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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Maybe it’s correct but the NAM has been awful this warm season
  2. WxUSAF
    It was close. Got a brief sprinkle.
  3. WxUSAF
    Once again the NAM looks like crap before a precip event. But hrrr is really rainy for the metro areas tomorrow.
  4. WxUSAF
    Gonna miss him when Cade Povich gets the ball every 5 days
  5. WxUSAF
    He’s been a reliable (and cheap) fifth starter for several years. Will occasionally throw a gem, occasionally a major clunker. He’s been pretty rough lately though.
  6. WxUSAF
    ^having the Canadian ridging extending all the way to the west coast is a subtle difference but a key one. If the Aleutian low goes giga (which is what I’d lean toward), that’ll push the ridge inland and just flood Canada with pac puke
  7. WxUSAF
    It’s sort of settled into a physics model vs ai model split now? Physics models slow it down and end up rainier. AI keeps it moving.
  8. WxUSAF
    Euro ai hinting at it
  9. WxUSAF
    Pretty low consensus on what this ULL is going to do Sunday though next week. Euro AI been pretty consistent on it being progressive. Physics models flip flopping between a similar solution and stalling it. 0z euro stalls it to our west.
  10. WxUSAF
    The generally NN/BN weather this month after the mega torch to start has almost erased the AN anomalies for the month at the 3 airports. +0.7 BWI +0.9 DCA +1.7 IAD As of yesterday
  11. WxUSAF
    I said they needed to go 6-3 in the 9 games before the deadline. 2-3 so far
  12. WxUSAF
    Pretty garden variety for MBY, but I’ll take a bit over 0.5” of rain
  13. WxUSAF
    And it’s tornado warned
  14. WxUSAF
    Baltimore and Harford county part of the line is bowing out
  15. WxUSAF
    Thunder in the distance. Hoping I can grill my brats before the storm starts lol
  16. WxUSAF
    Need to watch that junction point for tornado risk
  17. WxUSAF
    Certainly my mental radar extrapolation is we’re going to get a broad QLCS through the metro areas
  18. WxUSAF
    Already storms popping in Loudoun and WV panhandle
  19. WxUSAF
    Hi, I’m the guy it took 2 hours to notice the COD radar hadn’t updated in 6 hours
  20. WxUSAF
    Sky is dark from that warned cell over south Baltimore
  21. WxUSAF
    It’s Oregon smoke now. Different terroir
  22. WxUSAF
    Smokey skies again?
  23. WxUSAF
    Yeah they are a good sign
  24. WxUSAF
    It’s just that it’s still convective season. I want to see some big synoptic rainers starting.
  25. WxUSAF
    I’m not yet convinced we’ve turned the corner on the long term drought and that giga-Nino is kicking in precip-wise…but the evidence is building. I’ll have to see what august looks like. I’m feeling pretty sure that by mid/late September we’ll have turned the corner for good. At least until our next multi year Nina which starts next fall lol
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