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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. That longitudinally extended trop PV beneath a -NAO/-AO is a feature of our big dogs.
  2. NAM has a very thin accumulating snow band mostly north of our area ahead of the ice. RGEM putting it right through central MD.
  3. 6z gfs is so weak that we don’t get much ice or snow before the main event in Thursday, which is all rain.
  4. It’s colder actually. Probably some snow north of DC before ice.
  5. Shorter wavelengths is, paradoxically in this case, referring to the longwave pattern. In mid-winter, there might be as few as 3-4 wavelengths around the globe at our latitude. As spring approaches, that number increases and hence the wavelength is shorter.
  6. Weeklies mean snowfall through D46 is 15-20”. YMMV on verification.
  7. Half of those handful of eps members that skunk us have more snow to our south lol
  8. Yeah without snark, a 7-8” mean AND median for MBY with it basically all after D7 is bananas.
  9. Sounds like -PNA torch? Nina Feb climo?
  10. Temp going nowhere today. Still 29
  11. Puxatawney Phil agrees with an epic February
  12. God bless Tropical Tidbits for accumulating freezing rain at 10:1 ratios
  13. There will be rain on this rainy day, right?
  14. That’s impressive given it’s all D10+
  15. Where’s my rain??
  16. I like big splits and I can not lie You other weenies can’t deny When the strat walks in with an ittybitty waist and a round thing in your face You get COLD!
  17. Dang, Terps are on a hot streak
  18. Not sure it’s really a good weather event, but the 2-3 weeks of very overcast drizzly weather in May was memorable for me.
  19. GGEM wasn’t far off and 6z gfs has a wintry storm in that period. Balance of the next 2 weeks is obviously warm, but there’s enough cold air nearby and with an active boundary also nearby, there could be a chance.
  20. Most solar power since October 30.
  21. I’ve seen nothing about the AI models and their strat forecasts. Do they have any skill vs traditional guidance?
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