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nrgjeff

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Everything posted by nrgjeff

  1. nrgjeff
    It's probably right. If one adjusts fronts north 200 miles for climo change, there it is. How often did it used to stall in Tenn? Now it can't get south of the Ohio River. Southeast Tennessee snow was impeached AND removed from office.
  2. nrgjeff
    Yeah we won't see anything in Dixie. Another win for climo.
  3. nrgjeff
    It's a deal if the front brings severe first!
  4. nrgjeff
    ECMWF is saber rattling Dixie Alley 2nd run in a row. GFS is less interested. SPC seems to be leaning Euro. It's way out of climo. Dixie does not have the October rebound like the Plains. I'd like to see this for a few more days. Also the Euro mysteriously has the LLJ totally AWOL. Odd. At any rate it's something more interesting to watch than the SER.
  5. nrgjeff
    Thanks @Carvers Gap but DDC WFO beat me to it 20 years ago when I was at WeatherData in Wichita. We laughed, why are they talking about Indonesia? Fast forward... I'd used the Navy Monterrey satellite page for years, but it got clunky and unreliable about 10 years ago. Found Kochi University out of Japan. It got unreliable a couple years ago. Still I'm a visual guy. Screw the MJO phase. Give me satellite! Finally ahead of travel to Japan last year I searched for their weather service, just for simple 7-day forecasts. Figure their Mets know their weather better than me. Viola! Awesome Himawari satellite on.. Of course on their own web-page, lol! http://www.jma.go.jp/en/gms/ You can also click on Weather and Earthquakes to get a whole lot of other goodies from their side of the World.
  6. nrgjeff
    I'll start being positive when the KC defense shows up, lol! Although that surprise touchdown was clutch. To be honest most of my angst is related to the NCAA - national commies against athletes.
  7. nrgjeff
    Wall St. Journal called Montana a surprise winter storm. Really? Looked pretty damn well warned, watched, and covered to me!
  8. nrgjeff
    KC Chiefs really pissed me off first half. I was wondering why I ever wished they'd be on TV here. Finally the game ended well for KC. Love to get Detroit out of their dome in Arrowhead, but we'll take the W there!
  9. nrgjeff

    ENSO

    nrgjeff replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    I'm sad. Can we reverse the 3.4 and 1.2 and get some severe?
  10. nrgjeff
    Might have a problem with the MJO and Kelvin wave. Lots of the convection is south of the Equator which negates some impact. Typhoon is meh Cat 2. Himarwari satellite is depressing. Cooling may be temporary. Look for a return of the SER and AN temps later in Oct. OK not crazy hot, but delays on true fall wx.
  11. nrgjeff
    So glad I never signed up, lol!
  12. nrgjeff
    Yeah it's faster and cleaner. Any way to make the background dark though? Thanks!
  13. nrgjeff
    Somehow we'll whiff down here. Great for Anthony up in New Jersey though, haha. Continue warmer than normal winter forecast. Oh I hate the sterile white board. No way to change? Looks just awful 33 and rainish. American Weather remains the superior weather board.
  14. nrgjeff
    I'm afraid in Jayhawk Land the buzzword is NCAA. Wake me up in May. All is see through April is bad news, fake UNC classes, and AN temps.
  15. nrgjeff
    Probably not. Should I look at some charts, or just keep going off? Just go off. No rain. ECMWF and CFS weeklies are both... Take a wild guess y'all. AN temps BN precip.
  16. nrgjeff
    Chattanooga dewpoint is 70 this morning, utterly unacceptable. Meanwhile from the Nashville WFO..
  17. nrgjeff
    I'll buy the front around October 5 a Saturday. Should finally scour dews for a while too. Ensembles 11-15 day point to a return fetch into the Plains vs here. Yeah, that might be a separate interest, lol! However I figure most of October is warmer than normal. A look at MJO/Kelvin wave analogs 4/5 remain warm. The only cold is 1976, um no. The rest have the MJO stall or slow down before digging into colder phases. Warm late October may not be blasting AC. Just delay heating. So far I'm still a real winter skeptic. No source region. QBO needs to get going and not stall like a few years back. If so, yup I'm still in the school of trend vs snapshot. Leaving the door cracked open.
  18. nrgjeff
    It's true the GFS sees cooler pattern changes first. Might be too fast, but it sees them. I figure it's on the way eventually. Late Update: EPS still has the front. Oh but it wouldn't be me without a bearish thought. Forgot to post a few days back what many may have seen from Griteater. -QBO stalled, not descending at the moment. It's like a bad song from the Disney Descendants movie, lol!
  19. nrgjeff
    SOI is blowing up and we're getting some convection around the Dateline. Unfortunately it's just one blob, not a mass flare up. I'm looking at Japan's Himawari. If the 12Z Euro follows the 00Z, which had a good front Day 9-10, I'll start to believe. Post will be concluded after the 12Z Euro. Conclusion: 12Z Euro slows/stalls front. I think we should wait until it's within Day 7.
  20. nrgjeff
    Chattanooga got down to 58 this morning. Truly a miracle!
  21. nrgjeff
    MJO will stall hot phases. Continue -AAM. SER forever.
  22. nrgjeff
    This morning 59 in BNA and 72 in CHA. Can't buy a front. Plateau preview. No winter for Chatty. I'm way too livid with the crony corrupt crook NCAA to post any meaningful weather discussion. SER forever! 18 hours after this post 58 at KCHA
  23. nrgjeff
    Kansas is the flyover country scapegoat for UNC and Duke sins. If the NCAA lets fake classes go, and then punishes Kansas after we preemptively benched players, it's truly crony and corrupt. FBI cleared Kansas. If the NCAA does not they are truly lawless frauds. Self is right to fight like Bleeding Kansas. Just in case.. When's Tennessee basketball start?
  24. nrgjeff
    Monday Sept. 23: SPC did a great job interpreting the GFS in the Day 4-8 outlook. ECMWF in contrast lights the warm front Saturday and Monday. Who do I believe? Not the GFS! However the Euro is days 6-8; so, caution there too. I'm watching though! Understand I'm roasting under the SER and need something for which to look forward, lol.
  25. nrgjeff
    You are reading the property tax info correctly. Much lower in the West. IDK about vehicles, but it can be a little higher because fewer people still have to maintain a whole state's worth of highways. Property tax reduction will far outweigh the vehicle situation. Also, look at all the house you can buy! Finally, being near Tornado Alley. Enough said!
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