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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    It’s gotten so bad that I’m hoping for a couple hours of freezing drizzle in the morning. And even that is a long shot now. Ops dumping cold into Midwest should scare everyone
  2. NorthHillsWx
    18z GFS was a disaster but ensembles have the pattern we want. I’m not getting excited until we’re in the 7 day range
  3. NorthHillsWx
    Not as cold as forecast for my location. Bottomed out at 24.7
  4. NorthHillsWx
    12z GFS is a dream run for mountain folks around the 30th
  5. NorthHillsWx
    We picked up 0.19” of rain last night after reaching a high of 71
  6. NorthHillsWx
    We don’t need wall to wall cold but getting 3 cold days then needing 3 weeks to refresh is the pattern we’ve been in for 3+ years.
  7. NorthHillsWx
    EPS and GEFS are downright disgusting heading into January. Really no sign of a pattern change on modeling except for a zonal flow and PAC puke to intensify through the end of the year. From today through Jan 1 I bet we see as many 65+ degree days as days with lows below freezing
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Tarheel is back… seasons over. Might as well hang em up till next thanksgiving
  9. NorthHillsWx
    When RDU breaks the snowless record the main forum is going to explode
  10. NorthHillsWx
    It’s absolutely pathetic. 18z GFS barely gets it below freezing for a night into SC. Just a day ago there were low 20’s pre Christmas into the Florida panhandle on some models
  11. NorthHillsWx
    That’s been lost in year a long, long time ago
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Probably going to be close. I’d think slightly below is likely still
  13. NorthHillsWx
    What did they predict last year?
  14. NorthHillsWx
    We now have Columbias climate.
  15. NorthHillsWx
    Jan 16, 2022 was our last 0.25” of ice. So not that long ago but it’s been exceedingly rare. We used to specialize in ice, maybe not full blown ice storms, but most systems following a cold snap would at least start as an hour or two of ice
  16. NorthHillsWx
    I remember a bad winter was one where we had 2-3 winter weather advisories for freezing rain with maybe a light snow or snow to rain scenario. I mean not even counting the snow drought, we can’t even get a glaze of ice. That used to happen multiple times a year with CAD
  17. NorthHillsWx
    When the air in our source region is running +20 we are effectively screwed
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Agreed, the first half of December was better than expected. Guess that got my hopes up when models appeared to be building on something
  19. NorthHillsWx
    I’m 100% confident the torch will verify after our 2-3 day cold snap. We’re in a climate now where warmth wins out 8-9 times out of 10 and models struggle to figure out the type of warmth that exists now. This is a frustration post but I am at a loss. People are like it’s only midway through December but it’ll be January by the time this torch passes. Just a couple days ago we’d trended away from the post Christmas torch to repeated cold shots now it’s legitimately just a few post front cold days then the oven
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Chasing week 5+ weeklies already… Hello darkness my old friend…
  21. NorthHillsWx
    If you like cold weather, the last 24 hours was not the trend you want
  22. NorthHillsWx
    We deserve to break the snow drought this year, but only after every snowless streak record is broken. Give me the record followed immediately by double digits
  23. NorthHillsWx
    I’m not worried about long range but that pre Christmas chance has evaporated with most guidance consolidating LP in the MA. Looking more and more like a cold front then warmup.
  24. NorthHillsWx
    This snow drought is remarkable. Not only has it not snowed, but it hasn’t been close to snowing
  25. NorthHillsWx
    And… it’s gone. Onto January
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