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NorthHillsWx

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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx

  1. NorthHillsWx
    I endorse this
  2. NorthHillsWx
    GFS says cancel your warm weather plans
  3. NorthHillsWx
    I don’t think they’re wrong. Maybe I’ll miss this and be happy but if anything shows a warm nose it usually wins. I really think this will be an impactful storm because temps are cold (if we get snow/IP rates) but I really don’t see more than 3” for wake and possibly a lot less south for mix area if ZR enters the chat. We just aren’t going to have the QPF to waste on mixing. Sucks. But that’s how I see it
  4. NorthHillsWx
    I’d feel good if I was in a border county. And really good the further east you go up there. For wake I’m going 0.5-3” south to north. Raleigh is likely 1-1.5” with a cold slop of a day
  5. NorthHillsWx
    UK
  6. NorthHillsWx
    I mean even for north of Raleigh. QPF amounts vary wildly and some models have none.
  7. NorthHillsWx
    This is my expectation. Think 4” is our high end and low end is 1/2” sleet
  8. NorthHillsWx
    It’s a pick em of models 36 hours out. You got some showing a 6-10” snow storm for central NC, some showing an ice storm, some showing a light mix, and some showing absolutely nothing. I’ve seen model discrepancy in short range but this is wild
  9. NorthHillsWx
    That decreased for most
  10. NorthHillsWx
    10000%. When we lost the WAA snows earlier runs showed our margin for error decreased significantly
  11. NorthHillsWx
    No major changes at all. Slightly colder upstairs for the transition line folks, noise elsewhere. But it didn’t trend worse or go to Euro. After last nights modeling collapse it feels like a win
  12. NorthHillsWx
    Slight improvements on GFS. We needed that. Triangle will be happy. More snow west too
  13. NorthHillsWx
    Most important GFS run of the year
  14. NorthHillsWx
    They should’ve just used the @eyewall call map
  15. NorthHillsWx
    How has the RGEM done this year?
  16. NorthHillsWx
    ICON was OK here but big drop in precip for everyone
  17. NorthHillsWx
    ICON looks a little warmer at 42
  18. NorthHillsWx
    I know WRAL will be latching onto that NAM run like the Bible for their evening forecast
  19. NorthHillsWx
    I’d actually love a sleet bomb. 2” of sleet doesn’t happen often here and is pretty cool when temps are low
  20. NorthHillsWx
    It shouldn’t, but it will. I posted earlier we shouldn’t even have to be checking thermals with some solutions showing a sub 1000 mb low 50 miles east of hatteras, but here we are
  21. NorthHillsWx
    If you live in western Virginia or the triad, enjoy your stay on NAM island!
  22. NorthHillsWx
    Whichever shows strongest warm nose
  23. NorthHillsWx
    At face value the NAM is a major winter storm for most of the state and most of Virginia. Big time impacts in all areas
  24. NorthHillsWx
    SE FORUM *asks for more moisture* NAM: “I hear you” *gives crippling amounts of QPF as freezing rain*
  25. NorthHillsWx
    Richmond pounded
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