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WxUSAF

Moderator Meteorologist
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Everything posted by WxUSAF

  1. WxUSAF
    Ok f it. Hugging the hrrr and going down with the ship. Gonna stop looking at guidance so I’m not disappointed until I wake up in the morning lol
  2. WxUSAF
    EPS looked decent for the PSU storm
  3. WxUSAF
    Temp plummeting. 43/41. At this rate should be in the low 20s by morning
  4. WxUSAF
    And it’s in the 40s! Bust incoming?
  5. WxUSAF
    Weenies should drive in the westbound lanes on the north side of 495. All rain for eastbound losers.
  6. WxUSAF
    Think the ratios are too low at 10:1???
  7. WxUSAF
    Putting aside my weenie bun, this is a very good point
  8. WxUSAF
    I think @mappy is in a real good spot for this a bit farther east
  9. WxUSAF
    Channeling @Deck Pic 48/43 excited for my snowstorm
  10. WxUSAF
    Nice. Still a lot of members with more snow after tomorrow.
  11. WxUSAF
    Mostly it seems we don’t have a huge 4SD retrograding -NAO anymore. The pattern this upcoming weekend and through the following week still looks “decent/workable/fine”. Some periodic +PNA, continuing -AO…it’s not a bad pattern by any means! Just doesn’t look epic anymore.
  12. WxUSAF
    Not sure what all your perspectives may be, but one of my takeaways for this entire winter has been that the northern stream has been way more involved than I expected. With a strong Nino I was figuring we’d have some number of big honking southern lows and the only question would be how cold it was and where. But for the most part the southern lows have gotten bullied around and that looks to continue the next 7-14 days with our previously classic Nino pattern.
  13. WxUSAF
    I think there’s been potential for phasing the entire time with this, but outside of a few random op runs, there hasn’t been much support for it. Mostly guidance has suggested that in some way the northern stream squashes the southern wave. For now seems our best chance for snow is with the northern shortwave alone. Honestly it’s not much different than the second storm of our January week of winter. Can we get another short range favorable trend??
  14. WxUSAF
    I said this a couple weeks ago I think, but in my experience you can accumulate with temps 33-34 certainly. 35 is possible but really needs to be thumping. 36 and higher is just white rain. Of course rates and temps are linked and higher rates will cool the surface down some.
  15. WxUSAF
    lol can ring those snowflakes out like a sponge
  16. WxUSAF
    Euro is south of us for Saturday. A multi-model blend is probably a light hit for the metro area and points northward. eta…euro is dusting-2” for most of VA verbatim.
  17. WxUSAF
    Lol yes. I’m just going to hug the euro 10:1 map for MBY and go “lalala can’t can’t hear you” when somebody points out my temp is like 40F when it’s snowing
  18. WxUSAF
    I’ve seen a few things suggested: stronger lakes shortwave weaker and more positively tilted southern shortwave
  19. WxUSAF
    Think we’re in the game to measure something at least…
  20. WxUSAF
    Yeah I think this is about if/where that narrow frontogen band develops tomorrow morning. Just a little more south trend and extra tuck can get it over me…
  21. WxUSAF
    Even the very stupid hrrrr snow depth map has Mt PSU and Mt Parkton in the 6” range lol
  22. WxUSAF
    9ers gonna end up losing 12-10 because they can’t do shit on offense
  23. WxUSAF
    Big jump south on 3k NAM too. Good for high elevations in northern MD verbatim.
  24. WxUSAF
    We’re gonna Jebwalk to Valhalla
  25. WxUSAF
    Only 1 out of 51 with nothing
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