’ll push the ridge inland and just flood Canada with pac puke
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It’s sort of settled into a physics model vs ai model split now? Physics models slow it down and end up rainier. AI keeps it moving.
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Euro ai hinting at it
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Pretty low consensus on what this ULL is going to do Sunday though next week. Euro AI been pretty consistent on it being progressive. Physics models flip flopping between a similar solution and stalling it. 0z euro stalls it to our west.
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The generally NN/BN weather this month after the mega torch to start has almost erased the AN anomalies for the month at the 3 airports. +0.7 BWI +0.9 DCA +1.7 IAD As of yesterday
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I said they needed to go 6-3 in the 9 games before the deadline. 2-3 so far
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Pretty garden variety for MBY, but I’ll take a bit over 0.5” of rain
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And it’s tornado warned
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Baltimore and Harford county part of the line is bowing out
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Thunder in the distance. Hoping I can grill my brats before the storm starts lol
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Need to watch that junction point for tornado risk
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Certainly my mental radar extrapolation is we’re going to get a broad QLCS through the metro areas
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Already storms popping in Loudoun and WV panhandle
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Hi, I’m the guy it took 2 hours to notice the COD radar hadn’t updated in 6 hours
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Sky is dark from that warned cell over south Baltimore
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It’s Oregon smoke now. Different terroir
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Smokey skies again?
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Yeah they are a good sign
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It’s just that it’s still convective season. I want to see some big synoptic rainers starting.
