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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. It’s all we got for awhile so why not? If I lived on Mt PSU or in Winchester I’d definitely be watching.
  2. We had “The Look” in 97-98 multiple times and got phasing southern stream coastal bombs 3 times I think? Just that temps were in the 40s and the rain/snow line was around frostburg…
  3. Car thermometer read 12F in the USDA farm fields north of Greenbelt
  4. Why are a couple eastern shore county schools closed and the rest delayed ?
  5. Ugh that’s a tough loss. Already exhausted of hearing about Mahomes, Kelce, and Ta-Ta for next week.
  6. What do I think of the NFC championship including 2 teams the ravens completely demolished? I’m for it
  7. GFS is verbatim an example for Hoffman’s book with a perfect track at peak climo with a torched boundary layer.
  8. All 3 ensemble systems are consistent with pattern evolution the first few days of February. The big pac jet extension is very short-lived and it weakens after a couple days. Then the trough out west starts to undercut the ridge in the east and the ridging rotates north and west across the continent. Keep this rolling forward a few more days and the reds and blues are mostly in the right places. Now do we need 7-10 more days to recharge cold air sources at peak climo? TBD, but I think it’s faster than that despite elephants and BAMwx flame emojis.
  9. My son’s birthday is V-day and I promised him snow for it back in like October. Sooo…need something to happen by then.
  10. This is the difference this year with Monken. Opposing defenses can slow them down for a time, but not the whole game.
  11. Reset seems to have worked
  12. Sheesh../offense needs a reset
  13. Ravens receivers are not getting open for Lamar. He’s extending time and he isn’t finding them downfield which happened so much during the season.
  14. Enough snow blowing off my roof that I can probably measure a few tenths new snow on my snowboard
  15. I mean, that’s the peak of peak climo, so if we can get some fluke amidst an otherwise bad pattern, that’s the time for it to happen. Messy/mixed/flawed events are a normal part of climo for us! 2” that gets washed away, tail end slop following a rainer like December…they’re not glamorous, but that’s how we get to climo most times it happens.
  16. Gun to head, I think we get another 7-10 day period that has a small event on the front and a MECS-scale event in the back, although maybe with more mixing in the metros than we’d prefer. Then another 1-2 smallish events after into the first 2 weeks of March. If it played out like that, most of us would be 100-125% of climo.
  17. This is the first time I can remember an inverted trough verifying *south* of its modeled position. They are notorious for showing up north of guidance. Although I don’t have the photographic memory of our snow fails like others on here.
  18. January 19, 2024: 5.4” total: 10.9” basically exactly 50% of climo
  19. Goofy ass evolution that will never happen, but 6z gfs gets it done Jan 30-31
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