NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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What’s wild is looking back at the cross polar flow and modeled cold from last weeks modeling, and thinking cold air would not be the issue. Fast forward to now and reality is, cold air is always an issue. We went from a week straight of highs progged in low to mid 30s and lows in teens to just 40’s and lows in mid 20s, not that cold. Just insane miss by models especially given the consensus we had of possibly record level cold
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Love how we go from pipe busting cold on the models to 40’s followed by rainstorms during the advertised period
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Cold-ish rain incoming
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I take it the EURO didn’t work out
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Boundary layer issues in piedmont
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I’m out still. GFS is terrible. Ensembles do not agree
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I’m throwing in the towel on this period. I see nothing changing for the positive. Maybe something sneaks in as the pattern breaks down in a couple weeks
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The northern trend they were praying for yesterday has been answered!
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Yea the CAD signal with the HP has certainly diminished. Looking more and more like an in situ event. But to your point, the airmass ahead of the system is plenty cold to lock in a wedge in the most favored areas
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I just checked but RDUs snow drought record would be broken if we do not receive measurable snow before April 8. Given the bar for measurable snow is so low and it’s only Jan 2 (have ALL of peak climo to go), I’d say it would still be unlikely that the record will be broken. But with each passing week those odds increase of breaking it. I’d lean towards it becoming likely (>50%) to break the record if we reach February 1 without snow.
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Disaster season for New England as a whole
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Yea if the next two weeks don’t work out it’s likely we’ll have to wait for February to reload. Fab February to the rescue
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It’s not the ops I’m worried about. It’s the trends on ensembles. Not one positive trend in last 48 hours even when there were some big dogs tossed around on the ops
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Is it even possible to get snow here anymore?
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Models have lost the cold air. Ingredient 1 has disappeared
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Significantly warmer is an understatement. Op did not reflect that
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I’ve been barking up the CAD tree for days on this one. Not our snowstorm but this is likely a warning level event for CAD zones. Wouldn’t surprise me to see advisory level ice to triangle
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Can kick begins
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18z dumpster fire run lol
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What’s wild is this pattern SUCKS for New England. So after all the hype from some of the Mets up there, it looks just about like a curtain call until after the pattern breaks down. Definitely a southern storm or nothing deal. Wild
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Wonky or not we just need it to show the storm soon. Depressing watching these fantasy storms with no EURO support
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Dr No predictably says “no”
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EURO will make the MA forum happy
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It didn’t have the storm before this run so that’s a win
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I will do whatever ritualistic sacrifice the snow gods demand for this forum to see the 12z GFS into fruition
