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HeadInTheClouds

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Everything posted by HeadInTheClouds

  1. HeadInTheClouds
    For our area with ratios GFS is 6-8 and V16 is 4-5.
  2. HeadInTheClouds
    Most models show more qpf for nyc metro than say around 84. CMC, Euro, V16, Nam all show that. Although we may indeed receive less qpf the ratios will be higher in 13-15:1 range and mixing is unlikely so at the end of the day everybody should see around 6 inches with a few slightly higher amounts.
  3. HeadInTheClouds
    yes but v16 has been better with previous storms. Lets see what tomorrow brings.
  4. HeadInTheClouds
    You might be right if the v16 and cmc are correct.
  5. HeadInTheClouds
    And ratios are probably going to be 15:1.
  6. HeadInTheClouds
    Even up north they are expecting decent snows.
  7. HeadInTheClouds
    I would love to see CPk get to 30" for the month because winter was over in early January according to some.
  8. HeadInTheClouds
    ICON is trash especially with thermals. It had rain to Canada with last nights event.
  9. HeadInTheClouds
    It may be a little more. A huge tree limb just broke off one of my trees and clipped my car. Ugh. I was below freezing all night. I'm now at 33.
  10. HeadInTheClouds
    32 and cloudy. Have about .10 of ice.
  11. HeadInTheClouds
    27 with light ZR.
  12. HeadInTheClouds
    I think we will likely see some plain rain Tuesday morning but most of QPF will fall as sleet and ZR. Now the further north and west you are the better your chances. I'm 20-25 miles north of you so that could make a big difference I guess. Whatever we lose we will have to make it up on Thursday.
  13. HeadInTheClouds
    You are probably going to be surprised then. I see Dutchess county pretty much a lock to get a good deal of sleet and at least .20 ZR.
  14. HeadInTheClouds
    Winter storm watch just issued in MHV for heavy mixed precip.
  15. HeadInTheClouds
    By measurable I mean an inch at the start and that is still possible far N and W.
  16. HeadInTheClouds
    Thursday looks to be far more wintry than Tuesday right now.
  17. HeadInTheClouds
    Which makes sense. Any measurable snow with this event will be 50+ miles N and W.
  18. HeadInTheClouds
    Yeah thats 1 model along with Icon that Im not going to trust with thermal profiles being so critical. All other models show icing being a potential problem N and W.
  19. HeadInTheClouds
    Hoping for more sleet than ZR up here in MHV but it's looking right now like a significant icing event. Not good.
  20. HeadInTheClouds
    What I have noticed from the icon these past few months is that it's low placement is ok but it's thermals are awful. This is one model I wouldn't be looking at when thermals will be so important with the next few storms.
  21. HeadInTheClouds
    Yup, it was brutal. I'm also in HV a little north of Poughkeepsie. I haven't seen a combination of snow and cold like that since. I hit -23 that winter and spent a lot of time clearing ice dams off of my roof.
  22. HeadInTheClouds
    Just a dusting here a little north of 84. 22 and cloudy.
  23. HeadInTheClouds
    Where was it -57? Barrow Alaska? The lowest I have been in is -23 back in 1994. It was brutal.
  24. HeadInTheClouds
    Is the troll hibernating?
  25. HeadInTheClouds
    Finished with 4 inches. 45.5 for the season.
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