NorthHillsWx

Oozing with potential. Oozing

3-5” followed by days and days of cold. If folks don’t like that solution for these parts you need a new hobby. No big daddy (except Canadian) but this oozes with potential. One other thing I love about the models today is they show in a variety of ways. We aren’t relying on a miller A or miller B

For the doom and gloom of 6z (lol) 12z delivered. Unreal to see snow across the suites

EURO actually focuses on the Jan 6 wave. Interesting…

EURO is beautiful. All 3 major ops have snow for most of the forum.

Great 12z runs

There is no reason to be throwing in the towel at all. Means will jump around a lot especially with some of the HECS included as those affect the means disproportionately. However, for those who haven’t seen snow in 3 years it is totally fair to be pessimistic until it snows again. That being said, we don’t need to clog this board with “it’ll never snow again posts” or junk as there is actually great discussion going on from some of the veteran members. A few weeks ago when this place was dead, whatever, but there is an exciting pattern showing and some of the expert posters have been honking the horn for some time.

If Florida gets 6-8” and we get blanked I quit lol

06z GFS says Congrats @GaWx !!!

I would not include “central” NC in that statement

I’ll take that and run with it any day and twice on Sunday.

Foothills folks might leave this hobby if 12z came to fruition though

12z gfs op was its coldest run yet. My god. The gates to the Arctic open and stay that way

Yes but it does have the same storm shown on GFS. Slower to phase. But it’s there

Pretty wild to see both the Euro and GFS showing RDU at 5 or below on the 9-10th although it’s a result of deep snow cover on the GFS and just insane cold on the Euro

06z GFS delivers again on the 8th

That’s about the most sustained cold I’ve ever seen modeled on the GEFS. Source region just reloads and keeps sending it. I’ve been a 3/4 glass empty person and will continue to be until it snows again but that’s a fricking lot of cold modeled on the ensembles

Wash, rinse, repeat

It goes without saying, seeing those snow maximums on the ensembles over the water should concern everyone in this upcoming pattern.

I’m not seeing what others are noting on the ensembles in regards to moisture availability. Everything looks exceptionally dry if you take out the rain from the 2-4th period. So once the cold follows that system there is a very strong signal for it to be very dry. Maybe someone could show me the opposite but I don’t see anything but dry cold following that system

I’ll take my 15” of snow followed by 0 degrees and call her a season

We can kid ourselves all we want with these epic ECMWF And it’s ensemble solutions but all we’re setting ourselves for is bouts of cold rain. Until it snows again I don’t believe it can. No analysis in this but I just have this gut feeling this is going to be a major letdown and in a few weeks we’ll be taking about fabulous February and a strat warning event or some blocking pattern that resulted in snow 32 years ago or a split flow that holds off and happens in April. Anyways I regress, merry Christmas to everyone!

Last year someone posted the stages of winter snow lovers in the south. That needs to resurface

We are going to seriously undercut our forecast of 29 tonight. Already 28.2

Maybe a change is coming but I see the can kicking beginning. To me, we can kick is past the first week in Jan now