SnowenOutThere
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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
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GFS has a better open SW than the ICON but has a huge NS dive south into the flow. Might help it turn into a long form event like the 18z EURO did
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I’m stuck on mobile pivitolweather but I think it’ll be more akin to the Icon solution than a full cave to Euro. Just need to see now how the NS interacts once the SW ejects
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I’ve decided to be a good roommate and retire from my laptop for the night so everyone else can bring us home for the gfs!
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The GFS has begun running. May the odds be ever in our favor
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I'm just focused on getting that SW to come east. Though I suppose there's still a lot of time even if we get everything on board at 0z tonight. Do you know when it will be sampled better?
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I think we see at least a partial cave back towards its 12z run with ejecting at least some of the SW energy. Hopefully more though.
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Now we just need the GFS to cave and I will feel so much better about saying with near certainty the East coast will get a major snowstorm somewhere.
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Two monitor setup and the blatant disregard of HW for a 10am class I just switched into.
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Storm (or round one?) total
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Icon has a still sorta out there evolution where the NS fails to really pull the storm east unlike all other guidance (minus GFS) but wonder if that leaves a round two on the table for the next NS wave to pull into
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Gets snow up to us
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Maybe, though I think it'll leave a bit too much behind to rival something like the 18z Euro or UKMET.
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Welcome back to our planet!
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Looks actually quite similar to the 18z Euro...
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Not sure you want to be like me. Currently caved from my self imposed ban on the forum till I finished my philosophy homework. Turns out the one thing harder than understanding an H5 map is trying to understand The Ontological Argument and its critiques.
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Icon is a move towards the everyone but the GFS camp with a better angle of the NS which acts to pull our SW east 0z on top with 18z on bottom
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Dude we are so SO close to an absolute smackdown phase with the 18z Euro. Though arguably the end run we got was better due to not having any thermal issues aloft and double barreled system. Ideally you probably have a bit more interaction but that's a nitpick so far out.
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Wow, I'm surprised you can see anything with how positive the DZ is. Maybe we can flip it later tonight.
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Just wait till you see the post I made just before this one! My best analysis yet I dare say.
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Biggest issue I've seen no one discuss about the storm shifting backwards is that it'll be getting further into sun angle season. C'mon guys we used to be a proper forum.
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Man, I have gotten nothing done today. Going to take a step back for the night now that all the runs are done.
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Adding onto your post with a real example of the 18z Euro and that setup across Mappy and PSU land.
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Even better sounding to the south where there's more moisture. It really is uncanny how this sounding is nearly the exact same as that GFS run of the 60 inch PA storm for this time period.
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Yep. I think it does have a better NS come in afterwards though. As a slightly bantery side note I always dreamed of becoming one of the posters that you or some other respectable mets/posters would agree with so thanks! Made my day lmao
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We've lost almost 12 hours on it according to the Euro which only goes to make the forecast even further out in time
