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SnowenOutThere

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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere

  1. CMC with a cold ice storm for the area, which is another trend towards a colder solution with a better costal low placement
  2. GFS trying to set up a shortwave train after the cutter this week, hopefully that can set up a Christmas miracle*. * That miracle being Ji not complaining
  3. If we are picking useless long range OP runs I nominate the CMC
  4. Thanks for the response, I've been trying to learn more about the upper air part of meteorology and trying to figure out if the pattern will actually flip. It's nice to hear that you think the pattern will flip around the 10th. Is there any reason that models almost always switch patterns too quickly? If so why has it not been addressed?
  5. What are you thinking of the upcoming pattern switch? The later model trends only seem to be delaying the switch, which was expected to my knowledge, so are we roughly in the same spot or do you think anything has seriously changed for the forecast 12/20 onwards?
  6. December 7th was right on when the pattern would switch, does it still look ok enough after that?
  7. Because it is almost the only thing you post about, they aren't helpful posts either, they just complain about our enso state. They provide no value other than to depress the thread.
  8. Yeah probably, just find it funny when the GFS has some storm at the end of its range that would be really neat to see play out.
  9. Why does the GFS only get good at 384 hours...
  10. It shows the potential for a spun up nor easter unfortunately it seems to be a bit too far east.
  11. 18z GFS gets so close to the Dec 12th threat but the NS energy doesn't develop in time and the Outer banks get hammered. Hopefully it continues to show up in some form in the future
  12. That's a lot of blue over us with a western ridge too and of course the crazy -NAO
  13. Considering I don't remember a snowy December I would be fine with being a bit busy weather wise this month.
  14. Did you pay them off because that does look very close to what you said could happen.
  15. I mean the 12z CFS from yesterday gives me 30 inches of snow throughout December so I'll take it, in fact, it even has your December 13th snowstorm.
  16. 0z Euro shows a southern slider solution for the 10th at the end of its run, it’s fun seeing cold and snow for the long range forecast instead of a torch.
  17. Did you really just have to diss your whole generation and those younger than you? What did that add to the post, just say that you should have moved on.
  18. Could you imagine the complaining about getting fringed if the 6z was right
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