WxUSAF
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Everything posted by WxUSAF
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Looks juicy to me but maybe timing differences
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Hmmm Nevermind. Pivotal disagreeing. Was using snow depth on TT and even that is corrupted it seems.
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Legit 1” of snow+sleet. 2” over near @CAPE.
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Since the timing of this event got honed in, I think a broad 4-8” for EZF and points north has been a reasonable forecast. Nothing that I see right now would change that.
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Snow and ice don’t count if there isn’t an advisory or warning
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3k would be impactful IMO for most of their MD zones verbatim. Solid sleet coating with ZR to fill in the gaps. Colder than Thursday.
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3k NAM has up to 0.5” of precip for Annapolis area. 0.25-0.4” for most everyone else in the metro area. All sleet and fzra.
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Interesting LWX is not seeing the impact as greater than Thursday.
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I’d expect WWAs any time now
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Remix looking more impactful for metro areas than yesterday
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Terps choked and Josh Allen won MVP? Gimme a freaking break.
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If you asked me for an O/U for February 2025 snow IMBY on December 1, I’d probably have said ~2.5”.
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Euro?
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It’s over
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lol @Ji made a thread today and someone hid it. Thought it was you lol
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The bigger totals are going to be north next week. Bet my bank account on it. State college to Albany to Boston is going to get buried over the next 2+ weeks. But I still think we’re going to get more (maybe a lot more) than many of us would have guessed in a Niña February with SE ridge over us.
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My kids will go to school 1 day next week if gfs verifies. Fairfax might just call it a year?
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12k NAM still liking snow/sleet for the remix
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lol almost 20% chance of 18” IMBY. Bananas
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Can ECMWF get our AI overlords to budget some of their infinite digital brains for better graphics?
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Was someone complaining that GFS, GEFS, Icon, GGEM, Ukie, Euro, and EPS all give the metro corridor and surrounding areas a warning level snowfall at D5?
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Ukie is roughly GGEM-like. 4-7” or so before a flip to sleet and then dryslot for metro areas. Starts pre-dawn Tuesday. More energy behind but thermals are north.
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GGEM has a weak clipper sort of thing in Ontario right as the storm arrives and helps warm things up. Take that away and it’s better for us. But yes, also more strung out.
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Gorgeous. Consolidated the energy and great track. Just like the runs from a couple days ago.
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12z runs so far suggest accumulating snow/sleet for MD before a bit of fzra. Mostly 0.1-1”
