If you like snow in central NC you’re down to the HRRR and RGEM for anything more than flurries but they’re both decent runs so I guess that’s what NWS is hanging their hat on
A bit surprised with the area-wide WWA this seems more fitting for a SWS especially being it’s going to be coming at night on a weekend with temps mostly above freezing. I do not see a large area getting 1-2” as shown unless I’m missing something. This looks like scattered areas of accumulation and flizzards for everyone else
Too bad all the fun in the Carolina’s is coming at night. Definitely serious now-casting. Some people going to wake up with bare dirt and scream “bust” while others 20 miles away have 4” will be screaming “overperformer.” I think it’s boom or bust, light rates are not going to cut it with borderline BL temps like they did last week and if you get fringed by one of those bands you’re not going to get much or anything. Think summertime thunderstorms if you want to know how this will play out
Miami’s days of being a powerhouse are long gone. It’s too small a school with an off campus stadium and a fan base that doesn’t care. Too many hot heads and sketchy dealings. They will never succeed in modern football
Mack is a used car salesman. Stars and ratings mean absolutely nothing on the field. Pitt won the ACC, I bet they land less 4 stars in 4 years than Clemson gets in a single cycle
After the model runs today my thoughts are this has devolved into a novelty event. These meso-features never work out for many and that looks like our only mode for snow with this. I think most will see flakes but accumulation will be extremely limited and localized. Will be fun now casting but this will not be an event where general accumulation should be expected outside a few bands. On to the next one
This setup really will be interesting tomorrow night. There likely will be localized areas that benefit from small scale features and get some decent banding. From what I’m seeing tho this will not be an area-wide score, though I think most areas see some snow. I think 0.5”-1.5” from the foothills east is a good bet but someone in there will get 3-4” where impossible to predict meso features develop. Nothings changed on that front since yesterday
Not sure this qualifies as a whiff. I see 1 inch of snow for most of the triangle with 1-3” west of there based on this depiction of a mesoscale feature. I think most would live with this event
Looks like a 3-4 day warmup then the ridge builds back in the NW with a +PNA. This was supposed to be a pattern change in the wrong direction just a few days ago but looks to resume with our winter weather threats quickly
Definitely the glue consumption. I hate to say it but when the NAM is on an island with anything but thermals in a CAD situation you need to look at it, acknowledge it was there and it was something, then toss it before you get any crazy ideas