Jump to content

SnowenOutThere

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,037

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. SnowenOutThere
    Has a little bit of backend snow at hour 108, and honestly (though a met may want to chime in) seems somewhat close atmospherically to having a more prolonged period of coastal enhancement.
  2. SnowenOutThere
    Pivotal has a weird brief period of mixing hit DC around hour 93 before heavier precip switches it back to snow but with this sounding it may just be snow.
  3. SnowenOutThere
    Seems like it should be at the very least a decent run for us, definitely not a shift to the Euro though.
  4. SnowenOutThere
    Yeah it was mainly just an exercise in having too much time on my hands, besides we all know the only model to really take seriously is the CFS
  5. SnowenOutThere
    While we're between run I looked at the NAM and FWIW at the end of its run looks to have more confluence further southwest than the 6z GFS while also having a slightly stronger southwest. I assume this would turn out well for us but I'm also by far not the best person here to analyze it.
  6. SnowenOutThere
    I volunteer to start the second thread to bring the storm back if this happens
  7. SnowenOutThere
    https://x.com/burgwx/status/1874606351701475799?t=Si4ZRrKNNJ68cDEWkY2Row&s=19 Post over at twitter seemed informative in the two ways this might go a little too far north for our liking @OSUmetstud mentioned he believed that the second way outlined in the post seems more likely than the first FWIW and in the second outcome it would most likely just help the coastal get going so we wouldn't necessarily lose out on snow from it.
  8. SnowenOutThere
    Oh wow, I was expecting maybe a tenth of an inch or something. Even if just half (or frankly a quarter) of that was legit freezing rain that could accrete it definitely could help in giving me an extra long winter break.
  9. SnowenOutThere
    Would be nice if @NorthArlington101 (or any other person who paid for model runs) could post the freezing rain/sleet accumulation maps
  10. SnowenOutThere
    Way out to the 15th but the GFS is actually pretty close to a hit, so even if both Monday and next weekend fails we still have another shot.
  11. SnowenOutThere
    Hey, did you know Prince died?
  12. SnowenOutThere
    Its so close to a phase that could've brought it up the coast too but the NS kicks it instead.
  13. SnowenOutThere
    If it was just a little bit further north it actually would be a pretty good run, has a better snow max but is just a bit too far south.
  14. SnowenOutThere
    I support this being a thread but making one as the GFS is running wasn't the best timing.
  15. SnowenOutThere
    Has it really? Looks like it may have been partying a little hard over the past couple days.
  16. SnowenOutThere
    Its also significantly faster than 6z with the storm in general
  17. SnowenOutThere
    Precip shield seems to be weakening on approach...
  18. SnowenOutThere
    Southwest and low looks a little more powerful and the confluence is slightly further north (Connecticut vs New York City on 6z) at hour 105
  19. SnowenOutThere
    You could even say the biggest 12z runs of the year
  20. SnowenOutThere
    Well at the very least the front end thump part…
  21. SnowenOutThere
    WAA doesn’t get shredded to hell and manages to hold together to us
  22. SnowenOutThere
    At the very least going to be a solid hit on the level (or above) the 12z cmc
  23. SnowenOutThere
    Between the gfs and the icon or the gfs and its previous run?
  24. SnowenOutThere
    The icon seemed to tick a bit better for our region plus the gfs still looks decent.
  25. SnowenOutThere
    Hey I care about this threat but I just don't have weatherbell.
×
×
  • Create New...