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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. Everything about this winter is different than the last few. A fast pattern, no real semi permanent SER, better look PAC. Not saying we score but this isn’t going to be without opportunities. Heck, some of us already are on the board. Christmas week continues to have my attention
  2. 22.6, 12. If that wind had calmed earlier we’d be well into the teens!
  3. Looking at obs mine was most pronounced with initial cooling but Sanford and Louisburg had almost identical swings and the timing aligned perfectly with what my station saw. I’m guessing the wind calmed in the evening allowing for a period of radiational cooling then picked up for a period overnight before slackening off again before daybreak
  4. Interesting temperature spikes last night. We got down to 36 at 11, rose to almost 45 by 2, then fell for a second low of 39 right before sunrise before rapidly rising to 49 now. I’m guessing that’s related to inconsistent wind through the night at my location
  5. Christmas week looks interesting on the Euro as well
  6. High pressure centered directly overhead and near perfect radiational cooling conditions. Teens into SC is impressive for Dec 4
  7. 20.2 was the low this morning here. Up a degree now. Looks like most areas around here are in the teens
  8. The last part of that AFD mentioning RDU is hilarious: Expect clear skies and very cold temperatures with exceptional radiational cooling in the arctic air mass (frost points in the teens). Most lows in the 15-20 range, except for RDU.
  9. I’m at 27. They’re at 34. That’s wild stuff
  10. Even if it warms up for a week or two looking like most areas will have had multiple nights in the teens (more than we had all last winter), most of two weeks with lows below freezing, and accumulating snow in parts of the piedmont before Christmas. Add in a very strong start to the ski season in the mountains and this is an excellent start to winter. My bar is exceedingly low but a period of sustained cold at least gives me hope after what we’ve been through
  11. Snow reports showing up from Wilmington to ocean isle
  12. https://x.com/wxbrad/status/1863927984136032677?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g Snow cover visible from satellite! Definitely an over performer
  13. I know you got excited when that band looked like it was moving this way…
  14. That’s awesome! Looks like 1/2”+ So jealous of all who got under that band. Accumulating Snow before Christmas and a cold week with multiple nights in teens… That’s a mega treat here
  15. Congrats to those who saw snow! Seeing amounts to almost 2” in and around Lexington per twitter. So sounds like models were extremely accurate with band placement. We are at 25.3 degrees this morning, no snow here
  16. Some the hi res guidance is trending north with the snow, getting Greensboro and the triangle into it later tonight. Interesting
  17. Temps have plummeted to 29.7 here already
  18. (This topic just turned “hot” for the first time this winter)
  19. Would be fun to get a localized heavier band that overperforms for some areas. Seems possible based on afternoon mesoscale model runs
  20. Good luck. I think it’s the right call and hopefully we get to see some rare piedmont snow footage
  21. With it being close you can probably follow radar trends but it occurring at night with bitter cold air moving in gives this a chance to stick if rates materialize. Also, HRRR shows the meso low you’re talking about and that could conceivably cause some heavier rates than otherwise would be expected with such dry air in play. These systems are tricky but can cause a pretty heavy burst of high ratio snow if it gets convective in nature. We’re talking 1/2” ceiling but the potential is there
  22. HRRR is pretty aggressive with the snow band tonight. Definitely could be interesting with extremely cold temps even with light amounts!
  23. 28.6 this morning as the big chill arrives today
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