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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. In the last 36 days we have recorded measurable rainfall just once. That is insane
  2. Yes, structurally this storm is very well developed but given lack of a coherent CDO and some popcorn storms in the western and northern circulation me thinks it is battling some mid level dry air
  3. Cayman Islands radar should be interesting to watch through the day https://www.weather.gov.ky/radar
  4. Latest GFS brings Central NC almost no rain at all from the tropical system
  5. Interesting the NHC noted a developing eyewall from recon with a minimal TS with a questionable appearance. Not seeing the convective blowup you usually see when NHC notes a formative eyewall. Wonder if that was a transient feature
  6. Don’t see it happening here either before thanksgiving week at least.
  7. RE the KRDU temp obs- I’ve noticed that my readings have been MUCH more in line with RDU since that June heat wave and honestly are probably 1-3 degrees above what the airport’s reading has been as of late! I wonder if the summer drought and peak sun angle heating was the culprit. I still don’t believe RDUs June readings that consistently beat out Fayetteville on a daily basis! It doesn’t make sense to be so high above other regional obs that consistently only to fall in line later in the fall
  8. Cracked 80 again today. Dewpoints between 60-62 have it feeling quite muggy. This might be worse than missing out on snow in winter. I love crisp fall afternoons more than anything and we are burning through the peak under a heat dome
  9. 12z run of GFS drops 0.00” here through November 15
  10. 70% of the state is now included in this weeks drought monitor, including the SW mountains of NC…
  11. 81.4 at the moment. More 80s than 40s here this month
  12. 0.18” gonna do it for October. Officially the driest month since I’ve lived here, following the wettest. Really worried about the rest of fall/winter in the rainfall department
  13. Jeezeee the 18z GFS is one of the most ridiculous heat domes I’ve ever seen in November! 80’s through the run and not a single low in the 40’s here! Absolute craziest torch I’ve ever seen modeled in November
  14. It’s almost a lock RDU sets the record with our third straight snowless winter! (I’m taking your pessimistic approach this year maybe I’ll reverse jinx it)
  15. That’s gotta be one of the most impressive sat shots we’ve seen in years size, ferocity, and the just meanness of that eye. This is a monster
  16. Kong-Rey is an absolute beast. My thoughts on the size of this storm are the giant size will make it less likely to weaken significantly before landfall even with terrain impacts
  17. Would not surprise me to start referencing the drought monitor by the end of the week, which seemed unfathomable after the last 3 months
  18. No rain on the foreseeable horizon and very warm. Great…
  19. Well the rainless streak is over. 0.18” this morning. Looks like that will be our October total
  20. It’s legitimately hot this afternoon. 83.5
  21. 81.3 and dry as a bone. Looks like tomorrow is our only chance of a measurable rainfall this month. This is going into flash drought territory
  22. We picked up just 0.54” in June and had 5 days over 100… It’s been a year for extremes
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