Ensembles look pretty good first week of December. Ops are showing SER and delayed cold over the mountains. Not a terrible pattern at least. STJ looks active
Yes, structurally this storm is very well developed but given lack of a coherent CDO and some popcorn storms in the western and northern circulation me thinks it is battling some mid level dry air
Interesting the NHC noted a developing eyewall from recon with a minimal TS with a questionable appearance. Not seeing the convective blowup you usually see when NHC notes a formative eyewall. Wonder if that was a transient feature