A 70 mph increase in 12 hours shows how conductive the gulf is for strong storms right now, can only hope the conditions responsible for such rapid intensification changes significantly enough to offset the extremely favorable ssts
Hopefully we'll be tracking more real snow than digital snow but either way this CFS run officially marks the first instance of predicted snow in our subforum!
Oh the natural beauty there is unmatched, I went and hiked Raven Rocks this past weekend and it was wonderful (besides the yellowjacket sting), but the quality of life on the other hand is a little rough.
I think that the storms this season may be sorted into two categories. Beryl and now Helene seem to be on the rapidly intensifying categories which haven't (or likely won't) be plagued with dry air and shear and instead fully take advantage of the prime environment, with the other category consisting of storms unable to fully take advantage of the environment due to dry air and shear.
Huge precipitation jump upwards area wide on the Canadian model, most areas around DC are over an inch on 12z vs barely anything on 0z. If this were winter it would make a lot of people very happy.
I mean you had a pretty impressive lead time with the original cape storm but this just seems cocky! Actually though, that's a very intriguing possibility and you will get full naming rights when (not if) this happens.
March to remember??? Personally already tossing the first 3 "winter" months and placing full trust in CFS (which obviously has never led me astray before)
The thread has been in fully hype mode the last couple pages but honestly it looks like it has a lot of work to do still. Very broad circulation that’s not even completely filled in with storms yet.
You live in Ashburn right? The difference in our rain totals over such a small distance has been cringe worthy. Sitting at 4 inches of rain this month and a little over an inch of rain from this storm with one last band lined up.