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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    Free pivotal weather does not have 06z and 18z runs of ECM or high resolution ECM. Other models yes.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    I think it's mainly that models have brought the better forcing north into our area.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    Yes but it doesn't have 06z or 18z runs.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    It will come down fast and furious before any dry slot. Storm is moving slowly so most locations should see a foot before dry slot but it is a concern especially if Euro verifies.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    Euro is too tucked and we dryslot eventually. Nam would be a perfect position.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    It's QPF output and thermals are a joke most of the time.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    Using Kuchera it was 55, lol.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    That Euro map was 10:1 also. It should be at least 12:1 or higher by us for a good portion of storm. 8-10 with upside to 12 is what I am thinking right now for us.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    I think when all is said and done we will see 6+ but I'm not sure about a crush job.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    60 hours before the december storm everybody thought there was no way in hell the low could come that far north and the axis of heaviest snow would be Binghamton to Albany. Obviously that is not going to happen this time but there is still a chance of it coming a little further N and W.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    It was still much better than 18z.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    Considerably more north.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    Easily. I see all these detailed snow maps like its within 24 hours. First flakes don't fall in NYC for like 60 hours.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    Yup, NWS Albany often talks about downsloping in the valleys.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    Horrible map. I would bet the mortgage NYC sees more than 3-5.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    GFS is garbage. V16 much more plausible. GFS gives NYC metro like .30 LE. Don't think thats happening. GFS ensembles well west of op.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    Nam at it's extended range has been better than GFS so here's hoping. That's a perfect position at hour 84.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    Woof.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    Ok, he can lose a few billion but we still need some money to sign more free agents.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    Take it easy now.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    I've always wanted to visit the red light district in Amsterdam.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    I feel the GFS is not handling this well as far as qpf is concerned. It's underdone IMO. CMC, GFSv16, and ICON all give NYC metro 1.5+ and GFS is only .60 or so. It doesn't make sense just like it didn't make sense with Dec 16/17th storm.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    Yup. I weigh the ICON more heavily than GFS lol.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    The position of the low isn't that bad but the qpf output is putrid. It has about .3 for NYC. I honestly hate this model and can't wait for it to be replaced.
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    I doubt the GFS is right, precip is so meager. Gfs gives me 2-3 and V16 gives me 12, 15 if you use kuchera.
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