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jaxjagman

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Everything posted by jaxjagman

  1. jaxjagman
    That's a pretty sickening look the last couple decades
  2. jaxjagman
    Looks like possibly a good system down the road" IF " the Bearing Sea rule works out.There is a system coming out of somewhere along the Kamchatka Peninsula that will move into the Aleutians/Bering Sea in about 3-days.So if this were to work out around the 13th of Feb we would see a trough coming back out of East Asia,these type of strong events have led into some extreme cold in the cold season and severe in the warm seasons
  3. jaxjagman
    Not sure if it's going to do the trick,we was fooled earlier.Control don't show a split today
  4. jaxjagman
    Definite have to look at the levels.You want this to fall at night or have some heavier QPF's which would cool the thermals down maybe GFS 0.5 Degree FORECAST FOR: TYS LAT= 35.82 LON= -83.98 ELE= 981 00Z JAN27 * - APPROXIMATED 2 M 850 1000 FZING SFC SFC 6 HR SNCVR TMP TMP 850 HGT WIND PCP QPF LIQ (C) (C) THK (FT) (KTS) TYPES (IN) (IN) MON 00Z 27-JAN 5.7 1.6 132 5833 23002 0.01 MON 06Z 27-JAN 5.1 1.5 132 5714 22005 0.01 0.01 MON 12Z 27-JAN 5.2 1.0 132 5228 24005 RA 0.13 0.01 MON 18Z 27-JAN 8.4 -0.2 133 4580 26006 RA 0.11 0.03 TUE 00Z 28-JAN 5.8 -1.3 132 4021 31003 0.08 0.01 TUE 06Z 28-JAN 3.3 -1.7 131 3005 35002 0.00 0.03 TUE 12Z 28-JAN 2.3 -1.6 130 2290 02002 0.00 0.03 TUE 18Z 28-JAN 6.9 -0.1 131 3750 32003 0.00 0.01 WED 00Z 29-JAN 3.6 -0.4 131 3768 05003 0.00 0.01 WED 06Z 29-JAN 2.5 -0.5 131 4117 05003 0.00 0.01 WED 12Z 29-JAN 1.7 -1.0 131 4147 05002 0.00 0.01 WED 18Z 29-JAN 8.3 0.5 132 5070 04004 0.00 0.01 THU 00Z 30-JAN 6.3 -0.6 132 4059 00003 RA 0.03 0.01 THU 06Z 30-JAN 4.9 -0.6 132 4243 01003 RA 0.04 0.01 THU 12Z 30-JAN 4.4 -2.1 131 3542 36003 0.02 0.01 THU 18Z 30-JAN 7.7 -1.8 131 3472 35002 0.00 0.01 FRI 00Z 31-JAN 6.5 -1.9 132 4082 23000 0.00 0.01 FRI 06Z 31-JAN 4.3 -1.4 132 5051 18001 0.00 0.01 FRI 12Z 31-JAN 4.5 -1.6 131 3868 12002 RA 0.00 0.01 FRI 18Z 31-JAN 7.3 -1.8 132 3869 17002 RA 0.02 0.01 SAT 00Z 01-FEB 5.1 -1.4 131 3971 24002 0.05 0.03 SAT 06Z 01-FEB 4.6 0.1 132 4819 09001 RA 0.02 0.03 SAT 12Z 01-FEB 4.7 -0.5 132 4377 18001 RA 0.06 0.03
  5. jaxjagman
    Least we have a chance for some snow,but you have to get up early before it goes back to liquid to see it by the NAM
  6. jaxjagman
    I wouldnt trust the soundings like John mnetioned,they are way to warm with the 850mb,the problem is the 925MB,levels with a warm nose with winds S/SW
  7. jaxjagman
    Should be about 2500 ft
  8. jaxjagman
    there iis a warm nose into the lower levels,you might be able to over come this with your elevation,for us you want to see this happen in the evening
  9. jaxjagman
    Weather winter song for us in the Valley when we see a chance of snow..lol
  10. jaxjagman
  11. jaxjagman
    Not sure i worded it right,It doesn't mean you can't get cold.I was talking about the jet extension in East Asia.This will cut off the active pattern we've been seeing because troughs will be more or less up north and we will possibly be dealing with some sort of SER.It's really a crappish look IMO
  12. jaxjagman
    If we don't get help somewhere this pattern we are in is fixing to suck IMHO.When the jet retracts back into East Asia this is going to build back the ridge into East Asia and keep troughs from going through,so our active pattern won't be so active,Basically it would look just like the GEFS is showing in the long range
  13. jaxjagman
    Thanks,but you should be here anyways,this is your home..lol
  14. jaxjagman
    If the pattern would teleconnect right,we'd have a potential bowling ball coming though the Valley,but that's a big "if"
  15. jaxjagman
    Still looks like a potential strong storm into the first of the month.You have a Equatorial Rossby Wave running in with a kelvin Wave.
  16. jaxjagman
    Sure looks like it 10mb-100mb,but like always it's the long range
  17. jaxjagman
  18. jaxjagman
  19. jaxjagman
  20. jaxjagman
    More poleward today
  21. jaxjagman
    I use the CPC for the MJO,it usually updates our time just after 8 or some where in that line in the morning,Euro is later on tho https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/mjo.shtml
  22. jaxjagman
    Maybe money or rights?Not sure why he'd ommit it.It's a great tool and easy to decipher oceanic waves
  23. jaxjagman
    Just a note you can still get tropical monitoring on NCICS. Ventrice took it off his site for some reason. https://ncics.org/portfolio/monitor/mjo/
  24. jaxjagman
    giphy is the same way,i thought you was using tiny
  25. jaxjagman
    Thought about your pics just now and tinypics are what they are tinypics,i have to enlarge my pics to see them,its no big deal
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