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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SPC mesoanalysis already shows 500 surface based cape in the watch zones with 250 stretching to Cvill and parts northward.
  2. Cod nexrad already has some sun filtering through past the line of storms near Roanoke. Wonder if they’re actually working to mix out the low level clouds.
  3. Feels like the floor of today (assuming we get socked in with crapvection) still feels significant.
  4. Drove back to uva this morning. Really has that high end potential feel in those showers I drove through. Pouring rain. Anywho, during some time on route 29 could see the cloud deck breaking up with sky above. Now at uva and can just see the low level clouds racing by.
  5. Hm. Current radar shows the line over Charleston WV. Doing some math based on its 40mph speed it’d hit Cvill at 10am. Wonder if the HRRR 0z will be right
  6. Quick question for the both of you. When browsing the SPC mesoanalysis page tomorrow what should I be looking for to see if the event is on track? Just wondering what values of CAPE or other parameters I should be using as a guideline for forecasting out to my peeps if things are looking better/worse than anticipated.
  7. Wonder if UVA will cancel classes or send out an email. I know back when you went they rarely canceled but now for even 2 inch snowstorms they move stuff online.
  8. What are the best places on Grounds to watch the shelf cloud come in? Thinking if I don't chase out to Orange or areas east to hopefully see some rotation or get supercell shots I might as well try to get some otherworldly shots of Grounds.
  9. I think a good way to communicate to the public that these risks show is saying the SPC (severe weather prediction center) have put us in a risk level of 4/5. This risk is reserved for 2-5 times a decade usage in our area. It sounds a lot more threatening than "we're in a moderate risk from the SPC"
  10. Thinking I might chase tomorrow. Any met want to tell me a good grounding location? I was thinking orange VA
  11. HRRR and NAM seem to be coming in later with the cold front's arrival.
  12. Need it to slow down enough to get the midnight snowfall. ATP we're just running back Thursday
  13. To my relatively novice eyes the 0z NAM run looks primed. Lapse rates, decent enough cape, and ofc insane shear.
  14. You still have snow on the tops of Shenandoah this afternoon
  15. Remember. Storm chasers don’t want you to know this, but once you enter the hail core it’s what people in the know refer to as “the cool zone” where fun things happen.
  16. If you go onto COD nexrad and look at the satellite you can see the snow disappear as soon as the cloud deck exits eastward.
  17. I'd say that this thread more than lived up to its name. What a fun little storm. Arguably stuff like this is the best snows.
  18. Snowing in Cvill! Rain snow mix but its reaching the ground!
  19. Air temperatures have started to level off a bit and I think the mountains are blocking most of it from progressing into the valley. Hoping to get a brief turn to snow but we'll see what happens.
  20. Hey at least you and me are in this cold rain show together. Though I can hopefully jet out to the Afton overlook for the sunset after my lab.
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