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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds
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This threat is legit. Every global has a long duration event.
- 2,426 replies
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- heavy snow
- ice pellets
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(and 3 more)
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Axis of heaviest snow is going to be north of I-90 again. 84 north should see 2-3 maybe 4. Metro should see an inch but temps are a problem.
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
He cant right now. He's too busy talking about supression of the 26-27th wave as the models come further north. -
It's not noise. Wave 2 has definitely come farther north on all models, just not as far north as GFS. It then does move e-se but still looks like a 2-4, isolated 5 possible in some spots N and W of NYC.
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12Z runs have been better than 00z. I still think 1-3/2-4 type event. Lets see what Ukie and Euro say.
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All models have it getting sheared as it moves east. Still a lot of uncertainty with this. I would be happy with 2-4 by me near 84.
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Yeah, it only has an inch or 2 for me but atleast it's something to track in such a boring January so far.
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That's what I and others said when it was consistent in giving 2 feet to Albany area with Dec 16-17 storm. Im not throwing anything out right now but I always weigh GFS and ICON less than other models.
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True but Ukie and Euro both showed a light/moderate event on their 00z runs so if 12z runs are somewhat similar that's a win especially with CMC coming north.
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If the Ukie and Euro are on board with CMC on their 12z runs then this gets interesting. GFS is trash.
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January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Good luck with that. Trusting one run of the GooFuS more than a week out is probably not advisable. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
yes, but they are flip-flopping between cutting primary into blocking and then next model run has low sliding south and our area being much colder. It is a thread the needle event but completely different set-ups. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Models are flip-flopping like a fish out of water. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Big storm on the 26th. Put it on your calendars. Only 10 days away. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
We will have cold enough air the second half of the month but I'm not sure about any precip. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Suppression depression. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
All globals show what could be a moderate wintry event for the 22nd. It's still a week away so things can change but it's the best shot that we have had in a couple of weeks and even longer for some locales. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
32 with light snow, coating. -
January 2021 General Discussions & Observations Thread
HeadInTheClouds replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
Again, useless as tits on a bull beyond 7 days.
