NorthHillsWx
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Everything posted by NorthHillsWx
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In the Euro AI we trust -
Not getting the good vibes we had yesterday morning
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NAM knows warm noses better than any but this is still at range so take NAM outputs with large grain of salt
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Yea this is ugly.
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If you wanted snow look away from this NAM run lol
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NAM is warm. Don’t think it even snows in triangle
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1-2” then a glaze of ice color me happy
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19.6 out this morning. Whatever falls first Friday night will definitely stick.
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Jan 2022 was completely lost on the models at this point and started showing up again 36 hours before go time.
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Always the last to fold. Don’t blame them.
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Agreed. They usually undercut guidance with snow cover though. Probably a big melt though but at this point i just hope there’s something to worry about melting
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Dec 2018 was wild. NW wake had 10” while southern Wake had a coating.
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It’s highly likely that front end IS our storm in the snowfall department
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These are the storms we were raised on. Time to book a hotel in roxboro
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Kinda exactly what we expect to get from most miller A’s. Don’t think this is ironed out until Thursday
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GFS is 1-2” snow then ice for RDU. Stays below freezing for duration
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GFS minimal changes
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Icon went way west with SLP
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I’m not going as far as to say we’ve been NAM’d (because it’s honestly believable given other modeling) but that’s a beautiful run for this entire forum just about
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NAM with a hell of a front end thump
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You’re in a great spot
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A good thing going for us is ensembles have largely been better than op runs from each of the model suites. To me that says there is better potential for this to trend positively for snow lovers than the opposite. Call it a gut feeling, whatever you want, but I think 18z and 0z might improve across the board for snowfall
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That is an incredible ensemble look at this range.
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Tough spot to be for winter weather, even in this forum. So that’s saying something
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Historically I’ve used the Ukie for predominantly fodder or entertainment. But I could say the same for the Icon, and I’m willing to hang my hat on that at the moment
