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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
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2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
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2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
https://tenor.com/view/luthen-andor-cassian-andor-star-wars-luthen-rael-gif-26948081 -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Its crazy watching what will be a textbook nor easter unfold on the models. Just perfect way to showcase the dance between upper and lower levels. -
Was it accompanied with any winds? My first guess from seeing the dew point crash would be some Chinook wind from downsloping. Are you near a mountain too? I was hiking Old rag today and the wind at the top was strong enough to nearly lift me and as I descended down around 6pm I could feel pulses of warm air come down from up top.
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2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Going to need to be making some tough calls on if I travel back up to NOVA. I have a midterm Monday so I think my bar is 6 inches of snow is worth missing it for - or driving back in the middle of the night. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Just catching up but great writeup. Was great to see the synthesis of a bunch of what I've learned throughout fall be mentioned in there. Might share with my Atmosphere and Weather professor if you don't mind. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Wait a second. We're looking at HRRR runs. This storm is now well within two days. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah that makes sense. Then again, I'm looking at it from CHO's perspective where I need the precip shield more diffuse than you guys would in order to score with the coastal. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
3K plays nice but at midday the thermals are so bad everyone flips to rain minus the deathband of the Eastern shore and the mountains -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yk, I almost wonder if the NAM run is better than a full phase. I think last night even the best GFS runs only were truly amazing for the 50 mile area where the moisture is thrown back as the low occludes. If we instead get a bit of a messier interaction that might allow for the moisture to be thrown further back as the low isn't cut off from the baroclinic boundary and vertically stacked. Might not have the crazy upside but would be more area wide. Just spitballing but wonder what your thoughts are on that. -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Lmao its the only model that doesn't have Cvill get the down slopping snowhole from hell would love it to be right -
2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Dunno if the NAM will manage to capture the coastal fully but regardless had some great changes at H5 -
Pretty fun! Didn’t get any cool orthographic clouds but oh well
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2/22-23 "There's no way..." Storm Part 2
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’ve been out hiking and adventuring all today so what did I miss? Generally seems like guidance is shifting to a 70% GFS 30% Euro solution from last night -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Diabolical blue spot on that map -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Anyways, personally I think uva is in a bad spot for this storm but cheering on everyone else! Might head up to nova or Shenandoah to enjoy the snow instead -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Massive shift actually -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
There were some changes I liked on the H5 some too -
Going to hike old rag (maybe) or drive along skyline drive till I find someplace cool this afternoon. Got some good orthographic clouds out in the mountains around UVA right now so I hope I see them later too.
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I actually don’t hate the GFS so far -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Eh it’s get Shenandoah nice and good -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Anyways, I’m hopefully checking out for tonight. Everyone else I hope you can bring us home. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Ehhhh NAM is blurring those lines. Frankly, we need some form of coastal in order to maximize our IVT. Even if the best dynamics and lift is provided by the IVT it needs to coastal moisture fetch to actually precipitate. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
It actually was encouraging to me as it’s H5 setup is different than the GFS and shows another way to score -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
SnowenOutThere replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
NAM is better for the coastal fans but worse for the people who want to bet on the H5 pass to get snow
