I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a storm where we just have 6 runs in a row where things go badly for us. Since I’ve only been tracking stuff since 2021 I think this definitely goes down as the worst storm I’ve tracked
Is there any reason in particular that the models all have had it bleed the wrong way for 6 runs plus because it’s been tough to never see that reverse
This snippet from Capital Weather Gang is honestly sorta funny
American: 3 to 5 inches (forecast 24 hours ago: 10 to 12 inches).
European: 2 to 4 inches (24 hours ago: 9 to 11 inches).
German: Coating to 2 inches (24 hours ago: 12 to 16 inches).
UKMet: Coating to 2 inches (24 hours ago: 10 to 12 inches).
Canadian: Coating to 1 inch (24 hours ago: 4 to 6 inches).
When do you think the models may start to reflect that (if they do at all)? Additionally, does the tilt of the upper level trough not matter in this case?