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yoda

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  1. yoda
    STW for Nelson County and city of Waynesboro
  2. yoda
    Sorry... had to since it reminded me if this
  3. yoda
    TW up from RNK
  4. yoda
    URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 279 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 545 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of District Of Columbia Southern Maryland East-central North Carolina Central to eastern Virginia Coastal Waters * Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 545 PM until 1000 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...A few discrete cells with transient supercell structures should persist for a few hours as they spread northeast, mainly across portions of Virginia. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles northwest of Washington DC to 10 miles west southwest of Goldsboro NC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
  5. yoda
    You meh'd your way out of the watch, sorry
  6. yoda
    You win again good sir
  7. yoda
    Haven't seen a STF like this before Short Term Forecast National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 537 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022 VAZ036-272230- Nelson- 537 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022 .NOW... At 533 PM EDT, two severe thunderstorms were moving northeast through Amherst County at 45 mph. These storms should move into Nelson County around 600 PM. Residents and visitors in Nelson County should prepare to take cover in the upcoming hour. Be prepared for the likelihood of wind gusts to 60 MPH and large hail. Locations impacted include... Shipman, Schuyler, Wintergreen, Nellysford, Arrington, Lovingston, Bryant, Piney River, Tye River, Allens Creek, Roseland, Tyro, Rockfish, Buffalo Springs, Greenfield, Norwood, Five Forks, Jonesboro, Wingina and Gladstone.
  8. yoda
    LYH storm warned for 60mph winds and hail to half dollar size and tor possible tag
  9. yoda
    BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Warning National Weather Service BLACKSBURG VA 445 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022 The National Weather Service in BLACKSBURG has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Warning for... Eastern Roanoke County in west central Virginia... South central Rockbridge County in west central Virginia... The City of Roanoke in west central Virginia... Northern Bedford County in south central Virginia... Southeastern Botetourt County in west central Virginia... * Until 530 PM EDT. * At 444 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Laymantown, or near Troutville, moving northeast at 35 mph. HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and quarter size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to roofs, siding, and trees. * Locations impacted include... Roanoke... Vinton... Buchanan... Glasgow... Troutville... Stewartsville... and Montvale. This includes The following Location Roanoke Regional Airport. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Prepare immediately for large hail and damaging winds. For your safety, move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Stay away from windows. Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.
  10. yoda
    Mesoscale Discussion 0941 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0326 PM CDT Fri May 27 2022 Areas affected...Central NC into central/eastern VA Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 272026Z - 272230Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Locally damaging wind gusts and a brief tornado or two will be possible with renewed storm development into early evening. Watch issuance is possible. DISCUSSION...Convection continues to gradually increase in coverage and intensity this afternoon across parts of central NC into VA, near a weakly confluent surface trough, with a few cells occasionally showing weak midlevel rotation. This trend is expected to continue into early evening, as a midlevel cyclone approaches the region from the west. Increasing midlevel flow and deep-layer shear (as noted on recent VWPs from KFCX and KRAX) will continue to support some potential for organized storms, including the potential for stronger clusters and/or a few marginal supercells. Instability is not particularly strong, but MLCAPE of 750-1500 J/kg will support some severe potential, with locally damaging wind gusts the most likely threat, though marginally severe hail and a brief tornado cannot be ruled out with any sustained supercell into early evening. Watch issuance is possible across this area, depending on short-term observational and guidance trends regarding a sufficiently widespread severe threat. ..Dean/Thompson.. 05/27/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...ILM...RNK...
  11. yoda
    can def see the thinning of the clouds and clearing going on https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=ne&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24
  12. yoda
    Hmmmm
  13. yoda
    I guess we will continue to use this thread for 2022?
  14. yoda
    From earlier in Bedford County...
  15. yoda
    @Kmlwx is stuck in mode seeing this
  16. yoda
  17. yoda
  18. yoda
    I know we rag on him some... but even Cappucci is concerned
  19. yoda
    Even tries for some UDH swaths through N VA/DC/C MD between 23z and 01z
  20. yoda
    @Kmlwx @high risk @Eskimo Joe check out the sim radar on the 16z HRRR for 23z...
  21. yoda
    Thought it a bit odd as well, guess they could mention it on the 2000z OTLK if the threat manifests itself?
  22. yoda
    I hope he has collision insurance on that
  23. yoda
    Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1231 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022 MDC027-031-271640- /O.CAN.KLWX.TO.W.0013.000000T0000Z-220527T1645Z/ Howard MD-Montgomery MD- 1231 PM EDT Fri May 27 2022 ...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOWARD AND EAST CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTIES IS CANCELLED... The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled. A Tornado Watch remains in effect until 200 PM EDT for central Maryland. A Tornado Warning still remains in effect for portions of Montgomery and Howard Counties as the circulation observed on radar moved west of the orginal Tornado Warning.
  24. yoda
    Interesting... LWX had to reissue the Tornado Warning for Montgomery and Howard because the circulation went outside their original warning polygon by moving westward
  25. yoda
    short term for supercells
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