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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. Yes, after hour 330 it shows some snow and then deep freeze. What could possibly go wrong?
  2. It's been consistent in showing a system for the fish. The 06z was only run to show a hit.
  3. To add insult to injury 12z GFS takes low on the 7th OTS although obviously its way to early to be looking at that. In general I think GFS is a lousy model and they should limit it to 240 hours like the rest. What is the point of going out farther on an operational?
  4. Yes it is but it's not like we haven't seen back loaded winters before. We can still get plenty thru mid-march, it's still winter.
  5. I definitely wouldn't get my hopes up for this weekend. It really does look it will be wide right with maybe light snow/rain in area. I think we need to wait until 2nd week in February to see something significant.
  6. This is just common sense. I don't trust the models beyond 72 hours let alone a week.
  7. Down to 28 now from a high of 50 at 3pm only 6 hours ago. Clear skies, calm wind and snow cover.
  8. Made it 50 today but dropping like a rock and down to 35 right now. Will probably see some frozen precip early tomorrow before changing to rain.
  9. You are still in the game, yes. Read the NWS Albany forecaster's discussion. They feel precip type will alternate between wet snow and rain depending on elevation and precip intensity.
  10. Yes they do and you may do ok as well being further west with some elevation. I may be too far east for any significant snows from this one even though I'm north of 84. We shall see.
  11. 12z runs of GFS and CMC were not good for snow in the area, even away from NYC metro. Low is just too far north and west.
  12. This system needs to be watched by anybody 50+ miles N and W of NYC. I think the coast is toast.
  13. That could be a really good spot for this one, west of NYC Metro and with some elevation.
  14. NWS Albany talking about this as a system to watch. Temps are marginal at best especially for coast but to early to say it's not possible. Latest GFS similar CMC with decent snows north of city. I will definitely be watching this.
  15. Finished with 4 inches, 17.5 for the season.
  16. I haven't seen him post all day. He must be out sleigh riding in the rain.
  17. Alot of places will wind up with 3, close enough.
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