SnowenOutThere
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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
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BWI: 17.2" DCA: 9.1" IAD: 16.4" RIC: 4.5" Tiebreaker (SBY): 11.1"
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Ends with a messy sleet/ice storm thanks to a well placed high in Canada to give cold air damming while the 850s get toasted.
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I think that is the only word to really describe its whole evolution. Has the southern energy finally eject but NS stuff keeps trying to phase or push it around?
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Latest GFS with yet another completely different evolution for the potential 8th storm. NS is completely absent while the southern energy looks mildly better than its 0z run
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GFS looks like it’ll come in looking more like it’s past 6z and 0z run than 12/18z. Better NS shortwave and less stuck southern disturbance
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Its funny in a sort of Sisyphusian "It will never snow again" ironic way.
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GFS just dished up the funniest possible outcome for the 12th window
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Good test subject on if we can make a sacrificial thread and then revive it with a second one this year
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Digital Snow Thread Winter 2024-2025
SnowenOutThere replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
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GFS shows a nice hit right in the second window people have been mentioning.
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Does seem to be digging out west maybe a bit more
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It honestly was shocking but really hammered home what posters like PSU have said about how important surface level temps are in marginal storms. The parking lot was 33 degrees which just wasn’t cold enough compared to even 500ft higher where it had to be comfortably below freezing. Sad to think about what this may mean for our snowfall in future marginal cases but can see why PSU (and others, he just articulates it well) gets so irritated by the storms that could’ve been if it wasn’t 1-2 degrees too warm now.
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I hiked between 1 and 4pm and it was pouring snow the whole time, only difference is that at the lower elevations it didn't stick. First picture is around 800ish feet, second is 1100 feet and the third is 1600ft, very clear example of how important temps are in marginal situations.
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Went on a hike to bobs hill (1755ft) from a base of 820ft, great hike would highly recommended felt like a real snow storm with wind and everything once I got past cat rock. The elevation difference was crazy, went from elevated surfaces with some snow then around 1000ft it switched to several inches and accumulating, at the top there had to be around 4-6inches.
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Just got to the base of catoctin park and am planning to hike up to around 1700ft, the microclimate difference is already crazy. Went from no snow on the group near Thurmont to a coating on everything
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Flakes near Reston, getting read to head out to the Catoctins
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Do you have any idea where the best place to go in the Catoctins would be today? I was looking around the actual peak or bobs hill at 1741ft
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Think it might be worth it to head up to the Catoctins for a hike midday today to see some (hopefully accumulating) snow.
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Did get some mangled snowflakes to come down in that squall near Reston
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Looks like the 3k NAM is going to hold serve on its 18z run
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12z has a similar progression, is something to watch and evens pops a coastal (too late for us but gets NYC good)
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Also has a nice snow to ice event before that with a west tracking low running into confluence
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Digital Snow Thread Winter 2024-2025
SnowenOutThere replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Maybe its time to try the old start a sacrificial thread then start the real thread to bring it back trick. -
Digital Snow Thread Winter 2024-2025
SnowenOutThere replied to SnowenOutThere's topic in Mid Atlantic
Cape storm number 1 worked out so sounds like this one is basically guarantied then -
Do you have a map?
