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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    EURO is a giant hit for middle Virginia but is way way south from 6z
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Euro looks like it’s coming in much further south this run with the first system
  3. NorthHillsWx
    The system on the 6th is absolutely critical to whatever comes next bc it becomes our 50/50 low. Until the 6th storm is ironed out it’s going to be impossible to figure out the next one. This is a highly volatile period for models with the second storm being totally dependent on the evolution of the first, so that follow up system just being present is all we can ask for. I’d say this whether it was showing a HECS or a miss to the south
  4. NorthHillsWx
    I still like the idea of a CAD system on the 6th. I think something between the EURO and GFS. Don’t think this is a snowstorm unfortunately unless it tracks way south which seems to be an outlier idea at the moment but given the antecedent airmass and HP over NE I doubt the system is all rain
  5. NorthHillsWx
    If we got the 6th system I would be rooting hard for the extreme southern folks and coastal Carolina’s to cash in on the 10th system as my snowpack would be locked in lol
  6. NorthHillsWx
    There was a small snow the week before and then an ice event after if my memory serves me. I remember the ice with snow still on the ground
  7. NorthHillsWx
    I have no idea what you’re looking at. Verbatim the Canadian is a major ice storm and regardless with CAD events you look for the setup before precip maps. If the setup is there models will hone in on the wedge as we get closer. The setup is there
  8. NorthHillsWx
    Euro is historically not great at picking up CAD setups at range. It being the outlier is not surprising. I’m beginnning to focus on 1/6 as a legit wintry threat. The H5 setup is there and it is a very cold/dry air mass that moves in the days before. At a minimum this should result in a large area of nuisance ice
  9. NorthHillsWx
    This is the worst I’ve ever seen. It gets worse every year
  10. NorthHillsWx
    1/6 is a classic CAD look. If that system stays weaker west of apps, I don’t think that wedge will be scoured out and we wind up with a GFS/CMC solution. This is an ice storm look. Even the GFS is showing a strong wedge and it always underestimates their strength at range
  11. NorthHillsWx
    18z was a better run. Not there yet but better
  12. NorthHillsWx
    And temps have come WAY up
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Winter in the southeast is a comedy
  14. NorthHillsWx
    And the walls start closing in…
  15. NorthHillsWx
    I’m going to bed and hope and pray I don’t see that run again in morning. Dumpster fire
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Energy looks more consolidated coming south on the 0z than 18z for the 10th system
  17. NorthHillsWx
    Yep. Ugly for the upstate. Goes poof east of there
  18. NorthHillsWx
    Canadian says “incoming”
  19. NorthHillsWx
    GFS looks like we’re about to be F’d by a Great Lakes low
  20. NorthHillsWx
    Oozing with potential. Oozing
  21. NorthHillsWx
    3-5” followed by days and days of cold. If folks don’t like that solution for these parts you need a new hobby. No big daddy (except Canadian) but this oozes with potential. One other thing I love about the models today is they show in a variety of ways. We aren’t relying on a miller A or miller B
  22. NorthHillsWx
    For the doom and gloom of 6z (lol) 12z delivered. Unreal to see snow across the suites
  23. NorthHillsWx
    EURO actually focuses on the Jan 6 wave. Interesting…
  24. NorthHillsWx
    EURO is beautiful. All 3 major ops have snow for most of the forum.
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Great 12z runs
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