SnowenOutThere
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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
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Hey last thread I made turned out pretty well!
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18z Euro really moistened the storm up for the southern crew
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No one does northern crew ragebait quite like the prime time GFS
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I haven't even considered doing that tomorrow. Its an hour and 15 drive and I have class at 1pm so maybe mid morning would work. That said, its finals week so I may just stay local to conserve my energy. Will you be going back there though?
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I started a thread for future analysis of the storm as you guys have a better shot than the main focus of our subforum -
Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
SnowenOutThere replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
Howdy! I started a main thread for this storm as it also impacts some posters out in Central/Western VA if you want to post there as well. -
This is also a great test case on if starting a thread ruins an event as if this manages to completely fall apart within 12 hours of the start time the curse may be real.
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Done, please pin it!
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As @WxUSAF pointed out this is now a legitimate enough event for the southern folks to start a thread specifically for it! Let's try to will this thing a little bit further north to get it to everyone.
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GFS lowk joined the party with its 18z run
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Hey, we will always have women's swimming at least.
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I did later check that and the 850mb lift is pretty crazy. Though I guess it could be onto something with the cold air press from the north? I don't quite have enough skill to understand it yet though. Either way the soundings for Cville as it snows has a pretty large and 90% RH DGZ layer with lift so I should see some nice flakes. Though lmao
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What the hell is the 12k 18z NAM on because if I get even half this total I will follow @Terpeast and eat a shoe
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Had to make a forecast for my friends so I had to take a stab at a snowfall map and came back with this.
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Yeah I think a chase should be reserved for either 4+ inches or a weekend day. Not to mention how bad the traffic is getting into Cvill from the 14 lane stroad on route 29. I hope its able to bump its way a little bit further north for you guys as well! So far our seasonal trend appears to be last minute favorable north shifts so its possible!
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This wasn't even really on my radar till you mentioned it still Friday night. Now I need to make a last second insta forecast for my friends at UVA Tech and W&M lmao
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Euro with a bit of a jump north
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I tried analyzing how those like 15 NS interactions would impact a downstream storm and all I could gleam was this:
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While the ridge is a bit diminished I think its more so the NS is just completely different around hours 105 which I don't think helps us out.
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So what I'm hearing is that I'm the Curry of HRRR extrapolations? Should put that on the wall and in my signature tbh
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3k NAM is going to make a significant jump north based on the confluence at hour 30. That said, it was a southern outlier at the 18z run but should help @Ephesians2 out
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I mean assuming I got the positive changes from 18z to 0z right at hour 15 (also couldve been an unrelated factor) that is technically the HRRR's wheelhouse? Or am I insane?
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Zoomed in map with pretty much all snow done at this point
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18z
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