jaxjagman
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Everything posted by jaxjagman
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Depending on what the ENSO does right now ,seems possible we could be headed towards a +TNI next spring,which we haven't seen since 2017.Think we'll explore this to start another severe thread into winter,this one is getting long https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/11/4/044008/pdf
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That was a bad boy https://twitter.com/Fox4Weather/status/1264025552278769665/photo/1 https://twitter.com/ounwcm/status/1264566026227892224/photo/2
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Thanks I saw his post this morning https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1264525706215796736/photo/1
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Just food for thought,every single year the DMI dips below -0.8 there has always been some sort of a resurgent Nina the following winter.The most -ve was in Sept of 2016 where it hit -1.441.Some models show this potential especially the Euro
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GFS would have some potential for some TG into the GOM with the GYRE,Euro not as promising
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XFINITY GOT knocked out again thanks to a thunderstorm :(Thank goodness for Verizon2GO,its getting annoying tho
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CFS has been consistent with a Kelvin Wave and the MJO with it slowing down into the NH with the CHI posted above.This KW could spawn up some TG along the western flank if it's to be right into the first week of June,i'd keep watching along the Yucatan still upcoming
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KW moving across the IDL.There is some differences of how strong the KW will be.The MJO tho looks as if it will slow down as it get into the NH in a few days,should either way put a hit on subsurface east of the IDL
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Sorry to hear of the no trip,i know you look forward to this every year :( Its been a suck year so far for us here as well.Kids out of school(tho i think some kids might be happy about that..lol)No real graduation this year. My wife also is going through breast cancer and doing chemo right now,not a great time for this with the CV :( Just saying also,its never a good time for breast cancer either way.Praying we make it through this anyways
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Looks like NINA rang the door bell and someone let her in
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Tropical genesis is hard to predict without a storm,it's just a time frame to watch right now possibly
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JAMSTEC isn't that excited with a Nina
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Ninas knocking on the door
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Best chance of tropical genesis into the GOM would seemingly be more into June.Least today there could be a Kelvin Wave moving into by some models along with the CFS across the Yucatan,this certainly would be a time frame to watch,BUT 3-4 weeks out is beyond trustworthy right now
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Could get some good thunderstorms next weekend somewhere in the Valley, if the Euro is right as the boundary slips southward.Not very exciting looking right now but CIPS does show a risk as well.
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Upwelling seemingly has done a job.Long range models are hinting at another KW passing across the IDL after the Mid month .Could be some tropical genesis into the GOM afterwards towards June or just into if its correct
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NMME'S fall into winter
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Ouch
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No doubt about Nashville.Last i heard they still have thousands without power plus some won't have it back for a week
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Starting to see a few wind damage reports URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Nashville TN 935 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020 TNZ005>008-023>028-057-059-050500- /O.NEW.KOHX.HW.W.0001.200505T0235Z-200505T0500Z/ Stewart-Montgomery-Robertson-Sumner-Houston-Humphreys-Dickson- Cheatham-Davidson-Wilson-Hickman-Williamson- Including the cities of Dover, Clarksville, Springfield, Hendersonville, Gallatin, Goodlettsville, Erin, Tennessee Ridge, Waverly, New Johnsonville, McEwen, Dickson, Ashland City, Kingston Springs, Nashville, Lebanon, Mount Juliet, Centerville, Franklin, and Brentwood 935 PM CDT Mon May 4 2020 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT... * WHAT...Wind gusts up to 60 mph * WHERE...Portions of Middle Tennessee. * WHEN...Until midnight CDT tonight. * IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.
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Using my Verizon2Go,our Comcast went out and still is out since my last post.Lots of trees down and power outage,luckily we still have power but internet is extremely slow and hard to use This was a crazy vid tho during the storm
