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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
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Don't know if this is the appropriate place but some snow squalls making it over the mountains looks possible tomorrow. Anyways, if someone gets caught in one it might put down a quick coating based on the soundings
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Results from my first ever (severe) storm chase! Good learning experience even if I didn't get to see anything warned (tornado or thunderstorm). Was some low level rotation but fell apart quickly and clearly had no momentum to do anything. Though, the flowers were pretty, and VA pediment is beautiful as always.
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All I remember about tornado warnings in schools is that I would try to tell the teachers they were wrong.
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We had more than enough spin for a tornado to occur. I mean every single shower showed a couplet of some intensity. Just couldn’t ever get anything to take advantage of it. Wasn’t cape either for a bit. The initial stuff had surface cape of 500+, just never built up into the upper atmosphere.
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Dropped the warning for the line I was setup for. Don’t even know if I’ll get a shelf
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Out in front of the line that passed through Lynchburg. So far nothing standing out to reposition.
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Hey, I’m at uva and planning to chase. What would the best location to target be? I’m thinking near Amelia court house but curious to know your thoughts
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Targeting Amelia court house as my chasing destination.
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UVA canceled classes after 11am. Time to start deciding if I’m chasing.
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If anything the radar seems encouraging. Lots of the showers/storms, even while weak, are attempting to spin. We just have to see if a storm gets strong enough to take advantage.
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Storm to the SW of Cvill seems to have some decent rotation signature.
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SPC mesoanalysis already shows 500 surface based cape in the watch zones with 250 stretching to Cvill and parts northward.
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Cod nexrad already has some sun filtering through past the line of storms near Roanoke. Wonder if they’re actually working to mix out the low level clouds.
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Feels like the floor of today (assuming we get socked in with crapvection) still feels significant.
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Drove back to uva this morning. Really has that high end potential feel in those showers I drove through. Pouring rain. Anywho, during some time on route 29 could see the cloud deck breaking up with sky above. Now at uva and can just see the low level clouds racing by.
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Hm. Current radar shows the line over Charleston WV. Doing some math based on its 40mph speed it’d hit Cvill at 10am. Wonder if the HRRR 0z will be right
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Quick question for the both of you. When browsing the SPC mesoanalysis page tomorrow what should I be looking for to see if the event is on track? Just wondering what values of CAPE or other parameters I should be using as a guideline for forecasting out to my peeps if things are looking better/worse than anticipated.
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Wonder if UVA will cancel classes or send out an email. I know back when you went they rarely canceled but now for even 2 inch snowstorms they move stuff online.
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What are the best places on Grounds to watch the shelf cloud come in? Thinking if I don't chase out to Orange or areas east to hopefully see some rotation or get supercell shots I might as well try to get some otherworldly shots of Grounds.
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I think a good way to communicate to the public that these risks show is saying the SPC (severe weather prediction center) have put us in a risk level of 4/5. This risk is reserved for 2-5 times a decade usage in our area. It sounds a lot more threatening than "we're in a moderate risk from the SPC"
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I have no interest in 0 metering. More a storm structure guy.
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Thinking I might chase tomorrow. Any met want to tell me a good grounding location? I was thinking orange VA
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
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