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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. Nearly finished snowfall map as light snow exits
  2. Its going to be a Euro style FOLKS event. The beat just dropped on the music I was listening to and that sums up what this GFS run is.
  3. A bit stronger and west SW is fine as long as we have the increased NS energy to compensate. Which oddly has been happening for every run.
  4. Icon has the crazy lift in the DGZ during the coastal takeover.
  5. Do you think we can get any thundersnow with this setup? No idea how dynamics work behind it or what to look for in general.
  6. Icon clearly has a better setup for NS and SW phase interaction 0z 18z
  7. Icon through hour 60 has a more tilted N-S for the NS that opens up the SW and leads to it progressing east than its 18z run. 0z on top 18z below
  8. God they are setting up some poor weather kid in NC to get bullied when they tell their friends to expect 2ft of snow.
  9. I guess, though that supposes that this phase goes off cleanly which I doubt at this time period.
  10. No, no lets not reshuffle like that. Genuine question is where do you see the north shift coming from? Synoptically I have a hard time seeing how much further it can go north with a solution like the 18z Euro as it has a perfect phase.
  11. How it works when you’re dealing with a phase of a monster SW and NS
  12. Will point out no matter what youre not getting slop. You'll be getting Ice.
  13. I'm honestly not sure how much further this can come north from a phase alone (famous last words). The Euro is the highest latitude it can reach bar confluence retreat (which is a possibility). Realistically I think we see a slightly messier phase so we don't need to worry that much even if the confluence is a bit overdone.
  14. Someone with actual meteorology training should tell us if thundersnow is a possibility with this thing. I assume less so than you'd expect as its overrunning.
  15. Thanks! I partly make stuff like that and my past analyses cause of your encouragement so thank you. That said, don't ever feel shy about telling me I'm wrong.
  16. As much as we all want Blizzard warnings the wind speeds just aren't there. Will sadly need to take a winter storm warning for 16-20 inches instead.
  17. Just saw what you did. Thanks! In the future I'll try to post it during the off run (I guess either 5-6 or 7-10ish) but I was rushing to try to get it out before the 18z Euro messed with it (and I wanted to get food). See I'd be a lot more partial to that if I was a met otherwise I'm just another poster here. Though I suppose an argument could be made for starting a separate storm banter thread and storm mode thread in the future if it holds together.
  18. I dunno just sucks to put in over an hour on a post to watch it get buried to the previous page when its a full breakdown of our storm.
  19. Crazy how it manages to get that snowfall max in the South Central VA while having us mix with freezing rain. Would be a nightmare scenario for well... everyone who has a life they need to do things in.
  20. Ngl pisses me off to delete enough posts to move my whole synopsis to the bottom of the previous page! I understand you guys gotta do it but cmon.
  21. It does exactly what I wanted it to do in my analysis: "In order to reach our theoretical limit we want to see 1. All of the SW energy comes east 2. A sharper and further west NS trough 3. A more south NS trough to capture the surface low and prevent mixing."
  22. God damn it I'm going to have to rewrite part of my analysis cause this is just a full on max run. Expect an edit shortly
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