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John1122

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Everything posted by John1122

  1. John1122
    GEFS mean is impressive.
  2. John1122
    Ratio'd GFS is huge. Our biggest events happen in November and March. Just more energy to work with when they actually manage to get the cold air.
  3. John1122
    The Canadian took another step towards the GFS and has a much more widespread event than it did at 12z. Thread may be needed by tomorrow for this one as long as everything sticks together. Accumulation will be aided by it being an evening into overnight event. Rates will also come into play. Ground temps are a bit of a factor but can easily be overcome by rates. The huge April 1987 snow had temps the last week of March in the mid to upper 70s, it snowed around 1-2 inches on March 31st after the high being 75 and 71 in the two days before it. Highs were in the 50s on April 1st and 2nd, cold crashed in on the 2nd, as rain started, by the evening of the second silver dollar were falling here, 10-12 inches fell from evening into overnight. It just melts quickly from the ground up when the ground is so warm but it should look amazing for a few hour on Sat morning if we can pull it off.
  4. John1122
    0z GFS is quite enthusiastic. Gonna be a huge run it looks like.
  5. John1122
    06z GFS says Kaboom!
  6. John1122
    The GFS may be overamping, which seems to be an issue with it since it was the Para. It would be nice if it came to pass. The cold is pretty impressive with a straightforward snow sounding as we get in the commahead.
  7. John1122
    That run was a serious, mid-winter type storm. It was mid 20s with heavy sleet and snow across the forum area. Backed off now, but man, that would be a sweet close to the winter season.
  8. John1122
    Gonna be so warm this week I expect lots of flowers and blooms will be coming. March is definitely coming in like a lamb.
  9. John1122
    Ended up switched to rain snow mixed for most of the night. No accumulations here. That initial burst was heavy before the rain mixed down. Above 2500 my cousins had a couple inches.
  10. John1122
    It is a burst of snow and sleet mixed. Coming down pretty good.
  11. John1122
    Been some virga moving over but deeper returns look like they are about to get here. Hopefully it's snow when it does arrive.
  12. John1122
    Probably overblown but no drought worries any time soon.
  13. John1122
    Sleet mixed now when the precip lightened up. Looks like it's struggling to come further north.
  14. John1122
    Snow falling here.
  15. John1122
    Just had a snow shower roll through.
  16. John1122
    NAM jumps on board for some wet heavy snow flying. Basically 40 North to the border areas in the Eastern valley.
  17. John1122
    I was wondering how much wintery weather you got. Appeared to be a long duration event.
  18. John1122
    UKIE trying to get onboard with a snow thump from my area to NE Tn and N. UKIE and GFS have it, short range and Canadians don't.
  19. John1122
    Euro tried for some frozen precipitation just south of where the GFS placed it.
  20. John1122
    GFS is trying to bring back the Sunday system but the hi-res models aren't biting.
  21. John1122
    If the GEFS is to be believed, we will start March cool and then warm up until mid-month at least. Probably my biggest hope as we hit spring is no early long duration well AN temps in March that cause things to bloom early. Carvers report on the weeklies make that seem not so big a worry. Hopefully they verify.
  22. John1122
    Meteorological Spring hits March 1st, thus begins the quiet season on the forums. This thread should suffice until fall for any long range disco. I doubt the last flakes have fallen this year but I don't really expect another widespread winter threat either. It was definitely a Plateau to Western Tennessee winter. Tough for Eastern areas not to do any better with virtually the entire month of January being BN for temps. The flood threat, as it always seems to be these days, is definitely elevated again this spring. The severe threat, I'll leave that to Jeff, Jax, and the rest of the severe gurus.
  23. John1122
    Looks like cold temps have pressed further east than expected. It's 32 in Jamestown and it looks like some mixed areas are showing up in Fentress and Scott as well as southern Kentucky.
  24. John1122
    Any western folks getting the winter storm side of this event? Extremely windy here.
  25. John1122
    Everything is at full bank here. Another couple of inches tonight and tomorrow will see things get pretty rough unless there's significant lowering of creeks before tonight. Driving off the mountain a few minutes ago, the dry washes are still running full bore.
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