SnoSki14

I can see why the HWW was posted. GFS looked pretty impressive too.

Some lightning and thunder. Heavy rains with gusty winds as it passed.

Solid breaks in cloud cover, temps near 65FF with nice line moving east from PA. We should definitely see some good gusts out of this (55-60mph) and maybe small hail too.

1070mb high with block. Crazy stuff.

Yeah now models are bringing back the blocking after prematurely showing it quickly going away. This should keep April on the cooler side relative to normal especially vs Jan-Feb anomalies.

We've seen 90s in April before so agree.

Probably chilly highs and higher mins.

Maybe but I'm not seeing that right now. Also a SE ridge doesn't necessarily mean we're going to be warm either.

SE ridge goes away on GEFS/EPS with large -NAO block in place. Late March and early April look cool/unsettled. Wouldn't be surprised to see it lasting a while. Plenty of easterly flow likely.

Classic early Spring raw days today and Wednesday.

If this continues into summer we could see 100s.

This spring/summer will be an inferno. We've also definitely crossed some climate threshold over the past few years with nearly every month challenging top 10 warmest records.

80s by mid March? Euro/EPS have a massive 2012 style eastern ridge. Growing season will be 3-4 weeks ahead of schedule.

Shades of 2012. That screams 60s and 70s. Even an 80F reading wouldn't surprise me later in the month.

Yeah no lol. My house is already buried in feet of virtual snow.

I guess it depends on how rainy Spring gets. Still this string of well above normal weather has me concerned about the summer. We're putting up +5 or better readings like nothing. Don't see why that wouldn't continue.

Normally this isn't a bad look 5 days out but we've gotten so burned this winter that we won't believe it till we see it. We have a better chance of this type of system working out in March then Jan/Feb with the shifting wavelengths.

I imagine at some point we see another cold winter to balance some of this out but who knows when.

Is the GFS really this crappy. It just exploded the upcoming W NY storm into the low 970s. None of the other models show this.

This is true, I don't think many could've imagined nearly zero snowfall for places like Philly. Iso did well with his forecast anomalies and I think everyone was too cold but again you don't ever forecast +5 or better anomalies for the entire winter. Early March preview looks bleak with today's weeklies. Doubt that turns around much. Kinda happy about that as it breaks the cold Nov/March & warm winter cycle. Hopefully it'll mean a colder met winter soon. Overall much better forecasting year for many (unless you're JB).

With the very early start to the growing season (3+ weeks early) in the Mid-Atlantic/South I think there could be a destructive freeze in late March or early April if the AO flips by then.

He was way off on snowfall totals around here and his March call isn't going to pan out. He was also way too cold for a majority of the country particularly the central US. He did a lot better last season imo.

Time to wave goodbye to the non-winter of 19/20. We were due for a true clunker. It can only get better next season.

Yeah 2012 looked pretty normal too at this point.

JB has been a disaster last several years and people are finally calling him out on it. I can't believe there are still some who believe this global cooling nonsense that he's been harping on.