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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    I really hope the V16 is on something besides model crack, it's very snowy over the next week, basically forum wide.
  2. John1122
    It's tried a deep south bomb two runs in a row. Always in that mythical d8-10 range with huge snow storms. But a smaller version of that happened in January 2018.
  3. John1122
    The snow cover factor will play a big role. February has a lot of all time record lows in the midstate. Very impressive since Jan 1985 owns most of those in the state. I've been -20 in February before and that was in the oft mentioned 1996. Managed around -14 in late February 2015.
  4. John1122
    I've had at least some snow on the ground all but maybe 10-14 days since Christmas. It's been on the ground since Saturday now and will at least make it through part of tomorrow.
  5. John1122
    I believe LeConte has had snow on the ground since late November.
  6. John1122
    South Georgia jackpot that run. Frozen brown ground here.
  7. John1122
    If we could get a 1049 H over Wisconsin we'd be in business. A 1049 over Eastern Kansas sends everything to the south central GOM and puts Jacksonville in play.
  8. John1122
    Snow watch from Houston to Tallahassee with the highs dropping in. January 2018 redux when the creek here froze 6 inches thick with no snow on the ground at all and the deep south had 2 snow events.
  9. John1122
    Euro builds a big snowpack to our north and has some true arctic air over it but through 198 we are spared the brunt of it due to no snowpack. At 204 we'd probably set record lows with snowpack on the ground. But it was showing those Temps for Monday a couple days ago. So color me skeptical when cold hangs around D7-8 on a model run.
  10. John1122
    Low is just north of Savannah with almost no precip associated with it. Cold front is undercutting the precip in middle Tennessee by early Tuesday morning. Freezing rain developing west. Fizzles moving east.
  11. John1122
    Big storm coming out by Tuesday that wasn't there at all at 12z. But likely a rainer here. Very warm in advance of it.
  12. John1122
    Yep, 20 degrees warmer valley wide on Sunday on the Euro vs 12z. Instead of dropping snow here and turning into a noreaster it heads for Bermuda. So the cold isn't pulled down into our area like it was before.
  13. John1122
    Euro is folding to the GFS and just crushing the weekend system that has been snowing on the eastern valley. It will likely affect everything after as well.
  14. John1122
    The GFS is very cold but just Uber dry the next 10 days. If it came to pass it would be the driest stretch in my back yard since the flash drought in September 2019. It has me with about .2 qpf over 10 days. I just don't swallow that happening.
  15. John1122
    The Control is still shooting for the moon.
  16. John1122
    Wave once is a nice event for east valley areas. It's crazy how tough it's been to get the west areas going this year.
  17. John1122
    Probably 2.5 inches fell yesterday and early this morning but I maxed out at 1.5 inches on the ground.
  18. John1122
    All in all the GFS and GFS Para are still snowy forum wide. The Euro was suppressed as is the Canadian. All are generally cold enough for winter precip. We will probably see more big hits and misses over the next few days.
  19. John1122
    Weaker and suppressed. Not a bad look at all but I hate that it gets pushed back in time. Potential is still there but it just didn't work out that run.
  20. John1122
    Looks like it's trying to cook something up towards the end but it's holding energy back in Texas. Not surprising that it's holding back.
  21. John1122
    The second system is now basically nothing on the Euro. From here. To here.
  22. John1122
    The NAO is off the charts negative after that system and it's west based. That should mean good things to come as long as the Pac isn't a disaster.
  23. John1122
    It's much warmer and less snowy on wave one. Still cold but with some snow but 1-2 vs 3-6 and 10-15 Monday insead of -5 to 5 above. Basically fell in line with the rest of the 0z suite in that regard. Waiting to see how it affects what was the much bigger wave two that crushed most of the forum area. Keep in mind big storms and major cold will cause wild swings.
  24. John1122
    Another round of + snow. Its odd, the radar presentation has no connection to how hard it's snowing. It looks the same with light snow and moderate or heavier snow.
  25. John1122
    I don't know if I've seen that in a straight northerly flow. What an odd system overall.
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