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Brian5671

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Everything posted by Brian5671

  1. Had the early Dec and Jan storms worked out, we'd be closing in on average snowfall...
  2. it's the first time in awhile we've had above normal temps for the winter and below normal snow.....we lucked out with some well timed storms the last few years (which have been even warmer)
  3. The problem with that is that those models have shown that several times in the 7-10 day range only for it to disappear in the medium range...
  4. I would not buy into any NAO right now at all. The PNA is the wildcard along with the EPO. IF we can get a favorable PNA for a couple of weeks with the MJO in the 8-1-2 phases we have a shot at a couple of systems. The good news is there is alot of cold in Canada, however if it dumps out west it will do us no good and it's cutter city. SOI crash is another wildcard.
  5. We can only hope. Looks warm rest of this week into the weekend though-that definitely trended warmer from a week ago. The SOI is crashing, so that may help the cause here. PAC is still bad though...mixed signals, but better than all the indices being bad....
  6. probably mostly sleet or even some ZR before a flip to plain rain...
  7. looks warm after the storm-mid 40's Wed and Thurs so back to bare ground for most of us....
  8. your'e right on that. Usually all the SW CT coastal towns go together. 2 hr delay? Everyone has one....Closed-same deal.
  9. They've closed for less here-it's ridiculous. I think though with snow/sleet falling from 6am-2pm, they close.
  10. It does. My kids want to go sledding, told them maybe as it's falling....guessing schools closed Tue due the timing with the early AM start
  11. 12z euro shows moderate to heavy rain later Tuesday eve, so whatever we get is washed away....
  12. GFS on the other hand shows a warm cutter. Too far out at this point. Agree on the crappy pattern...when Seattle's getting hammered, we're usually wet.
  13. Euro is cold which is interesting....it usually picks up on any warm scenarios...
  14. A 992 low over Detroit (with no secondary development off the coast) usually does not deliver much here...
  15. Everything that could go wrong has gone wrong. The SSW was a joke, no Atl blocking to speak of and a Pac Jet from hell. 2 impressive arctic outbreaks but nothing to lock in the cold airmass... Now the upcoming -PNA will just seal the deal. Bring on spring. (agree with the 01-02 and 11-12 comment-just give me wall to wall warmth instead of this garbage)
  16. well inland will be the place to be. Story of the winter and a return to an 80's style winter where the coast had a quick flip to liquid....
  17. 6z NAM is sleet and then to rain-the fact that we're already seeing no front end snow is not a good-this season- models have warmed as we get closer to the event all winter...
  18. No surprise there-LR is ugly too with a SE ridge and the core of the cold over the interior west. Same ol pattern
  19. The point and click for seattle looks like something out of Alaska....a week of snow and blowing snow...
  20. and the snows they get often turn to rain...very hard to get a snowpack out there...
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