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yoda

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Everything posted by yoda

  1. 12z Euro says near 90 at 18z Monday... while 12z GFS has lower 70s at same time
  2. Hmmm... from the new Day 1 SPC OTLK this morning... its 0/5/5 right now with us in MRGL... but: Early this morning, a substantial amount of convection has progressed into the TN Valley and there is some indication a weak disturbance could evolve from the middle TN activity by sunrise. If so, this feature would progress northeast and likely contribute to renewed convection over the middle Atlantic later today. At this time will not extend SLGT Risk into MD/VA to account for this threat, as this feature may be more readily ascertained by late morning.
  3. Reached 92... BWI did get to 96 I believe
  4. at noon DCA 85 IAD 88 BWI 91 EZF 88 CHO 89 RIC 92
  5. DCA hasn't really gone anywhere since sunrise... 82 at 11am... while BWI is already 89
  6. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1241 PM EDT Fri May 20 2022 The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a * Tornado Warning for... Northwestern Washington County in north central Maryland... East central Allegany County in western Maryland... Northwestern Morgan County in the Panhandle of West Virginia... * Until 115 PM EDT. * At 1240 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Barnes Gap, or 9 miles west of Hancock, moving east at 50 mph. HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...For those in the direct path of a tornado touchdown, flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Damage to roofs, siding, and windows may occur. Mobile homes may be damaged or destroyed. Tree damage is likely. * This dangerous storm will be near... Hancock around 1255 PM EDT. Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Little Orleans, Lineburg and Green Ridge. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.
  7. ENH risk up... 30 wind on 1630z OTLK for E PA
  8. 40/20 tor probs 30/30 hail probs 70/20 wind probs
  9. Tornado Watch up TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 251 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1135 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2022 TORNADO WATCH 251 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS WVC003-027-037-057-065-202300- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0251.220520T1535Z-220520T2300Z/ WV . WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BERKELEY HAMPSHIRE JEFFERSON MINERAL MORGAN $$ TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 251 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1135 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2022 TORNADO WATCH 251 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EDT FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS MDC001-005-013-015-021-023-025-027-043-510-202300- /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0251.220520T1535Z-220520T2300Z/ MD . MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALLEGANY BALTIMORE CARROLL CECIL FREDERICK GARRETT HARFORD HOWARD WASHINGTON MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE BALTIMORE CITY
  10. MRGL risk for just north of DC into most of N and C MD on new Day 1 OTLK... best chance in PA where there is slight risk... 2/5/15
  11. Sneaky severe Friday afternoon? Updated Day 2 OTLK discussion from SPC... right now it's just north of DC into N MD including Baltimore and S PA into NJ/DE... ..Mid-Atlantic... A remnant MCV from earlier convection should be present over PA at the start of the period Friday morning. Some strong to perhaps isolated severe thunderstorms may develop ahead of this circulation across parts of southern PA/northern MD into DE and southern NJ Friday afternoon. If convection can form, it would pose a threat for all severe hazards given gradually increasing instability and a favorable kinematic parameter space related to the MCV. Confidence in thunderstorms redeveloping is not particularly high, but there is enough of a signal in guidance to include a small Marginal Risk.
  12. 45 million SHIB and 100K DOGE... along with some ADA and GALA
  13. 000 NWUS51 KLWX 162206 LSRLWX PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 605 PM EDT MON MAY 16 2022 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 0513 PM HAIL 4 SSE CHESAPEAKE BEACH 38.63N 76.52W 05/16/2022 M3.00 INCH CALVERT MD COCORAHS && EVENT NUMBER LWX2203434
  14. Sorry good sir, first Day 1 OTLK is ENH with 5 tor, 15 hail. and 30 wind
  15. Could be a fun week severe weather-wise reading the LWX AFD from this afternoon
  16. You're going to make @weatherwiz lose his shit when he sees this
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