jaxjagman

Just saying the pna is fixing to crash big time in the long range

Dont think the problem is the short range or even mid range its when the MJO gets into the Maritime this is is when the jet extension starts to cause havoc, along with HP on the Aleutian Islands,this is where you have a more pronounced -PNA.JMHO

who knows if it will be right

Looks like earlier this year into FEB but this is Jan

That's because of the +IOD being so strong,they are on fire

She's back,that's not good..lol

About sick of even looking at the weeklies.EPS around day 9-10 shows the 850's around -20c in SW KY while the Euro today looks around +10c,same time

Rere you see flood watch regardless into Jan

As long as you can get a +pna no doubt,we need help from the Aluetians Edit:corrected the PNA

Thats insane,i really dont have a good feeling about this pattern,so rare

Man this should break seemingly rains,we saw this last Feb,.not Jan

Man can you imagine if the MJO were to actually regress back into the Maritime

I thought it was the rims a that blocked it off last year because of the rains but this was in Feb i though,seems to early to have these big rains with record PW's which seems possible

You probably live by the rims?We saw this last year i believe if i remember right?Didnt it shut down 65?

Which big mountain cliff do i jump from..lol

Ugly

Son has a gymnastics meet this weekend in Atlanta so i'm sure it will snow here.Euro has maybe a dusting or 0.03 in TYS after the next system Tuesday,basically still cold chasing rain,so sick of the nick and dime crap we see every year.

Just saying what the GEFS IS SHOWING

Doubt there is a prayer until you at least get rid of the atmospheric river going through the Bahas which is more from the MJO going into the Maritime,we can get cold before then but what's being shown around 10 days,good luck

You'll never get cold locked in the Vallley with an Atmospheric River coming through the BAJAS and a HP along the Aleutian Islands,this still would be a -PNA that's just going to set up some big rains in the Valley

I thought i seen this look last year,did some,pretty impressive close with the GOM ATMOSPHERIC RIVER that happened then,this probably wont ever happen it's the GFS long range but some of synoptics are close.. https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Serious-Flooding-Threat-Looms-Tennessee-Valley-Week-and-Beyond

Do the martinins come with the room?

Nice room,where is this?

Not many great signs for the coldest month of the year

Ill be in Atlanta next weekend,so you can bet your ass off it if you live here,its going to happen..lol ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: BNA LAT= 36.12 LON= -86.68 ELE= 591 00Z DEC30 2 M 2 M 2 M SFC SFC 6 HR FROZN TOTAL MXT MNT TMP DEW WIND QPF PCP CLOUD (F) (F) (F) (F) (KTS) (IN) (IN) (PCT) MON 00Z 30-DEC 56.8 56.0 04004 100 MON 06Z 30-DEC 58.8 52.6 52.4 50.0 25011 34 MON 12Z 30-DEC 52.4 45.0 44.8 35.7 24008 0.00 0.00 65 MON 18Z 30-DEC 47.2 42.3 47.4 28.9 24010 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 00Z 31-DEC 49.2 43.9 43.8 27.2 25007 0.00 0.00 11 TUE 06Z 31-DEC 43.8 40.6 41.1 27.7 25007 0.00 0.00 38 TUE 12Z 31-DEC 41.1 35.7 35.9 24.0 26007 0.00 0.00 34 TUE 18Z 31-DEC 44.1 35.5 44.3 26.9 25008 0.00 0.00 0 WED 00Z 01-JAN 45.9 39.9 39.7 27.2 26006 0.00 0.00 0 WED 06Z 01-JAN 39.7 35.3 35.2 26.4 24006 0.00 0.00 0 WED 12Z 01-JAN 35.2 31.1 31.0 25.1 24005 0.00 0.00 14 WED 18Z 01-JAN 47.5 30.4 47.7 26.8 24005 0.00 0.00 70 THU 00Z 02-JAN 50.0 42.6 42.5 29.5 18006 0.00 0.00 96 THU 06Z 02-JAN 42.5 40.5 41.2 29.0 18007 0.00 0.00 97 THU 12Z 02-JAN 44.6 40.8 42.6 36.6 18008 0.04 0.00 100 THU 18Z 02-JAN 46.6 41.1 46.7 46.4 16009 0.21 0.00 100 FRI 00Z 03-JAN 48.4 46.6 47.7 47.3 15005 0.55 0.00 100 FRI 06Z 03-JAN 49.8 47.6 50.0 49.7 17009 0.39 0.00 100 FRI 12Z 03-JAN 53.3 49.9 53.2 52.1 19010 0.20 0.00 99 FRI 18Z 03-JAN 60.0 53.0 60.2 50.5 20013 0.01 0.00 85 SAT 00Z 04-JAN 60.7 51.3 51.1 39.9 25011 0.02 0.00 81 SAT 06Z 04-JAN 51.2 43.5 43.3 31.6 27009 0.00 0.00 92 SAT 12Z 04-JAN 43.3 39.1 39.0 30.7 24007 0.00 0.00 89 SAT 18Z 04-JAN 39.8 38.1 39.7 27.3 27012 0.02 0.01 57 SUN 00Z 05-JAN 39.9 36.2 36.2 21.7 27010 0.02 0.02 96 SUN 06Z 05-JAN 36.2 31.8 31.6 21.3 26006 0.00 0.00 4 SUN 12Z 05-JAN 31.6 28.1 28.1 21.4 21006 0.00 0.00 4 SUN 18Z 05-JAN 45.1 28.1 45.5 22.8 21010 0.00 0.00 0 MON 00Z 06-JAN 49.6 41.8 41.7 27.8 20006 0.00 0.00 0 MON 06Z 06-JAN 41.7 36.9 36.8 28.9 21005 0.00 0.00 0 MON 12Z 06-JAN 36.8 32.9 32.9 29.4 19004 0.00 0.00 1 MON 18Z 06-JAN 49.9 32.4 50.0 36.8 31003 0.00 0.00 2 TUE 00Z 07-JAN 51.4 42.8 42.7 23.8 35008 0.00 0.00 98 TUE 06Z 07-JAN 42.7 32.4 32.2 18.1 35008 0.00 0.00 1 TUE 12Z 07-JAN 32.2 24.6 24.6 17.4 35005 0.00 0.00 0 TUE 18Z 07-JAN 36.2 23.8 36.5 15.7 33002 0.00 0.00 0 WED 00Z 08-JAN 39.0 34.0 33.9 22.1 29005 0.00 0.00 100 WED 06Z 08-JAN 35.1 29.6 29.5 23.7 31007 0.03 0.03 49 WED 12Z 08-JAN 29.5 24.1 24.0 10.5 32011 0.00 0.00 100 WED 18Z 08-JAN 25.1 23.6 25.1 7.0 31009 0.00 0.00 100 THU 00Z 09-JAN 25.4 22.6 22.6 4.4 32007 0.00 0.00 92