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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. 1630z OTLK should be an interesting read in a few
  2. Tornado Warning for North Central Carroll County
  3. Um yeah... that looks like sups on the 15z HRRR arriving in DC metro at 00z/01z, no?
  4. Tornado Warning for Howard and Montgomery counties
  5. So far, 15z HRRR is looking really intriguing on the sim radar at 22z...
  6. see @MN Transplant post above of the TDR from DCA
  7. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1159 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Central Carroll County in north central Maryland... Northwestern Howard County in central Maryland... Northwestern Montgomery County in central Maryland... Frederick County in north central Maryland... * Until 1245 PM EDT. * At 1159 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Walkersville to near Ballenger Creek to near Poolesville, moving east at 30 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Germantown, Frederick, Westminster, Damascus, Thurmont, Poolesville, Harry Grove Stadium, Montgomery Village, Eldersburg, Ballenger Creek, Mount Airy, Taneytown, Walkersville, Braddock Heights, New Market, Green Valley, Clover Hill, Discovery-Spring Garden, Boyds and Linganore-Bartonsville.
  8. Covers east and SE of us... no counties from LWX in that new watchbox
  9. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1143 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Southwestern Prince Georges County in central Maryland... Northwestern Charles County in southern Maryland... Central Stafford County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Fairfax County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Prince William County in northern Virginia... * Until 1230 PM EDT. * At 1142 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Montclair to near Stafford to near Fredericksburg, moving east at 35 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Stafford, Waldorf, Dale City, Clinton, Fort Washington, Fort Hunt, La Plata, Fort Belvoir, Woodbridge, Quantico, Aquia Creek, Port Tobacco River, Lake Ridge, Montclair, Lorton, Hybla Valley, Newington, Friendly, Triangle and Dumfries.
  10. Don't know if I am using it right, but some of the higher tilts (like Tilt 3) on Radarscope look like they have some decent rotation down in EZF and in Prince William County using SRV (Storm Relative Velocity)
  11. If it continues NE path... could brush eastern DC metro in about an hour
  12. Updated morning AFD from LWX (as of 1025am) says that the afternoon/evening threat for severe is "still in play" .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... Initial line associated with low level jet continues to slowly move eastward across the area. Tornado Watch remains in place through 2 PM. Some stabilization has been occurring with northward extent as storms interact with weaker instability and more CIN across our forecast area. Appears an effective warm front is lurking between DC and Fredericksburg, and theta-e advection along with some diurnal heating will result in higher instability spreading northward ahead of the line as it reaches the I-95 corridor during the midday hours. Therefore damaging winds and a brief tornado remain threats as low level shear values remain high. While the overall line will progress to the east, there is potential for brief training and we have seen rain amounts of 1-2 inches in an hour where this occurs. The second round late this afternoon and into this evening is still somewhat uncertain, but additional severe storms and localized flooding issues are still within play.
  13. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1107 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Western Loudoun County in northern Virginia... Northeastern Warren County in northwestern Virginia... Clarke County in northwestern Virginia... Northwestern Fauquier County in northern Virginia... Southeastern Jefferson County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 1145 AM EDT. * At 1107 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Millwood Pike to 7 miles south of Berryville to Hume, moving northeast at 40 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Purcellville, Berryville, Middleburg, Round Hill, Delaplane, Linden, Oatlands, Bluemont, Lovettsville, Boyce, Hamilton, Hillsboro, White Post, Gaylord, Aldie, Blue Mountain, Philomont, Bethel, Lincoln and Saint Louis. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 PM EDT for north central Maryland...northern and northwestern Virginia...and the Panhandle of West Virginia. For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building.
  14. I'm sorry, as an aside, I love the city name Bumpass.
  15. Latest RWR as of 10am shows 70 degree DPs reaching just south of DC
  16. More video of damage in Bedford county from possible TOR earlier this morning
  17. BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 906 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Eastern Nelson County in central Virginia... The City of Charlottesville in central Virginia... Albemarle County in central Virginia... * Until 945 AM EDT. * At 905 AM EDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from 6 miles south of Afton to near Spout Spring, moving northeast at 45 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by downed trees. Localized power outages are possible. Unsecured light objects may become projectiles. * Locations impacted include... Charlottesville, Crozet, Shipman, Schuyler, Free Union, Westmoreland, Hollymead, Nellysford, Ivy, Arrington, Scottsville, Esmont, Lovingston, Allens Creek, North Garden, Covesville, Yancey Mills, Stony Point, Buffalo Springs and Flordon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. Intense thunderstorm lines can produce brief tornadoes and widespread significant wind damage. Although a tornado is not immediately likely, it is best to move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a building. These storms may cause serious injury and significant property damage. A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 PM EDT for central Virginia.
  18. Rarity around here to see the word tornadoes in the LWX ZFPs... Zone Forecast Product National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 735 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022 DCZ001-VAZ054-271500- District of Columbia-Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria- Including the cities of Washington, Arlington, Alexandria, and Falls Church 735 AM EDT Fri May 27 2022 ...TORNADO WATCH 276 IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TODAY...Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms this morning, then showers with thunderstorms likely this afternoon. Some thunderstorms may be severe with damaging winds, tornadoes, and heavy rainfall, then some thunderstorms may produce damaging winds, tornadoes, and heavy rainfall this afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.
  19. The storm down SW of CHO seems to be strengthening... hail up to quarter size is now in the STW and continuous CG as well
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