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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    GEFS has been consistently suppressed for the PD3 wave. 12z looks a little closer but still pretty far south and OTS.
  2. WxUSAF
    lol damn that’s a HECS for Raleigh-RIC corridor
  3. WxUSAF
    This is basically the solution the gfs had yesterday and the day before with the NS running ahead and the souther steam wave running the boundary. Just a bit farther south. Southeast weenies getting a case of the vapors over this run though…
  4. WxUSAF
    Yeah that’s a big jump
  5. WxUSAF
    If someone tries to post a snow depth map, it’s an insta-ban
  6. WxUSAF
    B L U E B-A-B-Y
  7. WxUSAF
  8. WxUSAF
    Extrapolated 6z gfs looks awful for the psu storm though. Disappointing
  9. WxUSAF
    PD3 is back on 6z gfs. 18-30” for the mountains. 10-15” for the metros.
  10. WxUSAF
    DT going with the euro for this event. Wow, didn't see that coming.
  11. WxUSAF
    0z euro is gorgeous…until you look at temps.
  12. WxUSAF
    Dq fuq is this? pinned
  13. WxUSAF
    I like the setup for V-day a lot. Simple, classic. Just got a shit airmass ahead of it which leads to the need for a needle threading with the northern stream. But if it fails, there’s more chances beyond.
  14. WxUSAF
    Only the new gfs could take such a perfect setup and turn it into a rainstorm. I’m sending a strongly worded email to NCEP to correct the 12z run.
  15. WxUSAF
    I think we have 3 storm windows right now that we can see in the medium-long range: 13-14th. 18-19th. ~22-25th that you and others have been mentioning for a week already. and I’m sure there would be more chances beyond that.
  16. WxUSAF
    12z is the closest yet to a phase. That would be the big dog…
  17. WxUSAF
    GEFS looks pretty loaded to me. Mean track for the 13-15 period is to our south. And then a couple periods with something big potentially after the 18th.
  18. WxUSAF
    Gfs fumbles the HECS chance, but lots of potential on this run.
  19. WxUSAF
    Gfs has a clipper right after that that blue’s us.
  20. WxUSAF
    Blend of the GFS (suppressed to Savannah) and GGEM (cutter to Detroit) is pretty good for us for the v-day threat.
  21. WxUSAF
    I thought 0z GEFS was the best look yet for that PD period. 6z GEFS a bit more south, but these are all small changes for 15 days out.
  22. WxUSAF
    Looks not dry
  23. WxUSAF
    EPS weeklies are dry with the progression with that H5 look Brooklynn posted??
  24. WxUSAF
    @griteater…could this strat weakening be similar to early January? Where a growing -NAO helped weaken the strat vortex which reinforced -NAO?
  25. WxUSAF
    All those ensemble means showing troughing in the 50/50 region as well. I don’t know if we get a HECS, but seems like it would take incredible bad luck to not get a really nice event later this month.
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