Jump to content

SnowenOutThere

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    5,678

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SnowenOutThere
    I’m a mix of pop and folk songs personally, and my sister loves Taylor so as an extension I do too. Red and enchanted are great, but 1989 will always be a defining album of my teen years. Last year did a full song listen through and realized how good Folklore and Evermore are, though I prefer the crane wives for folk. Sad to see she’s highk fallen off since midnights but is what it is. As for why people hate her she is a very successful women who endorsed a 2024 presidential candidate and that, for some completely unknown and unguessable reason, annoys some people.
  2. SnowenOutThere
    That storm in cvill is tor warned and seemingly has a debris ball on radar.
  3. SnowenOutThere
    You don't need to worry about them. They'll be okay, and if they're driving distance or on an Amtrak line (Go Hoos!) then you can always be there if they need it. Besides, I've been told most people love college! I myself thought it wasn't quite worth the hype, but even then I'm doing well, and I'm not anything special so your kids will be fine too.
  4. SnowenOutThere
    My genuine advice is to leave twitter. I got a "brick", which is a horribly overpriced product that locks your phone from accessing apps/websites until you physically retap it, and I went from 15 hours a week on twitter to maybe an hour if a primary election is going on. The dramatic quality of life improvement I've seen is honestly sad. Everyone knows that social media abuses your worst insecurities, desires, and thoughts to keep you scrolling, but you don't realize just how much it effects you mentally. Think about it. After scrolling online how often are you happier for doing so? Imagine how much more time you have afterwards. I've read four books recently with my "new" time. As for the specific comments you've put forth I would argue that social media is not reality and these stories are generated as outrage bait. You will not find a healthy way to process things from social media, that is akin to asking a +NAO, -PNA, -PDO pattern to produce a snowstorm, it just won't happen.
  5. SnowenOutThere
    I only realized after I drew it all that it was nearly a carbon copy of the February threat if it worked out. Blame my school for only teaching me the Norway model of cyclogenesis and me only learning meteorology in the past La Niña years. Maybe I’ll try again later with a more west to northeast progression and add in some dynamics to guide me.
  6. SnowenOutThere
    Hopefully this manifests something. Made sure not to mix @CAPE
  7. SnowenOutThere
    Charlottesville robbed. Gonna start every thread this season to force southern sliders.
  8. SnowenOutThere
    Its bad out here. I'm in Madison WI for the week and the sky is a sickly blue/grey. Its all in the upper air, but its effect on the sun is extremely noticeable. Does suck as I was planning to try and head up to the upper peninsula of Michigan for star/meteor gazing Thursday into Friday, but if the smoke stays around I'm cooked. Hoping that the upper winds coming from the North can save me but I don't know which altitude the smoke is coming in from.
  9. SnowenOutThere
    Hell yeah CCB all the way back to Charlottesville. Map makes me want to try to make a composite of my own dream setup.
  10. SnowenOutThere
    You all look like you're in for a good MCS today. I'm out in Madison WI for the week so I'll miss it but hoping everyone can cash in on some widespread rain.
  11. SnowenOutThere
    Heading up to nyc on a daytrip to see a broadway play for the first time! Boarded the train around 5am and the rains been with me since.
  12. SnowenOutThere
    Interesting how strong El Niño has the highest snowfall on average, but it’s the moderate El Niño which is the coldest on average. The snow plot for super El Niño events is what we all know which is we gotta get hit or we get nothing. The most concrete thing it showed was that this winter will be warm as the super El Niño is by far the highest temp anomaly.
  13. SnowenOutThere
    Rough cutoff over western fairfax county today. I’m sitting just under .3 while under a mile away is 1 inch plus. Suns now fighting to come out, hoping we still got a batch or two of rain left.
  14. SnowenOutThere
    SPC mesoanalysis shows a tongue of moisture streaming directly off the Atlantic from South Carolina. Thanks to insane dew points our cape values are at 2500+. Vis sat shows some clearing behind the current line moving through which might act as a bit of an instigator too. Almost feels like a tropical system with the rotating bands of showers forming from the south. Interestingly, the low level shear also is somewhat reminiscent of a tropical cyclone.
  15. SnowenOutThere
    The 12z sounding from IAD seems pretty juiced. Nearly saturated atmosphere all the way up. I think the most interesting thing is how convective temp is only 81 degrees.
  16. SnowenOutThere
    If you need a taste of fall head out to Dolly Sods WV! I went today (I guess yesterday now) and it always amazes me how the Allegheny Front is just a different climate. Drove up from the valley at 82 degrees to the top at 70 degrees. Went on a 12 mile hike and the landscape was beautiful, reminded me of tundra shrubbery I learned about last year in an arctic ecology course. Crossed Red Creek and entered the mud flats for 1 mile which was a bit rough. Otherwise, nearly a perfect day, and would recommend without reservations! (just skip the end of dobbins grade trail and take ravens ridge instead) Driving wasn’t too bad either, 2 hours 35 minutes and the vast majority of it was 4 lane highways (even in WV!). I’ll upload my other pictures later, but here’s one from my phone!
  17. SnowenOutThere
    I'll be joining your ranks tomorrow for a day trip to the Dolly Sods wilderness! I've hiked a bit of Red River in the winter but had to turn back due to the stream crossing. Now I plan to explore the upper marsh/meadow area.
  18. SnowenOutThere
    I think theres a core issue here with Tor warnings in general. That being, even if there is a TOR, only a very small area of the warning will be actively impacted by the TOR itself. In that regard nearly every TOR warning is an "overwarning" as most of the square mileage of the warning won't be directly affected. For that reason, I think its fine to issue TOR warnings when the radar shows support one may develop as they are meant to be a predictor of a high chance one may occur. If the public fatigued its because they don't understand how warnings work in general. Therefore, the solution isn't to start underwarning but to educate people.
  19. SnowenOutThere
    Fairfax county is an absolute embarrassment on that map.
  20. SnowenOutThere
    The Fairfax county split is pretty pronounced today. Hoping the storms near Winchester can rotate in?
  21. SnowenOutThere
    They seem to have a bit of a severe shape to them. Not as extreme as last week when we had better hodographs, but still a good warm sector flow with some organization. The main thing I like seeing is the line of storms swinging into MD starting to fill in a bit more.
  22. SnowenOutThere
    I like that implies we will get upstream storms, so at the very least we should get a nice rainy/thundery evening from whatever remnants can make it our way. Sort of similar to our last setup and getting the MCS from WV.
  23. SnowenOutThere
    I went to backwater falls last January and it was pretty nice. The “trail” is pretty much a straight walkway down to the falls and there’s some pretty nice photography to be done there. I ditched and just did a long exposure of the water/ice in the snow as the lighting was bad when I went. It’ll probably be crowded, there were several families there even in the dead of winter, so that sorta sucked. Worth a small detour, but I personally loved the red river area far more and plan to go back sometime this or next week (and chimney rocks looks sick, but that’s further from deep creek).
  24. SnowenOutThere
    Can see the clearing happening everywhere around my house on Sat, but ground truth is still cloudy with some haze. That said, think we could be in for a decent severe wx day, we got the parameters for a good squall/MCS so maybe we get lucky and have a nice shelf cloud.
  25. SnowenOutThere
    You know more than me of course, but I have to think we’re seeing the pattern shift happening. We’ve now had a string of strong lows move by to our north, which if it wasn’t mid summer and the thermal boundary wasn’t up in Canada they would be our synoptic rainfalls instead of convection along the cold front. Now this week looks to have a cutoff low over the northeast that dumps rain too. We still might have some dry periods but it seems, to me at least, the real drought period is over.
×
×
  • Create New...