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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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There was some decent run to run consistency for awhile. Now all hell has broken loose.
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Wow. You get crushed in Orange county on that run.
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There are going to be some big numbers on the Euro.
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Thats not the UK, its the 12z Euro. Anthony posted UK on previous page.
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According to the models I can expect anywhere between 4 and 18.
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I don't think it will either but I'm still scarred by Jonas. I saw 3 flakes.
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We will see. I don't deny the blocking. I have always been concerned about it being north of 84. I just don't think it will be due north and then due east with out some northerly component.
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I think the handling of the low by the GFS is a little fugazy. It basically goes straight north from hours 96 to 102 and then takes a right turn when it feels the blocking and goes due east. I just don't think that will happen. I think it will be more ene.
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Yup. They are in a very good position with this one.
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Meanwhile the 12z operational Euro was the opposite. In HV the qpf was much lower than 00z so who knows.
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Hopefully not and I don't think so but the possibility of a further south and east trend where NYC metro gets the goods and we get much less is very real
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Poughkeepsie area just went from 18 on 00z to 6 this run. Concerning for northern folks.
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I was thinking I need to buy a snowblower.
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Im sure. Most models have low sliding east at 17/12z also. I'm sure thats the evolution of this as well.
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I remember that like it was yesterday unfortunately. Thats not going to happen this time.
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Me too, especially where I am a little north of 84. Ultimately I still think we get a decent event.
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Typical windshield wiper effect. It's the 18z GFS 6 days out. Not going to have a good handle on this until later this weekend.
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December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Thanks. I just noticed that. -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Euro looking good also for 16-17th. -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
Of course. I don't trust any operational beyond 72 hours. I just like having something to track. -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
GFS - booyah ICON - Meh CMC - OTS Waiting on Euro -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
All globals show a storm middle of next week. Right now it's looking like better snow chances N and W but still a week away. Definitely something to track. -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
The CMC on the 17th. I wish. -
December 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to bluewave's topic in New York City Metro
33 with some light snow