What’s wild is this pattern SUCKS for New England. So after all the hype from some of the Mets up there, it looks just about like a curtain call until after the pattern breaks down. Definitely a southern storm or nothing deal. Wild
Give me sitting on the northern edge of that snow band at this range all day knowing the trend that inevitably will come but I’ll take a 987 off Wilmington all day
This is noise at this point but as modeled at 6z, that GLL really messes with the BL temps for the Jan 9-11 system. Not enough to rain but it cuts off the arctic feed we’d been seeing in many previous runs.
Ejects the SW earlier and we get a quicker phase. Jan 10 miller A with snow through the Deep South and most of Carolina’s. Haven’t seen a storm track like that in many a moon
This GFS run is what I’d expect from the pattern. This was not a southern storm but it’s too cold before to avoid ice. Lots of watching to go but I still feel strongly this will be a CAD mixed event. Duration and impact obviously TBD
RDU will pick up 0.10” 1 hour before we otherwise would break the record and that will be it for the year. Don’t get to claim the record and don’t get enough to cover the mulch. Bank on it.
This is a case where a stronger cutter would actually benefit us down the road setting up the 50/50 further west. I’m not sure these southern trends with the first system help us down the road. Might lead to an all or nothing situation with the first storm which we’d like to avoid at all costs