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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. Gfs has been consistent in advertising at least some flurries areawide
  2. Reminds me a lot of the late November storm but slightly colder so the elevation needed to see accumulation could reach down to the suburbs vs the mountains.
  3. I’m at 36.5, flew my drone up around 200 feet and could see how it was snow before melting on the way down
  4. I’m in Reston and it’s raining so count yourself lucky being a couple miles west of me
  5. Euro was also decently close to something too
  6. Don't think the Euro run is gonna look great with a far flatter western ridge
  7. Canadian may also be cooking up a good run right now
  8. That may have just been one of the most convoluted ways I've seen us get snow on this run, but hey we got snow!
  9. 12z GFS with a different evolution for next weekend's timeframe out west. May actually favor us if the NS can dig father south.
  10. The Nam has been steady in advertising at least an hour of flakes at the tail end.
  11. Well, not sure how great the GEFS is considering it has me at 7 inches of snow by Friday
  12. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate_change BOO, did I scare you?
  13. When is the last big event (or even moderate) one like shown at the end of its run? I personally can't remember a single one but my non fuzzy memories of winter start post 2016.
  14. Im more partial to its end up run setup
  15. It looked a bit like a follow up wave than a cold chasing air event on the 12z gfs. Euro had that idea too but way too far north with the secondary low
  16. GFS is so close to something better but the trough goes negative tilt a little too late. Regardless we still get some snow showers and it was an improvement from 6z
  17. GFS out to hour 130ish seems to have a weaker and slightly farther north south wave but not sure how the NS will interact with it
  18. In all fairness I’m not quite sure this is even close to the same “winter storm” we were looking at previously. This is an entirely different wave compared to the old runs that showed something around the 8th
  19. Euro run reminded me of when PSU talked about storms having next to no frozen on their northwestern side except for a small 50-100 mile width.
  20. BWI: 17.2" DCA: 9.1" IAD: 16.4" RIC: 4.5" Tiebreaker (SBY): 11.1"
  21. Ends with a messy sleet/ice storm thanks to a well placed high in Canada to give cold air damming while the 850s get toasted.
  22. I think that is the only word to really describe its whole evolution. Has the southern energy finally eject but NS stuff keeps trying to phase or push it around?
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