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jaxjagman

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Everything posted by jaxjagman

  1. The MJO looks to be getting into the Western Pac the midlle of the month,the RMM'S look better than before as they were killing the signal off to fast.Towards and after the middle of the month any signal should be nothing more than a suppressed signal into the Maritime
  2. Right now the Euro shows a warm front lifting northward next weekend.As the WF lifts you should anyways see even a chance of the thunderstorms possibly severe into next weekend As the LLJ starts to strenghten more or less this drives up the Thetea-E along with SB Capes with DP'S getting into the lower 60's,impressive for Jan.With convection some of those totals might be much higher..IMO
  3. Just saying the pna is fixing to crash big time in the long range
  4. Dont think the problem is the short range or even mid range its when the MJO gets into the Maritime this is is when the jet extension starts to cause havoc, along with HP on the Aleutian Islands,this is where you have a more pronounced -PNA.JMHO
  5. Looks like earlier this year into FEB but this is Jan
  6. That's because of the +IOD being so strong,they are on fire
  7. About sick of even looking at the weeklies.EPS around day 9-10 shows the 850's around -20c in SW KY while the Euro today looks around +10c,same time
  8. As long as you can get a +pna no doubt,we need help from the Aluetians Edit:corrected the PNA
  9. Thats insane,i really dont have a good feeling about this pattern,so rare
  10. Man this should break seemingly rains,we saw this last Feb,.not Jan
  11. Man can you imagine if the MJO were to actually regress back into the Maritime
  12. I thought it was the rims a that blocked it off last year because of the rains but this was in Feb i though,seems to early to have these big rains with record PW's which seems possible
  13. You probably live by the rims?We saw this last year i believe if i remember right?Didnt it shut down 65?
  14. Which big mountain cliff do i jump from..lol
  15. Son has a gymnastics meet this weekend in Atlanta so i'm sure it will snow here.Euro has maybe a dusting or 0.03 in TYS after the next system Tuesday,basically still cold chasing rain,so sick of the nick and dime crap we see every year.
  16. Doubt there is a prayer until you at least get rid of the atmospheric river going through the Bahas which is more from the MJO going into the Maritime,we can get cold before then but what's being shown around 10 days,good luck
  17. You'll never get cold locked in the Vallley with an Atmospheric River coming through the BAJAS and a HP along the Aleutian Islands,this still would be a -PNA that's just going to set up some big rains in the Valley
  18. I thought i seen this look last year,did some,pretty impressive close with the GOM ATMOSPHERIC RIVER that happened then,this probably wont ever happen it's the GFS long range but some of synoptics are close.. https://www.wunderground.com/cat6/Serious-Flooding-Threat-Looms-Tennessee-Valley-Week-and-Beyond
  19. Do the martinins come with the room?
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