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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SnowenOutThere
    Snow total though hour 93 (which is when I mix)
  2. SnowenOutThere
    Its quite the front end thump though the second part of the storm is going to mix hard imo
  3. SnowenOutThere
    If I had to bet I'd say the GFS will be a mix between its 18z run and the Euro's depiction
  4. SnowenOutThere
    Gotta love it just spawning in the second NS vort.
  5. SnowenOutThere
    Listen man I'd hope its south considering this is its 18z run that ends with the sleet line through NOVA
  6. SnowenOutThere
    RGEM for whoever cares looks to probably shift everything a bit East out west so far. While I'm looking at worthless things the FV3 looks more suppressed than everything else
  7. SnowenOutThere
    I don't think so? That said if it shows a better run yes it absolutely does don't worry about it.
  8. SnowenOutThere
    Super early on but it has a similar change to the NAM's 18z to 0z with the SW being the ever bit more held back and the NS stuff in the Pac NW being at a slightly less advantageous angle for a phase.
  9. SnowenOutThere
    Oh I fully agree its better, I'm just saying its not quite gonna save us. One or two more bumps that direction though and its game on even for me.
  10. SnowenOutThere
    Yeah man, you guys are probably cooked when it comes to getting an all snow event. I guess a legendary ice storm is a consolation prize . Though I'm at UVA so I'm next to fall.
  11. SnowenOutThere
    Unfortunately damage is probably done when it comes to mixing. I mean we have a closed 700mb low over Oklahoma! Though it is better than its 18z run no matter what.
  12. SnowenOutThere
    Yep. Just wish we could get the less amped STJ wave without losing a bit of confluence which so far all runs have had happen at the same time. Either way Nam would be a sleet bomb and not a freezing rain bomb (for VA) which is good.
  13. SnowenOutThere
    Biggest difference is that it still has two closed isobars on the vort map compared to 18z being a completely open wave
  14. SnowenOutThere
    True, but I wonder if having the SW come east quicker just raises the ability for it to phase while if it stays west long enough the NS will interfere destructively. Honestly I have no idea anymore.
  15. SnowenOutThere
    Wonder if we actually want the phase further west or further east. I think further east is better as it gives it less time to pump the ridge in front? Conversely, a further west phase may leave more energy behind so who knows.
  16. SnowenOutThere
    Theres some irony there too. Once again, the really huge changes from our past runs (over a day ago) is the second NS lobe that pretty much materialized at 0z yesterday.
  17. SnowenOutThere
    So the heres a run of the euro from way back when it had the snow max in southern virginia... Here is the 0z NAM Clearly they are not the same setup. Need to see how that NS entering the Pac NW interacts with it. Additionally, the huge jumps north are from a different NS lobe that only enters our viewing angle at hour 60.
  18. SnowenOutThere
    Same, issue is if the NS hangs north our confluence hangs north too. I think in general we want a deamped SW and a further east/weaker 2nd NS lobe (which enters the picture around hour 60).
  19. SnowenOutThere
    That's about what I gathered. Though I don't know if it has the new data. I guess we'll need to wait for the real 0z runs for that.
  20. SnowenOutThere
    Nams running and their initial placement of the SW is slightly different then 18z had it. 0z on top
  21. SnowenOutThere
    Banter thread buddy
  22. SnowenOutThere
  23. SnowenOutThere
    What about (apologies for asking) the NAM, CMC, Ukmet, icon?
  24. SnowenOutThere
    Saw that post and realized our power is fucked.
  25. SnowenOutThere
    I need a Publix nearby their chocolate milk is top tier. I went to a swim meet in Florida during junior year and drank so much of it
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