SnowenOutThere
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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
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Managing to snow again here. One great thing about this storm has been good snowflake growth and size. If only we managed to get the qdf or avoid the warm air aloft
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That said I think that the current band orientation may save myself and nyc from a proper all out failure of less than 3in to hitting the extreme low end range of conservative forecasters.
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Looks like we finally got some bands of precip to fill in. Though it’s still weirdly convective like with narrow bands. Wonder if the lake effect may help lower Manhattan and Long Island not bust as horribly as upper manhattan.
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Storm looks to be over and the grand total is possibly an optimistic 1-2 inches thanks to a flip back to snow for a bit… I would not envy the email addresses of any meteorologist in NYC right now
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The areas riding the mixing line are gonna make out like bandits considering the forcing and huge flakes
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It’s a bit of a yikes to cut amounts in half and those still be optimistic. It’s not the Mets fault because anywhere north of where the mix line set up would cash in but man there will be some angry people tomorrow
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We will not be the only city to have a Boxing Day disaster after today
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So far it is still all sleet as a lull sets up over NYC proper. It’s reaching into unmitigated disaster territory if it doesn’t flip back soon.
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Still all sleet in upper east Manhattan
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Switched back to snow sleet and the Long Island radar shows the snow line collapsing south…
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@Ji My god it’s all sleet. 10 minutes of parachutes then now full on ice blasting. Everyone please pour one out for the NWS 8.4 inch prediction as this may be a historic bust.
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Upper east side Manhattan
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My god it’s just dumping sleet pour one out for every single NYC forecast
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Just wait for the main bands to push in and it’ll be fine
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Hasn’t been snowing for almost 30 minutes in east Manhattan lmao
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Being completely honest that sub forum sucks so bad compared to ours it’s insane. We have 3x times the quality posters just wish we would get some snow more often
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Dude this was never DCs storm check my post on page one. Even nyc is probably gonna get inside subsidence and completely miss our 8.4 inch prediction from the NWS
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Insane signature for areas northwest of NYC, myself looks to get in that popcorn convective style precip instead of that nice band
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Looks like we can see the areas of lift setting up via the spc mesoanalysis page At the 850-700mb layer we can see where the main band will probably set up over Long Island into NY state. Meanwhile higher up in the atmosphere from 700-500mb we see another area setting up slightly to the south which may suggest that NYC proper might not be completely in subsidence.
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Coating in upper east side but now in a lull before the main show gets going
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I’m excited for this storm, it seems like a couple hours of pure heavy snow which can be rare to get
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Sunrise was pretty today
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TBH I think NYC and points northeastward will hit a decent bare minimum of like 3-5 inches unless absolutely everything goes wrong. We are really just relying on a strong snow band to hit the region which should be all snow before possible mixing concerns as the 850-700mb temp advection continues.
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Hey I’m in NYC for this one
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Additionally, from a meteorological perspective this storm looks like it should be fun for the areas that remain snow for the thump. We have an extremely strong area of FGEN lift which should make for a good amount of lift. Only downside is the DGZ is not super large so may be a ton of flakes but not great rates.
