Jump to content

WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
  • Posts

    24,584
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. Channeling @Deck Pic 48/43 excited for my snowstorm
  2. Mostly it seems we don’t have a huge 4SD retrograding -NAO anymore. The pattern this upcoming weekend and through the following week still looks “decent/workable/fine”. Some periodic +PNA, continuing -AO…it’s not a bad pattern by any means! Just doesn’t look epic anymore.
  3. Not sure what all your perspectives may be, but one of my takeaways for this entire winter has been that the northern stream has been way more involved than I expected. With a strong Nino I was figuring we’d have some number of big honking southern lows and the only question would be how cold it was and where. But for the most part the southern lows have gotten bullied around and that looks to continue the next 7-14 days with our previously classic Nino pattern.
  4. I think there’s been potential for phasing the entire time with this, but outside of a few random op runs, there hasn’t been much support for it. Mostly guidance has suggested that in some way the northern stream squashes the southern wave. For now seems our best chance for snow is with the northern shortwave alone. Honestly it’s not much different than the second storm of our January week of winter. Can we get another short range favorable trend??
  5. I said this a couple weeks ago I think, but in my experience you can accumulate with temps 33-34 certainly. 35 is possible but really needs to be thumping. 36 and higher is just white rain. Of course rates and temps are linked and higher rates will cool the surface down some.
  6. Euro is south of us for Saturday. A multi-model blend is probably a light hit for the metro area and points northward. eta…euro is dusting-2” for most of VA verbatim.
  7. Lol yes. I’m just going to hug the euro 10:1 map for MBY and go “lalala can’t can’t hear you” when somebody points out my temp is like 40F when it’s snowing
  8. I’ve seen a few things suggested: stronger lakes shortwave weaker and more positively tilted southern shortwave
  9. Think we’re in the game to measure something at least…
  10. Yeah I think this is about if/where that narrow frontogen band develops tomorrow morning. Just a little more south trend and extra tuck can get it over me…
  11. Even the very stupid hrrrr snow depth map has Mt PSU and Mt Parkton in the 6” range lol
  12. 9ers gonna end up losing 12-10 because they can’t do shit on offense
  13. Big jump south on 3k NAM too. Good for high elevations in northern MD verbatim.
  14. Seeing an MJO chart is starting to make my eye twitch
  15. @yoda is 900 years old and we’re losing him
×
×
  • Create New...