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SnowenOutThere

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  1. https://tenor.com/view/luthen-andor-cassian-andor-star-wars-luthen-rael-gif-26948081
  2. Its crazy watching what will be a textbook nor easter unfold on the models. Just perfect way to showcase the dance between upper and lower levels.
  3. Was it accompanied with any winds? My first guess from seeing the dew point crash would be some Chinook wind from downsloping. Are you near a mountain too? I was hiking Old rag today and the wind at the top was strong enough to nearly lift me and as I descended down around 6pm I could feel pulses of warm air come down from up top.
  4. Going to need to be making some tough calls on if I travel back up to NOVA. I have a midterm Monday so I think my bar is 6 inches of snow is worth missing it for - or driving back in the middle of the night.
  5. Just catching up but great writeup. Was great to see the synthesis of a bunch of what I've learned throughout fall be mentioned in there. Might share with my Atmosphere and Weather professor if you don't mind.
  6. Wait a second. We're looking at HRRR runs. This storm is now well within two days.
  7. Yeah that makes sense. Then again, I'm looking at it from CHO's perspective where I need the precip shield more diffuse than you guys would in order to score with the coastal.
  8. 3K plays nice but at midday the thermals are so bad everyone flips to rain minus the deathband of the Eastern shore and the mountains
  9. Yk, I almost wonder if the NAM run is better than a full phase. I think last night even the best GFS runs only were truly amazing for the 50 mile area where the moisture is thrown back as the low occludes. If we instead get a bit of a messier interaction that might allow for the moisture to be thrown further back as the low isn't cut off from the baroclinic boundary and vertically stacked. Might not have the crazy upside but would be more area wide. Just spitballing but wonder what your thoughts are on that.
  10. Lmao its the only model that doesn't have Cvill get the down slopping snowhole from hell would love it to be right
  11. Dunno if the NAM will manage to capture the coastal fully but regardless had some great changes at H5
  12. Pretty fun! Didn’t get any cool orthographic clouds but oh well
  13. I’ve been out hiking and adventuring all today so what did I miss? Generally seems like guidance is shifting to a 70% GFS 30% Euro solution from last night
  14. Anyways, personally I think uva is in a bad spot for this storm but cheering on everyone else! Might head up to nova or Shenandoah to enjoy the snow instead
  15. Going to hike old rag (maybe) or drive along skyline drive till I find someplace cool this afternoon. Got some good orthographic clouds out in the mountains around UVA right now so I hope I see them later too.
  16. Anyways, I’m hopefully checking out for tonight. Everyone else I hope you can bring us home.
  17. Ehhhh NAM is blurring those lines. Frankly, we need some form of coastal in order to maximize our IVT. Even if the best dynamics and lift is provided by the IVT it needs to coastal moisture fetch to actually precipitate.
  18. It actually was encouraging to me as it’s H5 setup is different than the GFS and shows another way to score
  19. NAM is better for the coastal fans but worse for the people who want to bet on the H5 pass to get snow
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