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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SnowenOutThere
    Hmmm, some boundaries appear to be draped W-E across Reston. Other boundaries are from the Potomac moving west. Could see something interesting things happen.
  2. SnowenOutThere
    Severe warned storms down around Roanoke. Seems more active than forecasted so far.
  3. SnowenOutThere
    Nope, mind posting?
  4. SnowenOutThere
    Highly recommend going out and doing this at least once in your life. While I think the cherry blossoms are otherwise overhyped and overdone; if you manage to get there early in the morning to watch deep night fade into morning's glow it is a magical experience.
  5. SnowenOutThere
    Went on an adventure to see the cherry blossoms last weekend in DC. Started by waking up at 3am to get there early enough to get shots of the moon sinking over the horizon, of which, I couldn't be happier with. By 5am first light started to appear and with it the crowds. Pulses of people streamed onto the walkways. I went around the loop for sunrise. Got some shots along the way, and arguably my best ones of the day. Finally, the sun began to breach the DC skyline. At the end I was out of DC by 8am. Great experience, and huge thanks to my Dad for driving me in and finding parking.
  6. SnowenOutThere
    Start. The. Bus. Up.
  7. SnowenOutThere
    Don't know how long its been like this but we hit 1 million posts in our forum!
  8. SnowenOutThere
    Could tomorrow be a possible severe weather day? We have strong low level lapse rates, good CAPE and some turning of winds with height - though next to no increase with height. Seems like some sort of thunderstorms should be likely along anything that could trigger forcing.
  9. SnowenOutThere
    75 degrees and partly sunny with wind.
  10. SnowenOutThere
    Oh I got an idea. So do most climate scientists
  11. SnowenOutThere
    START THE BUS BACK UP BABY. MARCH SNOW ON SNOW IS INBOUND!!!
  12. SnowenOutThere
    Do you think part of the issue with why we couldn't get any storms to really build was that second area of CIN? Seems like we managed to get storms to begin development but struggle to get past the shower stage so maybe that's the reason why.
  13. SnowenOutThere
    Yeah, when you see the sounding from Monday without any of the wind profiles it becomes painfully clear that we were cooked with our thermal profile if we wanted severe. Had two different CIN areas and horrific lapse rates with next to no CAPE. Also hope this pen-paper diagram brought back some memories for our mets.
  14. SnowenOutThere
    In my Atmo/Weather lab we're analyizing the soundings from this monday and making a scew T chart.
  15. SnowenOutThere
  16. SnowenOutThere
    I think this is a fair take for nova and areas that got the final line. However, I’m in central VA and that second line had nothing to work with so for areas around where I was it really was a slight risk in practice. I do think the core of this issue might be the new system. When the SPC issues a 4/5 risk for wind I think it should call for something more than what occurred Monday. While it was a legitimate severe day for parts of the region, I wonder what happens if we get a storm that fulfills a slightly higher risk? Do we say it’s a 5/5 risk? That seems unfair when I think a true 5/5 risk should be a plains deracho with swaths of 90+ mph winds. These 4/5 and 5/5 events should feel rare and exceptional and are labeled as such to spur the public to action.
  17. SnowenOutThere
    Love the SPC, but wondering how many of those reports occurred with the ending squall line which went through after they dropped percentages. I think they were completely justified in their 4/5 risk (and twitter/public mets retroactively throwing them under the bus suck) but its also fair to say that while justified the forecast failed. A failed forecast is not necessarily a bad one though. You have to warn for the high end in case it happens, hopefully people don't think next time its a boy cry wolf situation.
  18. SnowenOutThere
    Anyone else tracking the potential snow showers this afternoon? HRRR seems insistent some make it over the mountains
  19. SnowenOutThere
    Don't know if this is the appropriate place but some snow squalls making it over the mountains looks possible tomorrow. Anyways, if someone gets caught in one it might put down a quick coating based on the soundings
  20. SnowenOutThere
    Results from my first ever (severe) storm chase! Good learning experience even if I didn't get to see anything warned (tornado or thunderstorm). Was some low level rotation but fell apart quickly and clearly had no momentum to do anything. Though, the flowers were pretty, and VA pediment is beautiful as always.
  21. SnowenOutThere
    All I remember about tornado warnings in schools is that I would try to tell the teachers they were wrong.
  22. SnowenOutThere
    We had more than enough spin for a tornado to occur. I mean every single shower showed a couplet of some intensity. Just couldn’t ever get anything to take advantage of it. Wasn’t cape either for a bit. The initial stuff had surface cape of 500+, just never built up into the upper atmosphere.
  23. SnowenOutThere
    Dropped the warning for the line I was setup for. Don’t even know if I’ll get a shelf
  24. SnowenOutThere
    Out in front of the line that passed through Lynchburg. So far nothing standing out to reposition.
  25. SnowenOutThere
    Hey, I’m at uva and planning to chase. What would the best location to target be? I’m thinking near Amelia court house but curious to know your thoughts
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