MN Transplant
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Everything posted by MN Transplant
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This a strange situation where it is 60 degrees within 12 hours of a snow event, and we want to make sure that the cold air doesn’t come in too aggressively and forces the baroclinic zone too far south.
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The low track is pretty crucial for our northern neighbors. The GFS and Euro take the surface low between Hattaras and Va Beach, and they have the further NW extent. The NAM and HRRR are over Hattaras and have a brutal cutoff.
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We just got 18z 3km NAMd.
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NAMs are a bit north of 12z. At least reducing the model spread for DC.
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62.2. Someone posted the Cobb output from the GFS in the other thread. 9” in two hours at DCA. Yeah. https://meteor.geol.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfs&site=kdca
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I know rates always win, but after being out in the yard for the past two hours, I believe that I would define the ground temps as “molten hot lava”.
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The upper SC to Hattaras track is not usually a winner for us. But who knows.
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The 00z HRRR has the DP at DCA dropping from 61 to 31 in 10 hours.
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Save the money for a trip to a place that actually gets snow.
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If you've got the long-range HRRR and the GFS on your side, how can you go wrong?
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I knew it was bad, but that is really bad.
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I love that place.
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Evidently the Target and the new Element hotel in Superior have burned, to give another landmark on where the fire was. Brutal day in CO.
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March 2012 was absolutely insane.
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https://weather.us/radar-us/maryland/reflectivity/KLWX_20110126-234025z.html It is awful what happened to that site.
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Unreal difference in precipitation in 2021 between eastern Loudoun Co. and Fairfax Co. IAD is under 35", and there is a CoCoRaHS site in Ashburn that is 29.54". Meanwhile I'm at 48.51" in Falls Church and there is a spot of 53.42" in Annandale.
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Snow game in Seattle
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He is the reserve QB for the NFL
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DCA has as many +10 days (6) this month as negative departures. Seems like we are on track for a top 10 warmest Dec. 2nd is in play.
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Scored 70.0. IAD will be three or fewer off the record.
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68 degrees. Unreal
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UHI always helps, but I’m not sure that the map is really highlighting that, given a lot of more rural areas that match the dense areas. Some of it is patterns, some is probably just the starting and ending dates.
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@mattie g is completely right about the time of the year. As far as vegetation and snow weenies go, Nov/Dec is the best time for it to be dry. Interestingly, both IAD and BWI have now slipped below normal on precip for the year, IAD significantly so (close to -8”). DCA is still above due to the summer convection favoring areas near the beltway and east. On a multi-year basis we are still just fine, but something to keep an eye on.
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As I said, I hope you all skipped that abomination of “football” last night.
