SnowenOutThere
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Everything posted by SnowenOutThere
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Your map sucks, I like mine a lot better
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Sorry meant to specify 3k compared to its 12z run.
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Looking at the vorticity and can't really understand why the output is worse, 18z appears (to me) more negatively tilted vs 12z. It also has a further south low and a larger area of snow on the backside of the front. Looks like there is almost a bit of a precip hole but not sure why that is (.5 qdf after changeover vs .7). I know its just one run but I want to understand the process better.
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Whenever we get the cfs then we’ll be cooking with gas
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And it hasn’t even stopped snowing at hour 60 lmao
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As forum rules dictate: LOCK IT IN!
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NAM somehow managed to up the ante
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It doesn't even show snow until it hits Canada, I understand its a torched pattern but seeing rain into southern Canada on the backside of a nor easter just feels wrong. Like I said its just an example of something pointed out during last years winter. Enough individual events line up to cause trends, as winter goes on we (should) hopefully see less of this but if we don't then prob not a great sign. Doubt thats what will happen but just concerns me about the future in general because eventually storms like this will become the far more likely if not the norm.
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Isn’t that slightly concerning on a broader scale for our winter events?
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@psuhoffman I remember last year you talked a lot about how one of your main worries was how there was next to no frozen precip on the north sides of the low. Should we expect that to change in nino years? Using the recent gfs as an example of what you talked about last year. I know it’s December but still a little concerning to see no snow anywhere with a nor easter.
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Gfs looks somewhat improved, gets snow closer to the metro areas than 6z
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Only 15 days away! Still always nice to see these changes actually happen instead of getting can kicked, and would be nice to get something that week so hoping it continues to show up.
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Apparently I woke up at 2:30 that morning and recorded a video documenting what was happening. Primary P-type was sleet but up until then was plain rain, temp was 36 at the time. Next video I have is at 4:30am and shows heavy snow and a coating to an inch already accumulated so most likely started as rain for a couple hours before switching over and then dumping till like 12pm. Total was around 6.5-7 inches then we had a storm later that week that gave another 4 with a middle of the night death band.
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The digital snowfall thread is NOT a place for this. Please instead take this to the panic room, good vibes in this thread only.
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BWI: 35.8" DCA: 28.2" IAD: 37.1" RIC: 20.7" Tiebreaker SBY: 32.7"
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Is unfortunate its at the temp max of the day, would probably be a lot easier to get snow into the urban areas if it was timed 12 hours sooner or later. Still exciting to see!
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Christmas snow is a LOCK* *Your definition of a lock may be different than mine
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it’s never too early to unfounded radar hallucinations
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Who decided 384 was the cutoff for model runs, I want to have a friendly “chat” with them tonight about the 18z gfs.
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A very reputable source told me it was the old underwater volcanoes at it again.
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I might not be that learned at weather but I'm pretty sure this is not zonal flow in the slightest
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Reasonable ideas like anthropogenic climate change, which I know you must totally agree with due to the vast scientific consensus on it if you claim that "unreasonable crap needs to die". Also second part is bolded because ???
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Even has another potential storm afterwards. If only it wasn't so far away ...
