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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    I mean from modeling that seems very reasonable and in fact you could even move the mixed bag area further north if NAM thermals are your thing…
  2. NorthHillsWx
    Great job. I could not agree with this more given what we’ve seen
  3. NorthHillsWx
    It truly has been the model with the highest variance through this event. But you want it on your side under 48 hours
  4. NorthHillsWx
    That band over Raleigh is fools gold. The main coastal is too far offshore and trended much worse
  5. NorthHillsWx
    Not saying it’s wrong but EURO is WAY south of everything else now
  6. NorthHillsWx
    Ok I’ll be honest I don’t think I looked at the 6z UK because people said it was bad but I didn’t realize it was THAT bad. I guess this was an improvement but still way worse than 0z
  7. NorthHillsWx
    Does not inspire confidence the EURO will make and big changes
  8. NorthHillsWx
    UK is doodoo
  9. NorthHillsWx
    I’m guessing NWS will issue watches after looking at the EURO but my guess is east of 77 through RAH will all be under a watch this afternoon, with maybe the exception of the far southern tier of counties. Side note- they brined 440 near my office in garner
  10. NorthHillsWx
    CMC is 6-10” from Raleigh East with an Elizabeth city 12-15” Jack
  11. NorthHillsWx
    CMC ticked west. Great storm triangle east. Very cold still
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Except RDU was in the jackpot too early. This will trend back to sleet/freezing rain for us. Mark my words lol
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Yep. Bleeding has stopped. Everything so far at 12z looks about the same. Let’s see how far west the precip trends today
  14. NorthHillsWx
    GFS gonna tick slightly wetter this run I believe
  15. NorthHillsWx
    GFS looks a tad warmer through 36
  16. NorthHillsWx
    Seeing these sub-1000 mb lows tucked 50 miles off hatteras and worrying about thermals with extremely low surface temps sucks, but I guess that’s what you get when your cold air source is a 1050 in the Midwest
  17. NorthHillsWx
    ICON has Raleigh riding the sleet line at 23-25 degrees. That would be a kick in the nads to be at 23 degrees for an event and it be a wintry mix
  18. NorthHillsWx
    And the NW trend begins…
  19. NorthHillsWx
    Pretty solid tick NW from its last run
  20. NorthHillsWx
    SE Forum: I think the bleeding has stopped. Take one step back from the cliff edge
  21. NorthHillsWx
    I fear we mix bad. Think those uber suppressed/cold looks were fools gold for thermals. We’ll see what globals show but hi res is concerning
  22. NorthHillsWx
    FV3 has 0.4-0.5” QPF across most of central nc and the storm is only about half over at end of the run
  23. NorthHillsWx
    You’re in that spot where you can smell the mix but have heavy snow. Gotta ride the line to max out!!!
  24. NorthHillsWx
    FV3 looks like a major winter storm for most of NC and southern VA
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Maybe the NAM is a sign the bleeding has stopped, or maybe it’s the HR 60 NAM. But that was not a bad run for a lot of the forum.
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