WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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6z gfs right where we want it??
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This rain seems heavier and more widespread than what guidance was suggesting. And I’m still getting screwed.
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Freaking November and I’m still getting fringed with storms
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@CAPE enjoying this ravens O line performance?
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Fair point. The IOD and Nina are going to favor phases 5-6.
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Great thread from @griteater on the weakening early season Strat vortex and connections to a -NAO in December-ish. His two closest analogs are December 1981 and early January 1982 and December 2000. December-January 81/82 was a very cold and snowy period for our area, especially January. December 2000 was quite cold, but fairly dry without much snow.
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Some part of Chicago metro area (probably focused toward IL/IN border) going to get absolutely nuked with lake effect tomorrow into Monday
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I was at that game!
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Totally my anecdotal observations, but it seems like the weeklies are ok at picking out a single “pattern change” during the forecast period, but then don’t properly show how that new pattern may evolve or change. So I buy a “good” pattern develops after thanksgiving, but I doubt it looks the same for the subsequent 4 weeks.
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Neither say SE Howard though. Probably just an accidental oversight.
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Hmmm. Doesn’t say Howard, but has everywhere around us?
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Per the mesonet, only the immediate areas along the Bay avoided a freeze this morning.
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This is what I’m talking about when I say I don’t want our best pattern in early December though. Yeah, 4” in the first 3 weeks of December is above climo, but it still isn’t that much!
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First freeze IMBY!
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JB2 going snowiest Nina since 95-96?
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Per Webb, HM is very bullish on January. But not sure where he’s getting that from. Everyone seems onboard with a cold December. I’m still not sold on a snowy December though.
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GGEM has that upper low thing as well, but farther south so brings the "snow" through NC and southern VA. On a different note, all the 12z ops have completely punted any real warmup for mid-month. Have to see if ensembles agree.
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Placeholder for now. BWI: 9.8” DCA: 6.4” IAD: 11.3” RIC: 5.1” SBY: 7.8”
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Looks good to me as well based on my memory...
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I’ve got plenty of other shit going on my life than your principled stand in a weather forum. If you want to leave, stop posting.
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Can we not do this martyr thing again?
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Ok that’s all of that
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Euro and GFS both have a second cold push late next week now. Could be a pretty chilly week overall with multiple double digit BN days. Still looks like a warm up mid-month.
